you should be thankful for missing plays and being even man. Think of a straight chaser. If someone actually chased the whole V1 schedule today, they're probably about to commit suicide right now.
yeah true
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Quote Originally Posted by S_A_I_N_T_S:
you should be thankful for missing plays and being even man. Think of a straight chaser. If someone actually chased the whole V1 schedule today, they're probably about to commit suicide right now.
FINAL RECAP BLOODY SUNDAY EVERY CHASERS WORST NIGHTMARE Pure 7-game chase cost roughly 127 units If you stayed with the 3-game chase max it cost about 15 units. No need to update any further, you get the point. Sunday, Aug 15, 2010, 15 Games Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 52-5 (65.90 units won) (36.40 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 32-2 (39.70 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 120-110 (52%) since June 19. Times listed are EDT, Betus lines, subject to change Past performance does not guarantee future results
13:00_Game_1_sea/cle__Y_+130_
13:30_Game_2_arz/was_Y_+135_ 13:30_Game_2_lad/atl__Y_+135_ 14:00_Game_3_det/chw_N_+110_1/3 of a win 14:00_Game_3_oak/min_Y_+110_ 14:00_Game_3_pit/hou__Y_+110_ 15:00_Game_4_mil/col___Y_+100_ 15:30_Game_5_tor/laa__Y_+125_ 16:00_Game_6_sdp/sfo_Y_+135_ 20:00_Game_7_phi/nym_Y_+110_52-6 -127 units
If you stuck with the 3-game max chase you lost about 15 units.
Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot 1.1 NL
13:00_fla/cin__N_-105_Win 13:30_arz/was_Y_+135_Loss 13:30_lad/atl__Y_+135_Loss 14:00_pit/hou__Y_+110_Loss 15:00_mil/col__Y+100_Loss 16:00_sdp/sfo_Y_+135_Loss 20:00_phi/nym_Y_+110_Loss
1.2 AL 13:00_sea/cle__Y_+130_Loss
13:30_bal/tbr__Y_-105_Win
14:00_det/chw_N_+110_Win 14:00_oak/min_Y_+110_Loss
15:00_bos/tex_N_-105_Win
15:30_tor/laa__Y_+125_Loss
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FINAL RECAP BLOODY SUNDAY EVERY CHASERS WORST NIGHTMARE Pure 7-game chase cost roughly 127 units If you stayed with the 3-game chase max it cost about 15 units. No need to update any further, you get the point. Sunday, Aug 15, 2010, 15 Games Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 52-5 (65.90 units won) (36.40 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 32-2 (39.70 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 120-110 (52%) since June 19. Times listed are EDT, Betus lines, subject to change Past performance does not guarantee future results
13:00_Game_1_sea/cle__Y_+130_
13:30_Game_2_arz/was_Y_+135_ 13:30_Game_2_lad/atl__Y_+135_ 14:00_Game_3_det/chw_N_+110_1/3 of a win 14:00_Game_3_oak/min_Y_+110_ 14:00_Game_3_pit/hou__Y_+110_ 15:00_Game_4_mil/col___Y_+100_ 15:30_Game_5_tor/laa__Y_+125_ 16:00_Game_6_sdp/sfo_Y_+135_ 20:00_Game_7_phi/nym_Y_+110_52-6 -127 units
If you stuck with the 3-game max chase you lost about 15 units.
Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot 1.1 NL
13:00_fla/cin__N_-105_Win 13:30_arz/was_Y_+135_Loss 13:30_lad/atl__Y_+135_Loss 14:00_pit/hou__Y_+110_Loss 15:00_mil/col__Y+100_Loss 16:00_sdp/sfo_Y_+135_Loss 20:00_phi/nym_Y_+110_Loss
1.2 AL 13:00_sea/cle__Y_+130_Loss
13:30_bal/tbr__Y_-105_Win
14:00_det/chw_N_+110_Win 14:00_oak/min_Y_+110_Loss
15:00_bos/tex_N_-105_Win
15:30_tor/laa__Y_+125_Loss
Monday, August 16, 2010
For simplicity I'm going to reset all values to zero explained why below: I do know that if you played the
system exactly how I suggested you lost up to 127 units Sun-8/15,
because I repealed the 3-game chase max the day before yesterday (which
blows my mind). Depending how you played yesterday
units could range from +4.00 playing only version 2.0, 2.1, and 2.2, to
the -127 by playing only version 1.0 and chasing all 7 games. I'm sure you all fall in to that range somewhere. But I can't determine that so I will just reset and move on.
Rule number 1 has to be stop chasing after 3 or 4 losses in a row and reset to a lower unit value (not yet determined).
I think a lot of us got lucky and missed at least 2 games due to overlapping innings and betus not taking action on sdp/sfo. If Rule #1 was strictly followed we would be down roughly 15 units on a 3-gamer, and 22 units on a 4 gamer. Not good, but at least able to mount a recovery effort.
I lost 22 units Sunday. I will attempt to take a more aggressive approach to winning these 22 units back because I believe this system/strategy can work if discipline is maintained and BS Luck gets back on our side.
So I am thinking about playing game 1 of version 1.0 for roughly 18% of 22 units (4 units). I am still experimenting with playing all versions so that will continue at around 1 unit each.
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Monday, August 16, 2010
For simplicity I'm going to reset all values to zero explained why below: I do know that if you played the
system exactly how I suggested you lost up to 127 units Sun-8/15,
because I repealed the 3-game chase max the day before yesterday (which
blows my mind). Depending how you played yesterday
units could range from +4.00 playing only version 2.0, 2.1, and 2.2, to
the -127 by playing only version 1.0 and chasing all 7 games. I'm sure you all fall in to that range somewhere. But I can't determine that so I will just reset and move on.
Rule number 1 has to be stop chasing after 3 or 4 losses in a row and reset to a lower unit value (not yet determined).
I think a lot of us got lucky and missed at least 2 games due to overlapping innings and betus not taking action on sdp/sfo. If Rule #1 was strictly followed we would be down roughly 15 units on a 3-gamer, and 22 units on a 4 gamer. Not good, but at least able to mount a recovery effort.
I lost 22 units Sunday. I will attempt to take a more aggressive approach to winning these 22 units back because I believe this system/strategy can work if discipline is maintained and BS Luck gets back on our side.
So I am thinking about playing game 1 of version 1.0 for roughly 18% of 22 units (4 units). I am still experimenting with playing all versions so that will continue at around 1 unit each.
Monday, Aug 16, 2010, 8 Games (Only doing 2 units since only 8 games) Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs 19:00_Game_1_tex/tbr__Y_+140_
20:00_Game_2_nym/hou_Y_+125_ 22:00_Game_3_tor/oak__Y_+130_
Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot 1.1 NL 19:00_lad/atl___Y_+135_ 20:00_nym/hou_Y_+125_ 1.2 AL 19:00_tex/tbr__Y_+140_ 22:00_tor/oak__Y_+130_
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Monday, Aug 16, 2010, 8 Games (Only doing 2 units since only 8 games) Version 1.0 AL/NL Dogs 19:00_Game_1_tex/tbr__Y_+140_
20:00_Game_2_nym/hou_Y_+125_ 22:00_Game_3_tor/oak__Y_+130_
Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot 1.1 NL 19:00_lad/atl___Y_+135_ 20:00_nym/hou_Y_+125_ 1.2 AL 19:00_tex/tbr__Y_+140_ 22:00_tor/oak__Y_+130_
Version 2.0 Biggest Favorites AL/NL Not Betus Lines
19:00_Game_1_tex/tbr__N_-145_
20:00_Game_2_nym/hou_N_-140_ 22:00_Game_3_tor/oak__N_-145_
Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot 2.1 NL
19:00_lad/atl___N_-145_ 20:00_nym/hou_N_-140_ 2.2 AL 19:00_tex/tbr__N_-145_ 22:00_tor/oak__N_-145_
0
Version 2.0 Biggest Favorites AL/NL Not Betus Lines
19:00_Game_1_tex/tbr__N_-145_
20:00_Game_2_nym/hou_N_-140_ 22:00_Game_3_tor/oak__N_-145_
Version 2.1 NL and 2.2 AL separate playing every time slot 2.1 NL
19:00_lad/atl___N_-145_ 20:00_nym/hou_N_-140_ 2.2 AL 19:00_tex/tbr__N_-145_ 22:00_tor/oak__N_-145_
Just a thought here. Version 1 actually won yesterday. If you had chased through game 3 and quit, you would have come out a winner.
Because there were so many games left, I decided to not chase game 3 but actually decreased my bet. Bad decision. The system actually worked, I didn't trust it.
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Just a thought here. Version 1 actually won yesterday. If you had chased through game 3 and quit, you would have come out a winner.
Because there were so many games left, I decided to not chase game 3 but actually decreased my bet. Bad decision. The system actually worked, I didn't trust it.
I have found the system alternates on being successful from one day to the next. Today should be winning day.
Also, it's not a bad idea to hedge your 1st bet with the next best dog for the time slot. Lately the big dogs have been losing early on. I have made these points many times on this thread and on SBR but not getting much feedback. Based on this, yesterday was definitely a day to refrain. I also find when we have a wide range of time slots to work with, there is more leeway in projecting yes or no scoring, especially if you break it down between V1 and V2. ( for example day games with night games)
Just my opinion for whatever you all think it's worth. But it has worked for me and avoided bloodbaths like yesterday. At the very least, until we see consistent changes and better results, it's not a bad idea to factor that into money management.
BOLTA!!!!
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I have found the system alternates on being successful from one day to the next. Today should be winning day.
Also, it's not a bad idea to hedge your 1st bet with the next best dog for the time slot. Lately the big dogs have been losing early on. I have made these points many times on this thread and on SBR but not getting much feedback. Based on this, yesterday was definitely a day to refrain. I also find when we have a wide range of time slots to work with, there is more leeway in projecting yes or no scoring, especially if you break it down between V1 and V2. ( for example day games with night games)
Just my opinion for whatever you all think it's worth. But it has worked for me and avoided bloodbaths like yesterday. At the very least, until we see consistent changes and better results, it's not a bad idea to factor that into money management.
like I said: all the second tier dogs scored in the 1st and the biggest dog did not score. so system went 3-1.
how long have you been playing like this? thing is though if you have one bad night it could be as bad as a chase. so you are saying just play all the plus odds straight in that time slot?
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Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:
like I said: all the second tier dogs scored in the 1st and the biggest dog did not score. so system went 3-1.
how long have you been playing like this? thing is though if you have one bad night it could be as bad as a chase. so you are saying just play all the plus odds straight in that time slot?
Time for me to cut bait on 1.0C. I have a B game on 1.2 tor/oak.
All other versions have covered. I will take a 2 or 6 unit loss and see what happens tomorrow.
Good luck.
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Time for me to cut bait on 1.0C. I have a B game on 1.2 tor/oak.
All other versions have covered. I will take a 2 or 6 unit loss and see what happens tomorrow.
Good luck.
i just wagered 2 to win 2.5 units so if it loses im down 5 units to start the week.... might have to start playing my own way and not blindly following plus money if this loses.
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i just wagered 2 to win 2.5 units so if it loses im down 5 units to start the week.... might have to start playing my own way and not blindly following plus money if this loses.
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