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nba parlay system

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Posted: #1

nba parlay system

heres one I saw in a e-book I picked up on sports betting.

only bet on home teams

both home teams must be above 600 pct

teams thier playing against must be below 400 pct.

it doesn't say if the bet is on moneyline or pointspread

watch out for injuries

 

 
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Posted: #2

I decided to test this out on spreadpoint bet.

todays parlays are

Den  and lal

 
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Posted: #3
den and lal
 
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Posted: #4

todays parlay dec 2

Atl  and orl 

 
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Posted: #5
 
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Posted: #6
Good one bro...........
Yeah its been around for a minute but cant' find any prior results myself neither
Also don't forget for what its worth the team with the .600 hm win % must be above .500
The team with below .400 rd win % must be below .500 if I'm correct
if I am correct
Yes I would say about the injuries applies to only the starting line up or at least a good 6th man
Pending how it goes would it be an option to chase considering the risk vs payout ratio regarding the ML parlays
Your right about whether to parlay the spread or ML's
Hmmm............
If your able to track both just in case that be cool
................... man
 
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Posted: #7
 
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Posted: #9

atl  -  orl 

record so far

1-1    ml

1-1    spread

 
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Posted: #10
just weak
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by rudie:

just weak

if the parlay bet is on spread then 50% wins so far is not weak its profit.

 
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Posted: #12
If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.
 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by PatrickBateman:

If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.

I took a look at that. it looks like it started out good then fell apart.

heres another thought I have.  the plays could probably be  bet on the spreadpoint but just bet them straight and don't parlay them. could try it both ways.   for me personally I think with parlays I'm sticking to 2 or 3 teams and I'm going to also try just betting them straight on spreadpoint line. I'm going to be playing both ways.

 
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Posted: #14

dec 4th qualifying plays

atl

cle

uta

looks like uta has a couple of new injury's but the line is falling so it might still be a ok bet.

 
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Posted: #15
I parlayed atl and cle together.
 
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Posted: #16
I also parlayed cle and uta.
 
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Posted: #17
another winning night GOOD JOB!
 
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Posted: #18

thanks rome hopefully I will continue to hit them.

 

atl and cle

cle and uta

ml  2-2

sp  2-2

 

it doesn't look like  theres going to be anything till at least tuesday

 
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Posted: #19
Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.
 
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Posted: #20

Quote Originally Posted by jbrent95:

Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.

 

do you have the breakdown for the last 5 years

 
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Posted: #21
I personaly think the calculation is off for ats. only 30% parlays need to come in too break even.
 
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Posted: #22
I was also thinking about putting SU on a 10% method betting it looks like it would definitly work out thou some bets would be real steep.  I'm thinking as far as parlays go to parlay starting with strongest teams and going to weakest teams I wonder if theres a way to go back and check how that turned out ats  in previous years.
 
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Posted: #23
I forgot to state what the rest of the system was in my first post but montanamax stated what the rest was in the six post.  thinking about filters like maybe not to include teams playing east against west or something like that. especially if it's the first game of a  2 or 3 game road trip. those types of teams often cover.  maybe after this season is over and see where my losses are.
 
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Posted: #24
I think it's more like 33% parlays ATS to break even.
 
 
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Posted: #25

this is the whole system

two teams chosen must be at home

2 home teams chosen must be above 500 pct

2 home teams chosen must be above 600 pct at home

road teams must be below 500 pct

road teams must be below 400 pct on the road

watch out for injurys

 

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