All Forums | Systems & Strategies

New Strategy

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 214746
Posts: 2552
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 1175
Posted: #1476
BetEd offers 1 or 2 runs in first inning.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1477
Game 3 winner +1.25 units.
No official DT.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1478
FINAL RECAP
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 91-80 (53%) since June 19.


13:00_Game_1_chw/det__Y_+100_
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__Y__+135_
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_Y__+135_
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_Y__+130_43-3, +1.25 unit
20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y/N_-115_no play
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__N_+100_
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_Y__+150_

 Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__y_+135_L
or
19:00_phi/fla___y_+135_L
20:00_hou/stl__y_+125_W
20:40_sfo/col___n_-110_L
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_L
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+150_W
AL
13:00_chw/det_y_+100_L
19:00_min/tbr_y_+105_W
or
19:00_laa/bal_n_+105_W
22:00_tex/sea_y_+135_L
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1479
FINAL RECAP
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
Version 2.0 Favorites
13:00_Game_1_chw/det__n_-130_W
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__n__-165_W
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_n__-165_W
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_n__-155_L
20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y_-120_W
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__y_-130_W
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_n__-180_L
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__N_-165_W
or
19:00_phi/fla___N_-165_W
20:00_hou/stl__N_-155_L
20:40_sfo/col___Y_-120_W
21:40_was/arz_Y_-130_W
22:00_sdp/lad__N_-180_L
AL
13:00_chw/det_N_-130_W
19:00_min/tbr_N_-135_L
or
19:00_laa/bal_Y_-135_L
22:00_tex/sea_N_-165_W
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 74
Posted: #1480

thanks kkirby99

word is they controled my account and put my max per wager in just $1

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1481
Anybody know what the cin/pit bingo yes/no bingo lines were?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 2312
Posted: #1482
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

Anybody know what the cin/pit bingo yes/no bingo lines were?


5Dimes had +100 on YES, so I would assume BetUS would have been better. Looks like it was a Winner.

I would have played it if Pinnacle would have had it.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 42
Posted: #1483
Cin/Pitt +115 at betus. - Winner
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1484
Version 1.0 Dogs
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_44-3, +1.15 units
DOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_
19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_

Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_Win
mil/chc_y_-110_
sfo/col_y_+110_
nym/atl_y_+105_
hou/stl_y_+130_
was/arz_n_+100_
sdp/lad_y_+130_
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105
kcr/oak_y_+120
min/tbr_y_+110
tex/sea_y_+130

Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_


Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_
sfo/col_n_-140_
nym/atl_n_-135_
hou/stl_n_-160_
was/arz_y_-130_
sdp/lad_n_-160_

AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_
kcr/oak_n_-150
min/tbr_n_-140
tex/sea_n_-160


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 2312
Posted: #1485
Where the hell is everyone?

Cashed your 2 Wins for the day all ready and no one cares??

Bummed I didn't get the chance to start this today, as I had planned.

Be with ya tomorrow hopefully!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1486
ST and DT hit for +2.35 units today.
13.90 units won since last chase loss.

Welcome kreatture.  Wish you would have been with us (who ever "us" is anymore) from the beginning.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 293
Posted: #1487
5 days up 500.00. YOUR THE MAN!!!!!!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1488
Quote Originally Posted by inyourpockets:

5 days up 500.00. YOUR THE MAN!!!!!!


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 146
Posted: #1489
Hey Smitty!

Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY.  Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot.  If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed.   With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.

Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1490
Quote Originally Posted by Prime1:

Hey Smitty!

Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY.  Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot.  If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed.   With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.

Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.





I posted on sbr last night how the system will handle identical lines in same time slot. Must have forgot to do it here.

Play both for 1/2 unit taking into consideration where were at in the chase.  That way you will either lose a unit (0-2), win one (2-0, or push (1-1).
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 2067
Posted: #1491

I'm still here

Yup, I got over myself after the last loss and nutted up this week. I was taking this shit too serious. Its not like this is my primary income.

While I still wanna never lose, i am taking a f-it attitude with my approach. Seems like i make less mistakes/bad decisions that way. Its bad to bet when you are pissed or tense about the outcome...

AND now we have Kreatture?! Welcome to Flunkytown K!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1492
FINAL RECAP
+2.35 units today.  +13.90 units since last chase loss on July 27.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_44-3, +1.15 units
DOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_27-2, +1.20 units
19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_moved to -110 so no play
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_

Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_W
mil/chc_y_-110_L
sfo/col_y_+110_L
nym/atl_y_+105_W
hou/stl_y_+130_W
was/arz_n_+100_L
sdp/lad_y_+130_L
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105_L
kcr/oak_y_+120_W
min/tbr_y_+110_L
tex/sea_y_+130_W

Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_W
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_L
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_W
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_L
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_W
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_L
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_L


Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_W
sfo/col_n_-140_W
nym/atl_n_-135_L
hou/stl_n_-160_L
was/arz_y_-130_W
sdp/lad_n_-160_W

AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_W
kcr/oak_n_-150_L
min/tbr_n_-140_W
tex/sea_n_-160_L
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1493
We are leaving money on the table by not chasing both ways. I can't think of anyway around it then to play game 1 yes and no knowing your gonna lose one of them. Then just chase the other way till you win.
Any thoughts?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 2153
Posted: #1494

At least Kreatur has a nice Rack.  uhhhh... avatar.

Just an FYI to everyone. Last few days I have been busting my ass looking at 1st inning runs to see what our REAL chance of winning would be. So here are some BASICS of what I have gathered:

1. Texas has hit 60% in last month 1st inn runs. 

2. KC, BAL, NYM, LAA, OAK & AZ give up a lot of 1st inn runs.

3. LAA cannot seem to score in the 1st. BOS, SD Barely better than LAA (have both hit 4X while LAA has 3X since all star game) 

4. Since All Star game: AL has hit 57% of 1st inn runs NL has hit 48%. Put the AL & NL together and you have have 53.6321%  of the games that have at least 1 run scored in it. (NOT Counting todays OR yesterdays games. Will get to em later tonight)

5. Good scoring teams since All star: Minn, NYY, AZ, SF, Mil, TB. And TEX. Tex By FAR THE BEST 1st inning run team this season. They literally blow the competition away.  I willing you could tail them from day to day and win. I don't care who is pitching. They seem to get hot. Real Hot from time to time.

6. Cin and PIT was great at beg of year. Suck as of late.  But I did win with them the other day LOL.

7. ATTENTION****  Worst day I have seen on a FULL schedule (15 games) was "3" games with runs. Best day I have seen was 11 games scored 1st inning runs and one game that day was PPD. So, in other words, this system SHOULD WIN CONSISTENTLY.

8. A normal full schedule day USUALLY HAS between 6 & 9  games that will score in the 1st. Usually! More 6/7 games.

9. I have yet to see any days that do no have a game with a run scored in the 1st. Even minimal game days. I'm not done taking data yet from this year though.  

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 214
Posted: #1495
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

We are leaving money on the table by not chasing both ways. I can't think of anyway around it then to play game 1 yes and no knowing your gonna lose one of them. Then just chase the other way till you win.
Any thoughts?
I like the + money aspect of  the original version because your actually making a little more than one unit and over time that adds up. The other way around you dont even make a unit
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 95
Posted: #1496
Just logged in to say I'm still with you guys. Been lurking since page 21. We just need to play the system based on what we feel is right. I added in law of average into your original system (version 1). Today I played No -150 Dodger and it hit. I do agree with Smithler about how we have to mix it up a bit but be careful laying the chalk b/c it is costly when you lose. I tend to play the plus money 85% of the time though. Keep it up guys, I check this post at least once a day, just too lazy to log on and post.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1497
Thursday, Aug 5, 2010, 10 Games, V 1.0 only 2 plays today.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.

Times listed are EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__Y_+145_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_Y_+155_

Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__y_+145_
21:30_was/arz_n_-105_
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+135_
AL
12:00_min/tbr__y_-105_
13:00_chw/det_y_-105_
19:00_laa/bal__y_-110_
19:00_cle/bos__y_-110_
22:00_tex/sea__y_+155_
 Version 2.0 Favorites
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__N_-175_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_N_-185_

Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__n_-175_
21:30_was/arz_y_-125_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_+165_

AL
12:00_min/tbr__n_-125_
13:00_chw/det_n_-125_
19:00_laa/bal__n_-120_
19:00_cle/bos__n_-120_
22:00_tex/sea__n_-185_
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #1498
Gonna try small $ experiment +100 yes at bookmaker, and -125 no on betus for both early games then chase loser.
This may be non-productive but the only way for me to fully understand the ramifications is to try it.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 95
Posted: #1499
You guys should definitely consider throwing some cheese on the LA/Balt game. They went scoreless in the 1st inning 2 games already, and 3 time is a charm. I'm going in for a unit.
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 95
Posted: #1500
My book doesn't have the odds listed yet but it'll be a Yes for the Angels/Orioles for me. I'm also thinking of playing No for the Rockies/Pirates game but it's on the same time as the Angels game so I'm probably going to ride the angels game since the odds on that game will most likely be lower.
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.