This is a two-team, 8-game parlay chase on MLB totals that is more strategy (Stoffo's progression) than system. Plays are "capped" picks from a select few teams which trend heavily towards "overs" or "unders". Starting bankroll is 74 Units
I'm also adding an "Under-post-Shutout" system to this thread. This is a 5 game chase on any team to hit the "under" after they have been shutout. Starting bankroll is 30 Units
Monday 5/8 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105
(A) CWS UN no play
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This is a two-team, 8-game parlay chase on MLB totals that is more strategy (Stoffo's progression) than system. Plays are "capped" picks from a select few teams which trend heavily towards "overs" or "unders". Starting bankroll is 74 Units
I'm also adding an "Under-post-Shutout" system to this thread. This is a 5 game chase on any team to hit the "under" after they have been shutout. Starting bankroll is 30 Units
This is a two-team, 8-game parlay chase on MLB totals that is more strategy (Stoffo's progression) than system. Plays are "capped" picks from a select few teams which trend heavily towards "overs" or "unders". Starting bankroll is 74 Units
I'm also adding an "Under-post-Shutout" system to this thread. This is a 5 game chase on any team to hit the "under" after they have been shutout. Starting bankroll is 30 Units
Monday 5/8 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105
(A) CWS UN no play
You know I had to do this!
Quick back test on your 5-game chase for an under after a shutout.
Instances of 5 Overs after a shutout:
2016: 4 times (April=1, May=1, July=1, August=1) 2015: 6 times (April=3, June=1, August=2) 2014: 7 times (April=2, May=2, June=1, Sept=2) 2013: 8 times (April=1, May=3, June=2, July=1, August=1)
Instances of shutouts:
2016: 286 2015: 343 2014: 357 2013: 338
Average shutouts before failed chase:
2016: 71 2015: 57 2014: 51 2013: 42
2017 has had 44 shutouts so far with no failed 5-game chases.
Good luck!
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Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:
This is a two-team, 8-game parlay chase on MLB totals that is more strategy (Stoffo's progression) than system. Plays are "capped" picks from a select few teams which trend heavily towards "overs" or "unders". Starting bankroll is 74 Units
I'm also adding an "Under-post-Shutout" system to this thread. This is a 5 game chase on any team to hit the "under" after they have been shutout. Starting bankroll is 30 Units
Monday 5/8 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105
(A) CWS UN no play
You know I had to do this!
Quick back test on your 5-game chase for an under after a shutout.
Instances of 5 Overs after a shutout:
2016: 4 times (April=1, May=1, July=1, August=1) 2015: 6 times (April=3, June=1, August=2) 2014: 7 times (April=2, May=2, June=1, Sept=2) 2013: 8 times (April=1, May=3, June=2, July=1, August=1)
Instances of shutouts:
2016: 286 2015: 343 2014: 357 2013: 338
Average shutouts before failed chase:
2016: 71 2015: 57 2014: 51 2013: 42
2017 has had 44 shutouts so far with no failed 5-game chases.
Huskers, appreciate the backtest/results. I played this last season and managed to clear almost 60units in spite of 6 chase losses, and am well in the plus so far this season...thought I'd post it and share!
Monday 5/8 Results:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U LOSS -1U
YTD: -1U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110pushed
(A) NYM UN 7 -110 pushed
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105 LOSS -1.1U
(A) CWS UN no play
YTD: -1.1U
Tuesday 5/9 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 2
NYY/CIN OV 9 and KC/TB UN 8 risking 2U to win 5.64U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(B) KC UN 8 -110 risking 2.3U to win 2.1U
(A) CWS UN 9 -115
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Huskers, appreciate the backtest/results. I played this last season and managed to clear almost 60units in spite of 6 chase losses, and am well in the plus so far this season...thought I'd post it and share!
Monday 5/8 Results:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U LOSS -1U
YTD: -1U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110pushed
(A) NYM UN 7 -110 pushed
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105 LOSS -1.1U
(A) CWS UN no play
YTD: -1.1U
Tuesday 5/9 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 2
NYY/CIN OV 9 and KC/TB UN 8 risking 2U to win 5.64U
Huskers, appreciate the backtest/results. I played this last season and managed to clear almost 60units in spite of 6 chase losses, and am well in the plus so far this season...thought I'd post it and share!
Monday 5/8 Results:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U LOSS -1U
YTD: -1U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110pushed
(A) NYM UN 7 -110 pushed
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105 LOSS -1.1U
(A) CWS UN no play
YTD: -1.1U
Tuesday 5/9 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 2
NYY/CIN OV 9 and KC/TB UN 8 risking 2U to win 5.64U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(B) KC UN 8 -110 risking 2.3U to win 2.1U
(A) CWS UN 9 -115
Sounds good, man. Thank you for sharing!
Looked like quite a few shutouts between losses, especially last year. Hadn't done a full bet analysis on last year, but it looked promising. Glad to hear it's performing well. I'm gonna follow along.
0
Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:
Huskers, appreciate the backtest/results. I played this last season and managed to clear almost 60units in spite of 6 chase losses, and am well in the plus so far this season...thought I'd post it and share!
Monday 5/8 Results:
The Parlay: Game 1
NYY/CIN OV8.5 and KC/TB UN7.5 1U to win 2.44U LOSS -1U
YTD: -1U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110pushed
(A) NYM UN 7 -110 pushed
(A) KC UN 7.5 -105 LOSS -1.1U
(A) CWS UN no play
YTD: -1.1U
Tuesday 5/9 Plays:
The Parlay: Game 2
NYY/CIN OV 9 and KC/TB UN 8 risking 2U to win 5.64U
The Unders:
(A) SFG UN 7 -110
(A) NYM UN 7 -110
(B) KC UN 8 -110 risking 2.3U to win 2.1U
(A) CWS UN 9 -115
Sounds good, man. Thank you for sharing!
Looked like quite a few shutouts between losses, especially last year. Hadn't done a full bet analysis on last year, but it looked promising. Glad to hear it's performing well. I'm gonna follow along.
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