All Forums | Systems & Strategies

MLB/NHL Betting System

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 16981
Posts: 124
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #101
Still on hold, no games today either.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #102
No games today...
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #103
One game today.

Cle RL +120@Det ML +110
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #104
One game today.

Cle RL +120@Det ML +110
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 8
Posted: #105
Scriver, or anyone that may know. What is the "ca" term Scriver uses often in his posts. Probably obvious but I'd rather just ask and get it over with rather than sit here feeling stupid. Also I'm assuming those are supposed to be decimal points and not commas in his units won, etc. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by RisingDough:

Scriver, or anyone that may know. What is the "ca" term Scriver uses often in his posts. Probably obvious but I'd rather just ask and get it over with rather than sit here feeling stupid. Also I'm assuming those are supposed to be decimal points and not commas in his units won, etc. 

Regarding what CA stands for, not sure.

Regarding the YTD format, I only see decimal points in the YTD statements. I'm sure I may have missed a couple so in any event, you are correct, they should all be decimal points.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #107
Det won, so that's +0.1U.

YTD: +1.91U

Today's games:

Cle RL +135@Det ML +110
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #108
Det won today for another +0.1U.

YTD: +2.01U
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #109
3 games match our criteria today:

Pit RL +125@Cin ML +120
Nym RL +120@Atl ML +120
Col RL +135@SD ML +110

Parlays:
Pit RL/Nym RL/Col RL
Pit RL/Nym RL/SD ML
Pit RL/Atl ML/Col RL
Pit RL/Atl ML/SD ML
Cin ML/Nym RL/Col RL
Cin ML/Nym RL/SD ML
Cin ML/Atl ML/Col RL
Cin ML/Atl ML/SD ML
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #110
Sweet! Another 3-gamer! Good luck!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #111
Thanks huskers!

We got a win yesterday on the Cin ML/Nym RL/Col RL parlay. That's +3.38U

YTD: +5.39U
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #112
No games for today.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #113
On tap for today:
Bos RL +115@Min ML +120
Hou RL +125@Laa ML +110

Parlays:
Bos RL/Hou RL
Bos RL/Laa ML
Min ML/Hou RL
Min ML/Laa ML
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #114
Bad day yesterday. Huge comeback in the 9th by the angels doomed us. Lost 4U.

YTD: 1.39U

Not able to check the games today but will do so later on. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #115
Haven't had a chance to check this the last couple of days. Will try today but my schedule is kind of hectic ATM.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #116
Planning on resuming this tomorrow.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #117
No games today. LAD@SF total is only 7.5.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 60
Posted: #118
Only game today:

NYY RL +120/KC ML +120
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 26
Posted: #119
Hello and thank you to everyone who's been contributing to this thread.  I'm sure w1s3k1d got busy so maybe I can kickstart this back up.

A question I had, if there were 4 games that fit, would you pick the 3 you prefer or split it into 2 2-team parlays?

Today there are 4 games that fit the bill:
LAD RL +145 @ STL ML +101 (o/u 8)
CHC RL +115 @ SD ML +132 (o/u 8.5)
NYY RL +110 @ BAL ML +132 (o/u 8.5)
DET RL +120 @ KC ML +121 (o/u 9)

Also, nfl_huskers, have you run any tests on whether this is profitable over an entire season?  I see that you're running very helpful tests on the probability of certain outcomes, I'm just wondering whether you've seen anything to suggest that this is a good profit.  I always wonder about profit when I see that a successful night (straight bets) results in .2 units won whereas an unsuccessful night results in 2 units lost.  So you'd need to win 10 times to account for every loss.  Any insight would be appreciated and if I can be of service in tracking this system I'm happy to help
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 61
Posted: #120
None of these games fit the system that you have listed...check post #1 in this thread and the win percentages required for it to be a play
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2017
Posts: 26
Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by w1s3k1d:

I want to get peoples opinions on this. This has been very profitable for me over the last couple of years. I wanted to know what you all thought about it and see if there was any way to improve it. This only works on sports where the PL/RL is always -1.5 (so MLB and NHL).

The idea is to bet on opposite teams in a parlay bet, grabbing + odds for every pick. 

For example, let's say you have Red Sox vs Yankees and then Cubs vs Cardinals and the odds look like this:

Red Sox: ML -160, RL +130
Yankees: ML +130, RL -200

Cubs: ML -170, RL +120
Cardinals: ML +135, RL -190

I would parlay all 4 possible winning combinations, taking the + odds for every pick:

Parlay 1: Sox RL, Cubs RL
Parlay 2: Sox RL, Cards ML
Parlay 3: Yanks ML, Cubs RL
Parlay 4: Yanks ML, Cards ML

The only way you would lose is if either the Sox and/or Cubs win by exactly 1 run. Chances of winning are very high, but your profits aren't going to be that high depending on the amount you bet on it and also if you add something else to each parlay. 

If you were to put $50 on each of the 4 parlays, you'd spend $200 total and make between $253 ($50 profit) and $270 ($70 profit) if you win. 

I tend to add the biggest ML fave to each parlay, even if it's at -300. That will noticeably increase the payout.

The system pays more in NHL, but there's more risk because goals don't come around as often as runs in MLB. Even + line between ML and RL in MLB is about +130. In NHL, that's about +160.

I don't have any results handy but I plan on starting this year as soon as the regular season kicks off!

Sorry, but I don't see any mention of win percentages in post #1.  Maybe it was discussed later and you could point me in that direction?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by grabbitt:


Sorry, but I don't see any mention of win percentages in post #1.  Maybe it was discussed later and you could point me in that direction?

Hey grabbitt,

You are correct. This thread was not using winning percentages as part of the filtering. It was using Away Favorites and O/U Total of 8 or higher. There was also some additional filtering on favorable odds, but I'm not sure what the criteria was for that.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by grabbitt:

Hello and thank you to everyone who's been contributing to this thread.  I'm sure w1s3k1d got busy so maybe I can kickstart this back up.

A question I had, if there were 4 games that fit, would you pick the 3 you prefer or split it into 2 2-team parlays?

Today there are 4 games that fit the bill:
LAD RL +145 @ STL ML +101 (o/u 8)
CHC RL +115 @ SD ML +132 (o/u 8.5)
NYY RL +110 @ BAL ML +132 (o/u 8.5)
DET RL +120 @ KC ML +121 (o/u 9)

Also, nfl_huskers, have you run any tests on whether this is profitable over an entire season?  I see that you're running very helpful tests on the probability of certain outcomes, I'm just wondering whether you've seen anything to suggest that this is a good profit.  I always wonder about profit when I see that a successful night (straight bets) results in .2 units won whereas an unsuccessful night results in 2 units lost.  So you'd need to win 10 times to account for every loss.  Any insight would be appreciated and if I can be of service in tracking this system I'm happy to help

I started to back test the system, but I wasn't sure of the exact criteria being used, except for Away Favorites and O/U Total greater than 8, so I just used that filtering.

On days when the number of plays was even, I split them up into 2-team parlays. So, four plays turned into two 2-team parlays. If the number of plays was three, I used a 3-team parlay. If the number of plays was odd and greater than 3, such as 5, then I used one 2-team parlay and one 3-team parlay.  Basically, tried to use all available plays.  Make sense?

I'd have to go back over the data for 2016. I didn't save the results. I just remember bouncing between break even and a profit of +15 units. Never went negative.

Those 3-team parlays were good and bad. They went on quite a few winning streaks, and were the primary reason for the +15 unit profit. However, there were a couple losing streaks that dropped it back to break even very quickly.

I personally think that the system can be profitable because it is based on two filters that generate a positive ROI on the run line. However, I just mentioned those filters early in this thread as a starting point.

More research needs to be done on the games where the run line loses. This system multi-team parlay also wins if the underdog wins. We need to maximize the instances where the underdog wins and minimize the instances where the favorite only wins by 1.

I need to play around with those numbers.
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2017
Posts: 732
Posted: #124
Hello people. I started using this system a month ago, making parlays in the MLB playoffs, the Japanese and Korean playoffs of baseball. Also, i did it in NHL.

The results were amazing. +6 units. I'm excited on the start of the next MLB season in 2018.

Also, I might add, I was probably very lucky, and I need to be very careful with the games I pick, But I never had so many good results with a system before.
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.