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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Strategy

    «First Previous 676869 ... 101102103 Next Last»
    smitler
    730champ
    jvarghese
    bulichm
    inyourpockets
    ...
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    «First Previous 676869 ... 101102103 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 12:12 PM ET #1651

    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__n_-175_
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__n_-140_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_n_-180_


    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__n_-175_
    20:00_atl/hou__n_-140_
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-180_

    2.2 AL
    14:00_bos/nyy_n_-145_
    20:00_nyy/tex__y_-125_
    20:00_min/chw_n_-125_
    22:00_oak/sea_n_-190_
    Reply
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    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__n_-175_
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__n_-140_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_n_-180_


    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__n_-175_
    20:00_atl/hou__n_-140_
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-180_

    2.2 AL
    14:00_bos/nyy_n_-145_
    20:00_nyy/tex__y_-125_
    20:00_min/chw_n_-125_
    22:00_oak/sea_n_-190_
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 12:20 PM ET #1652


    BUMP
    5.65 units to get back to even.
    Still up (20.75 - 5.65) 15.1 units since last chase loss on July 24.
    Congrats to all who nutted-up last night on game 4.
    You too vixen321.

    Tuesday, Aug 9, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 48-4 (59.05 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 108-96 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__Y_+145_
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__Y_+110_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_Y_+160_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 NL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__y_+145_
    20:00_atl/hou__y_+110_
    22:00_chc/sfo__y_+150_

    1.2 AL
    14:00_bos/nyy_y_+115_
    20:00_nyy/tex__n_105_
    20:00_min/chw_y_-105_
    22:00_oak/sea_y_+160_
    Reply
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    BUMP
    5.65 units to get back to even.
    Still up (20.75 - 5.65) 15.1 units since last chase loss on July 24.
    Congrats to all who nutted-up last night on game 4.
    You too vixen321.

    Tuesday, Aug 9, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 48-4 (59.05 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 108-96 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__Y_+145_
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__Y_+110_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_Y_+160_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 NL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__y_+145_
    20:00_atl/hou__y_+110_
    22:00_chc/sfo__y_+150_

    1.2 AL
    14:00_bos/nyy_y_+115_
    20:00_nyy/tex__n_105_
    20:00_min/chw_y_-105_
    22:00_oak/sea_y_+160_
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 1:00 PM ET #1653

    Yes, after we lost that 4-game chase a while back, I decided the system should only chase 3 max and then just go for 1 unit after 3 consecutive losses.
    This system is only 52 days old so its still a work in progress and since we are up units already the system needs to protect them to increase the chance of longevity.
    It was not beneficial last night, but at some point we will have another 4-game chase loss.
    If we don't for the rest of the season then next year it will be on like donkey kong.

    For you 49-3 players it looks like this:
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-3 (60.40 units won) (25 units lost)
    +22.10 units won since last chase loss on July 24.
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    Yes, after we lost that 4-game chase a while back, I decided the system should only chase 3 max and then just go for 1 unit after 3 consecutive losses.
    This system is only 52 days old so its still a work in progress and since we are up units already the system needs to protect them to increase the chance of longevity.
    It was not beneficial last night, but at some point we will have another 4-game chase loss.
    If we don't for the rest of the season then next year it will be on like donkey kong.

    For you 49-3 players it looks like this:
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-3 (60.40 units won) (25 units lost)
    +22.10 units won since last chase loss on July 24.
     
    730champ
    730champ
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 1:27 PM ET #1654

    scary with only 3 games...  have faith i guess
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    scary with only 3 games...  have faith i guess
     
    jvarghese
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 5:08 PM ET #1655

    gotta have the faith, faith, faith!!!

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    gotta have the faith, faith, faith!!!

     
    730champ
    730champ
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 5:31 PM ET #1656

    has anybody been playing the other versions have they lost yet?
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    has anybody been playing the other versions have they lost yet?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 6:19 PM ET #1657

    There was a v2 chase loss just 3 or 4 days ago.  I'm still in the lab trying to figure out playing both ways.
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    There was a v2 chase loss just 3 or 4 days ago.  I'm still in the lab trying to figure out playing both ways.
     
    bulichm
    bulichm
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 6:40 PM ET #1658

    Sorry I can't post as much as I want. But I think you have to watch how many Y and N make a cover for the day. Yesterday I bet the last 3 gms Y and divided all the losses plus what I wanted to gain because their was only one Y win and 4 or 5 N wins. and they all covered. Y wins have been winning at the rate of 52% since the All Stars gm. And only once I think they won only 3 in a day.
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    Sorry I can't post as much as I want. But I think you have to watch how many Y and N make a cover for the day. Yesterday I bet the last 3 gms Y and divided all the losses plus what I wanted to gain because their was only one Y win and 4 or 5 N wins. and they all covered. Y wins have been winning at the rate of 52% since the All Stars gm. And only once I think they won only 3 in a day.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:20 PM ET #1659

    CHA FUCKING CHING!!
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    CHA FUCKING CHING!!
     
    730champ
    730champ
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #1660

    boom thats what im talking about a quick game 1 winner...  one unit back in the pocket fellas
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    boom thats what im talking about a quick game 1 winner...  one unit back in the pocket fellas
     
    730champ
    730champ
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:23 PM ET #1661

    nice kickback also
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    nice kickback also
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:25 PM ET #1662

    1.2 play is nyy/tex no +105
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    1.2 play is nyy/tex no +105
     
    730champ
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:33 PM ET #1663

    hmm do i get ballsy and switch the last two to no playing the favorite version.
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    hmm do i get ballsy and switch the last two to no playing the favorite version.
     
    inyourpockets
    inyourpockets
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 7:40 PM ET #1664

    Love first game winners!!!!!
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    Love first game winners!!!!!
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #1665

    This is the shit I'm talking about!
    Although I did not post or play the version 2 system today, I tracked and they all hit.
    1.0 winner
    1.1 winner
    1.2 winner
    2.0 winner col/nym no
    2.1 winner col/nym no
    2.2 winner tbr/det no

    Hours in the lab may finally be paying off.
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    This is the shit I'm talking about!
    Although I did not post or play the version 2 system today, I tracked and they all hit.
    1.0 winner
    1.1 winner
    1.2 winner
    2.0 winner col/nym no
    2.1 winner col/nym no
    2.2 winner tbr/det no

    Hours in the lab may finally be paying off.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 9:38 PM ET #1666

    Smitler,

    Great thread.  Check in nearly every day but haven't posted yet.  Have you thought about running this bad boy with some aggressive labby lines???  Seems your percentages would be at or above 50% for each level of play.  You would recoup your losses much more quickly.... Sorry if this has already been discussed previously.

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    Smitler,

    Great thread.  Check in nearly every day but haven't posted yet.  Have you thought about running this bad boy with some aggressive labby lines???  Seems your percentages would be at or above 50% for each level of play.  You would recoup your losses much more quickly.... Sorry if this has already been discussed previously.

     
    vixen321
    vixen321
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 9:48 PM ET #1667

    Quote Originally Posted by bulichm:

    Sorry I can't post as much as I want. But I think you have to watch how many Y and N make a cover for the day. Yesterday I bet the last 3 gms Y and divided all the losses plus what I wanted to gain because their was only one Y win and 4 or 5 N wins. and they all covered. Y wins have been winning at the rate of 52% since the All Stars gm. And only once I think they won only 3 in a day.


    Tonite 7 no and 4 yes. So for 10Pm games: take all yes and double up on the V1 for 10PM game?
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    Quote Originally Posted by bulichm:

    Sorry I can't post as much as I want. But I think you have to watch how many Y and N make a cover for the day. Yesterday I bet the last 3 gms Y and divided all the losses plus what I wanted to gain because their was only one Y win and 4 or 5 N wins. and they all covered. Y wins have been winning at the rate of 52% since the All Stars gm. And only once I think they won only 3 in a day.


    Tonite 7 no and 4 yes. So for 10Pm games: take all yes and double up on the V1 for 10PM game?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 9:59 PM ET #1668

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Smitler,

    Great thread.  Check in nearly every day but haven't posted yet.  Have you thought about running this bad boy with some aggressive labby lines???  Seems your percentages would be at or above 50% for each level of play.  You would recoup your losses much more quickly.... Sorry if this has already been discussed previously.



    Not good at labby lines and I don't think anybody has consistently posted anything about using that style.

    Would it be possible to post an example of what you're talking about starting with tomorrow's games?
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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Smitler,

    Great thread.  Check in nearly every day but haven't posted yet.  Have you thought about running this bad boy with some aggressive labby lines???  Seems your percentages would be at or above 50% for each level of play.  You would recoup your losses much more quickly.... Sorry if this has already been discussed previously.



    Not good at labby lines and I don't think anybody has consistently posted anything about using that style.

    Would it be possible to post an example of what you're talking about starting with tomorrow's games?
     
    vixen321
    vixen321
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 10:38 PM ET #1669

    took all 10PM games as a yes bet and getting wood.
     2 wins + 2 losses= a win.  ( based on 4 yes and 7 no for tonite's games,  probability of yes winning as a dog bet favors the contrarion bettor and beats the books!! )  
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    took all 10PM games as a yes bet and getting wood.
     2 wins + 2 losses= a win.  ( based on 4 yes and 7 no for tonite's games,  probability of yes winning as a dog bet favors the contrarion bettor and beats the books!! )  
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 10:39 PM ET #1670

    FINAL RECAP
    -5.65  +1.45 = 4.2 units to get back to even from Aug 9 self-inflicted chase loss.
    Still up (20.75 - 5.65 +1.45) 16.55 units since prior chase loss on July 24.

    Tuesday, Aug 9, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-4 (60.50 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 109-98 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__Y_+145_49-4, +1.45 unit
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__Y_+110_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_Y_+160_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__y_+145_Win
    20:00_atl/hou__y_+110_Loss
    22:00_chc/sfo__y_+150_Win

    1.2 AL
    19:00_bos/tor__y_+115_Loss
    20:00_nyy/tex__n_105_Win Line moved to +105
    20:00_min/chw_y_-105_Win
    22:00_oak/sea_y_+160_Loss
    Reply
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    FINAL RECAP
    -5.65  +1.45 = 4.2 units to get back to even from Aug 9 self-inflicted chase loss.
    Still up (20.75 - 5.65 +1.45) 16.55 units since prior chase loss on July 24.

    Tuesday, Aug 9, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-4 (60.50 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 109-98 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__Y_+145_49-4, +1.45 unit
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__Y_+110_
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_Y_+160_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__y_+145_Win
    20:00_atl/hou__y_+110_Loss
    22:00_chc/sfo__y_+150_Win

    1.2 AL
    19:00_bos/tor__y_+115_Loss
    20:00_nyy/tex__n_105_Win Line moved to +105
    20:00_min/chw_y_-105_Win
    22:00_oak/sea_y_+160_Loss
     
    smitler
    smitler
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Aug. 10, 2010 - 10:41 PM ET #1671

    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__n_-175_Loss
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__n_-140_Win
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_n_-180_Win


    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__n_-175_Loss
    20:00_atl/hou__n_-140_Win
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-180_Loss

    2.2 AL
    19:00_bos/tor_n_-145_Win
    20:00_nyy/tex__y_-125_Loss
    20:00_min/chw_n_-125_Loss
    22:00_oak/sea_n_-190_Win
    Reply
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    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    19:00_Game_1_fla/was__n_-175_Loss
    20:00_Game_2_atl/hou__n_-140_Win
    22:00_Game_3_oak/sea_n_-180_Win


    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    19:00_
    fla/was__n_-175_Loss
    20:00_atl/hou__n_-140_Win
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-180_Loss

    2.2 AL
    19:00_bos/tor_n_-145_Win
    20:00_nyy/tex__y_-125_Loss
    20:00_min/chw_n_-125_Loss
    22:00_oak/sea_n_-190_Win
     
    sabia
    sabia
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2008
    Posts: 10444
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2010 - 3:05 AM ET #1672

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    This is the shit I'm talking about!
    Although I did not post or play the version 2 system today, I tracked and they all hit.
    1.0 winner
    1.1 winner
    1.2 winner
    2.0 winner col/nym no
    2.1 winner col/nym no
    2.2 winner tbr/det no

    Hours in the lab may finally be paying off.
    hi smit sounds very interesting ...........
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    This is the shit I'm talking about!
    Although I did not post or play the version 2 system today, I tracked and they all hit.
    1.0 winner
    1.1 winner
    1.2 winner
    2.0 winner col/nym no
    2.1 winner col/nym no
    2.2 winner tbr/det no

    Hours in the lab may finally be paying off.
    hi smit sounds very interesting ...........
     
    jvarghese
    jvarghese
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 7621
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2010 - 10:48 AM ET #1673

    let's get em on Wed again!!
    Reply
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    let's get em on Wed again!!
     
    smitler
    smitler
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2010 - 11:21 AM ET #1674

    Wednesday, Aug 10, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-4 (60.50 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 109-98 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    12:30_Game_1_stl/cin__Y_+135_
    13:00_Game_2_tbr/det_Y_+135_
    14:00_Game_3_atl/hou_Y_+135_
    15:30_Game_4_kcr/laa_Y_+135_
    19:00_Game_5_col/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_6_nyy/tex_Y_+105_
    22:00_Game_7_pit/sdp_Y_+135_
    22:00_Game_8_chc/sfo_Y_+135_
    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    12:30_stl/cin__Y_+135_
    14:00_
    atl/hou_Y_+135_
    19:00_col/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_arz/mil__Y_-110_
    22:00_chc/sfo__Y_+135_
    22:00_pit/sdp__Y_+135_
    1.2 AL
    13:00_tbr/det_Y_+135_
    15:30_kcr/laa_Y_+135_
    19:00_bos/tor_Y_+105_
    20:00_nyy/tex_Y_+105_

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    Wednesday, Aug 10, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 49-4 (60.50 units won) (30.65 units lost)
    Double-tap
    (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 29-2 (36.15 units won) (22 units lost)
    Straight record: 109-98 (52%) since June 19.

    Times listed are
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    12:30_Game_1_stl/cin__Y_+135_
    13:00_Game_2_tbr/det_Y_+135_
    14:00_Game_3_atl/hou_Y_+135_
    15:30_Game_4_kcr/laa_Y_+135_
    19:00_Game_5_col/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_6_nyy/tex_Y_+105_
    22:00_Game_7_pit/sdp_Y_+135_
    22:00_Game_8_chc/sfo_Y_+135_
    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL
    12:30_stl/cin__Y_+135_
    14:00_
    atl/hou_Y_+135_
    19:00_col/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_arz/mil__Y_-110_
    22:00_chc/sfo__Y_+135_
    22:00_pit/sdp__Y_+135_
    1.2 AL
    13:00_tbr/det_Y_+135_
    15:30_kcr/laa_Y_+135_
    19:00_bos/tor_Y_+105_
    20:00_nyy/tex_Y_+105_

     
     
    smitler
    smitler
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2010 - 11:26 AM ET #1675

    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    12:30_Game_1_stl/cin__n_-165_
    13:00_Game_2_tbr/det_n_-165_
    14:00_Game_3_atl/hou_n_-165_
    15:30_Game_4_kcr/laa_n_-165_
    19:00_Game_5_col/nym_n_-155_
    20:00_Game_6_nyy/tex_n_-135_
    22:00_Game_7_pit/sdp_n_-165_
    22:00_Game_8_chc/sfo_n_-165_
    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    12:30_stl/cin__n_-165_
    14:00_
    atl/hou_n_-165_
    19:00_col/nym_n_-155_
    20:00_arz/mil__n_-120_
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-165_
    22:00_pit/sdp__n_-165_
    2.2 AL
    13:00_tbr/det_n_-165_
    15:30_kcr/laa_n_-165_
    19:00_bos/tor_n_-135_
    20:00_nyy/tex_n_-135_
    Reply
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    Report User
    Version 2.0 Favorites AL/NL
    12:30_Game_1_stl/cin__n_-165_
    13:00_Game_2_tbr/det_n_-165_
    14:00_Game_3_atl/hou_n_-165_
    15:30_Game_4_kcr/laa_n_-165_
    19:00_Game_5_col/nym_n_-155_
    20:00_Game_6_nyy/tex_n_-135_
    22:00_Game_7_pit/sdp_n_-165_
    22:00_Game_8_chc/sfo_n_-165_
    Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    2.1 NL
    12:30_stl/cin__n_-165_
    14:00_
    atl/hou_n_-165_
    19:00_col/nym_n_-155_
    20:00_arz/mil__n_-120_
    22:00_chc/sfo__n_-165_
    22:00_pit/sdp__n_-165_
    2.2 AL
    13:00_tbr/det_n_-165_
    15:30_kcr/laa_n_-165_
    19:00_bos/tor_n_-135_
    20:00_nyy/tex_n_-135_
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