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MLB system releases...

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Posted: #1151
 GL Kemosabe
 
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Posted: #1152
WildCard..you cannot have a negative RC (Spans) - the lowest is zero.....so there is an error in your formula somewhere.
 
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Posted: #1153
ApacheM keep it tight[NYM+132ML/6tontos] SN
 
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Posted: #1154
MLB system releases Wed,07/08/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
Diamondbacks-152  5innings
Giants-112  5innings
Rangers+128  5innings
 
Mets+132 ML
Brewers-112 ML
Phillies+129 RL
 
WAS/COL OVER 10
KC/DET  UNDER 8.5
OAK/BOS  OVER 9
CLE/CHW  UNDER 9.5
NYY/MIN  UNDER 9.5
 
eleven PAC formulated
projected ratio: 8/11  72.7%
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1155
Wildcard - maybe it's time you start a thread of your own.  You seem to have the chops for it.  It would be the polite thing to do instead of hijacking SN's. 
 
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Posted: #1156
Even with a mildly bumpy (1-2) night yesterday, SN's under record over the last 10 days is 15-3. Percentage-wise, that's over 83 percent of his picks that have been winners, which would kick ANY bookie's ass. Just a heads up for tonight's trio.
 
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Posted: #1157
How am I hijacking the thread?
I'm just trying to get the formula down just like all other 47 pages of people were.
Hmmmm.....
 
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Posted: #1158
Phillies RL is @ +148 now on matchbook.
 
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Posted: #1159
GL SN
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1160
SN - I received your PM. Thank you
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1161
hello i have been trying to follow these us plays but i dont understand the formulas yet. ive been playing them evenly and dont seem to be getting anywhere with that. am i doing something wrong
 
 
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Posted: #1162
Pitt _ If you are serious I suggest you start at the beginning of this thread and do some reading. Everything you seek has been gone over multiple times. I wish you success and profits.
 
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Posted: #1163
Last 11 days: SN's under selections are now 18-3, good for an 83.3 percentage. Wednesday was a perfect 3-0.
 
Captain
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Posted: #1164
I'm going to switch over to the Basic version of RC, then try to get Base Runs down.

 
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Posted: #1165
You had a good night tonight SN.  Keep it up!
 
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Posted: #1166
St. Louis Cardinals RC vs. Parra (( 9/9 Batters ))

SCHUMAKER              0.400 RC             8 Outs
RASMUS                      0.000 RC             3 Outs
PUJOLS                       6.857 RC             9 Outs
LUDWICK                    4.714 RC              8 Outs
DUNCAN                      0.200 RC              4 Outs
MOLINA                       2.133 RC              2 Outs
THURSTON                 2.000 RC              4 Outs
WELLEMEYER            0.666 RC              3 Outs
RYAN                            2.666 RC              7 Outs
                                    19.636 RC            48 Outs

19.636 RC In 16 Innings
1.227 RC Per Inning
6.135 RC In 5 Innings

Milwaukee RC vs. Pineiro (( 8/9 Batters ))

COUNSELL               0.000 RC             5 Outs
HARDY                       1.000 RC             6 Outs
BRAUN                       0.666 RC             7 Outs
FIELDER                     0.111 RC             8 Outs
CATALANOTTO        2.579 RC           12 Outs
CAMERON                 0.909 RC             9 Outs
KENDALL                  4.000 RC            27 Outs
SUPAN                       0.000 RC             3 Outs
                                    9.265 RC           77 Outs

9.265 RC In 25.66 Innings
0.361 RC Per Inning
1.805 RC In 5 Innings
 
Captain
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Posted: #1167
MeMyselfAndI, Could you check those numbers out for me?
I'm not using the Stolen Bases version.
I think I've got it down.
STL looks like a good 5I play tomorrow if the Base Runs formula holds up.

 
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Posted: #1168
Typo : I'm NOW using the Stolen Bases version. **
 
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Posted: #1169
I went through and did Base Runs as well....

St. Louis Cardinals RC vs. Parra (( 9/9 Batters ))
19.636 RC In 16 Innings
19.375 BR In 16 Innings
1.227 RC Per Inning
1.211 BR Per Inning
6.135 RC In 5 Innings
6.055 BR In 5 Innings
5 Inning Average: 6.095 BR/RC

Milwaukee RC vs. Pineiro (( 8/9 Batters ))
9.265 RC In 25.66 Innings
9.307 BR In 25.66 Innings
0.361 RC Per Inning
0.363 BR Per Inning
1.805 RC In 5 Innings
1.815 BR In 5 Innings
5 Inning Average: 1.810 BR/RC

The Runs Created and Base Runs were almost the same.  I'm not sure if this is normal or if I'm doing something wrong here.
If this was done correctly,  STL 1st 5 looks like a good play at almost even money.

'

Please let me know if I did this correctly.



 
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Posted: #1170
Quote Originally Posted by BLACKEN1772:

Pitt _ If you are serious I suggest you start at the beginning of this thread and do some reading. Everything you seek has been gone over multiple times. I wish you success and profits.

good insight1772, your correct, the thread speaks entirely for itself, with all descriptions in complete documented detail..ALL formulas, and their applications are located within, and the links they generate from, including MM, for the convenience of late arrivals; please understand, this is a "documentation" thread on successful MLB handicapping, the particapants are self educated, interested, and dedicated to study, with MLB cappin' experience, they all have one common denominator(as I myself share with them) to increase their success ratio, and gain the winning 'edge' best regards....SN

 
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Posted: #1171
mojator
 
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Posted: #1172
eganfordos69 / thx for the stats tracking  SN
 
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Posted: #1173
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Wed,07/08/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
Diamondbacks-152  5innings...loss
Giants-112  5innings...loss
Rangers+128  5innings...win
 
Mets+132 ML...win
Brewers-112 ML...win
Phillies+129 RL...loss
 
WAS/COL OVER 10...win
KC/DET  UNDER 8.5...win
OAK/BOS  OVER 9...push
CLE/CHW  UNDER 9.5...win
NYY/MIN  UNDER 9.5...win
 
 
eleven PAC formulated
projected ratio: 8/11  72.7%
 
 
FINAL RESULTS:
7-3-1
units:+12.6
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1174
Shouldn't the NYY/MIN u9.5 play be counted as cancelled due to the pitcher change voiding the wager?  at least that's how it was graded for me.
 
 
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Posted: #1175
Quote Originally Posted by 8lrr8:

Shouldn't the NYY/MIN u9.5 play be counted as cancelled due to the pitcher change voiding the wager?  at least that's how it was graded for me.

GOOD QUESTION, the game was listed correctly as a win,the wager was not based on being scratched because of a SP change, the wager was based on the game itself..best regards SN

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