Try'n this out here.......I know there's a ton of other chase systems on here, so I might as well get into the mix. Been look'n at this for awhile and it seems to be winning more than losing which is the goal right? Basically it's based off current stats of my choice which makes certain teams qualify for a series chase. I'm looking for the team I choose for a series to win just "one" game in the series to make our goal. Each series the goal is to win 1 unit when it's all said and done. Sometimes it will end after the first game and sometimes it will take the last game of the series to make the 1 unit profit. So, if our team loses game 1 and they were a -120 favorite...you will chase game 2 making back the -120 lost + the goal of 1 unit per series. So, Game 2 would be to WIN 2.2 units no matter what the line is. If we win then we get back our 1.2 units lost and we make our 1 unit of profit. Make sense? I'm sure many have done this before...I know I've seen it. Anyway, let's give this a try........I know today's games are pretty much over, but am going to list what would have been plays and then continue forward from today.........
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Try'n this out here.......I know there's a ton of other chase systems on here, so I might as well get into the mix. Been look'n at this for awhile and it seems to be winning more than losing which is the goal right? Basically it's based off current stats of my choice which makes certain teams qualify for a series chase. I'm looking for the team I choose for a series to win just "one" game in the series to make our goal. Each series the goal is to win 1 unit when it's all said and done. Sometimes it will end after the first game and sometimes it will take the last game of the series to make the 1 unit profit. So, if our team loses game 1 and they were a -120 favorite...you will chase game 2 making back the -120 lost + the goal of 1 unit per series. So, Game 2 would be to WIN 2.2 units no matter what the line is. If we win then we get back our 1.2 units lost and we make our 1 unit of profit. Make sense? I'm sure many have done this before...I know I've seen it. Anyway, let's give this a try........I know today's games are pretty much over, but am going to list what would have been plays and then continue forward from today.........
Game 1 winners with MARLINS, NATS, REDS and D'BACKS. So, those series are done. We move on to Game 2 with the rest......two new series start today with the Orioles and Tigers as qualified teams.
ORIOLES -124 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
TIGERS -119 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
TWINS +156 GAME 2
ROYALS +155 GAME 2
BREWERS +122 GAME 2
PIRATES -161 GAME 2
CARDS -127 GAME 2
PADRES +160 GAME 2
Will update record with exact +/- numbers at the end of these series......
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Game 1 winners with MARLINS, NATS, REDS and D'BACKS. So, those series are done. We move on to Game 2 with the rest......two new series start today with the Orioles and Tigers as qualified teams.
ORIOLES -124 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
TIGERS -119 GAME 1 to win 1 unit
TWINS +156 GAME 2
ROYALS +155 GAME 2
BREWERS +122 GAME 2
PIRATES -161 GAME 2
CARDS -127 GAME 2
PADRES +160 GAME 2
Will update record with exact +/- numbers at the end of these series......
Game 3 winners with the Pirates and Padres! Game 2 winner with the Tigers, so that series is done.
We had Game 3 losers with the Twins and Brewers, so we lost those series. Both were fairly decent size dogs in all 3 games, so the units lost were not significant.
So far, the record is 9-2 with Game 3 on the Orioles pending for Thursday.......hoping the O's can get it done to bring the record to 10-2! Will update "exact" units won/lost with the upcoming series plays.....
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Game 3 winners with the Pirates and Padres! Game 2 winner with the Tigers, so that series is done.
We had Game 3 losers with the Twins and Brewers, so we lost those series. Both were fairly decent size dogs in all 3 games, so the units lost were not significant.
So far, the record is 9-2 with Game 3 on the Orioles pending for Thursday.......hoping the O's can get it done to bring the record to 10-2! Will update "exact" units won/lost with the upcoming series plays.....
Looking back at the first experiment of series plays.....I'm cutting out teams who have below a .500 record. No longer will I play any team who has a losing overall record. Doing this the record would have been 5-0 with the Orioles Game 3 pending..........
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Looking back at the first experiment of series plays.....I'm cutting out teams who have below a .500 record. No longer will I play any team who has a losing overall record. Doing this the record would have been 5-0 with the Orioles Game 3 pending..........
Ok.....not going to completely cut out teams who are below .500. If they are playing decent ball and are 5-5 or better their L/10 games they will qualify to hopefully not get swept!!
I know all of this sounds confusing, but this will make $$$$!!!
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Ok.....not going to completely cut out teams who are below .500. If they are playing decent ball and are 5-5 or better their L/10 games they will qualify to hopefully not get swept!!
I know all of this sounds confusing, but this will make $$$$!!!
WITH THE 2 SERIES LOSES RECORED YESTERDAY EVEN THOUGH YOU ARE 10-2 AT BEST YOU ARE BREAKING EVEN
Exactly why I made the adjustments stated above. With the Orioles winning brings the chase record to 6-0 using the "new" format. I explained what that is above.....this will help filter out the bad teams. Will be using this format going forward. So, the first set of series for this system had wins with the Pirates, Nats, Reds, Cards, DBacks and Padres! Even though SD has an under .500 record they were playing decent ball going into the SF series at 7-3 L/10 games which had them qualify as a series chase team vs. SF! Hope that makes sense.......
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:
WITH THE 2 SERIES LOSES RECORED YESTERDAY EVEN THOUGH YOU ARE 10-2 AT BEST YOU ARE BREAKING EVEN
Exactly why I made the adjustments stated above. With the Orioles winning brings the chase record to 6-0 using the "new" format. I explained what that is above.....this will help filter out the bad teams. Will be using this format going forward. So, the first set of series for this system had wins with the Pirates, Nats, Reds, Cards, DBacks and Padres! Even though SD has an under .500 record they were playing decent ball going into the SF series at 7-3 L/10 games which had them qualify as a series chase team vs. SF! Hope that makes sense.......
Ok.....Giants and Indians both making things difficult by stretching their series out to Game 3 each. This is it for them!!! Banking on them NOT to get swept!!
GIANTS +107 Game 3 (5.27 to win 5.64)
Indians/Twins is off the board at this time due to a pitching change by the Twins. Will update soon as I get a line on the game.
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Ok.....Giants and Indians both making things difficult by stretching their series out to Game 3 each. This is it for them!!! Banking on them NOT to get swept!!
GIANTS +107 Game 3 (5.27 to win 5.64)
Indians/Twins is off the board at this time due to a pitching change by the Twins. Will update soon as I get a line on the game.
Indians and Giants both lose Game 3 of their series.....
Going to ride this for awhile longer filtering out a few more things......we'll see how it goes. It takes trial and error to find success sometimes. I feel strongly this will work if I can filter out a couple more things and narrow down the series plays. Would love to narrow it down to 1-4 series a week to play and up the unit amount.
YTD chase record: 14-2 -3.38 units
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Indians and Giants both lose Game 3 of their series.....
Going to ride this for awhile longer filtering out a few more things......we'll see how it goes. It takes trial and error to find success sometimes. I feel strongly this will work if I can filter out a couple more things and narrow down the series plays. Would love to narrow it down to 1-4 series a week to play and up the unit amount.
Did a couple more filters to narrow down the series plays.......Look'n to get back on track with this!!! There will be less series coming up now as plays, so I'm raising each series bets to "win" 2 units now!! This is the creme of the crop that come up...not sure I can filter anything else out after this.
YTD 14-2 -3.38 units
Monday July 30th
ANGELS +135 Game 1 (1.48 to win 2.00)
BRAVES -146 Game 1 (2.92 to win 2.00)
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Did a couple more filters to narrow down the series plays.......Look'n to get back on track with this!!! There will be less series coming up now as plays, so I'm raising each series bets to "win" 2 units now!! This is the creme of the crop that come up...not sure I can filter anything else out after this.
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