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Posted: #2301
https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

Finally got a Dog winner.
 
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Posted: #2302
Would it be better to play houston/pittsburgh (yes to score)(+120) or dodgers/mets (yes to score for +120)?

Thanks
 
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Posted: #2303
Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

Would it be better to play houston/pittsburgh (yes to score)(+120) or dodgers/mets (yes to score for +120)?

Thanks


I would play them both NO if I were you.
 
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Posted: #2304
Its been a dog eat dog world for the past 2 or 3 days. But surprisingly the martingale and the labby are absorbing it fairly well.

We need this funk to end.
 
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Posted: #2305
System is due that's for sure. 

Maybe wait for lines to adjust more in the dog favor.

I have not been staying.  Bats are not as hot as the pitching.  Hopefully it will change as weather gets warmer.


 
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Posted: #2306
***** that should be "playing"!!!!

whatever, it WILL turn around.
 
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Posted: #2307
I've taken a few No's at plus or even money, and have been rewarded. As the first runs plus money have been few and far between, the who will score first is not a bad pick if you feel confident capping the pitching matchup.
I'd rather be playing D&D.
 
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Posted: #2308
THE ACTION: WILL THERE BE A RUN SCORED IN THE 1ST INNING (YES OR NO).

Look at and understand the spreadsheet in sections. Choose a money management style to focus on and don't worry about anything else on the document.

First: You should understand the columns that list the date, start times, and teams playing separated by AL and NL (I separated them because I want data on both leagues going forward and have experimented in the past with playing each separately.).

Second: The rest of the document is dedicated to tracking 5 different money management styles (Martingale for both the +odds/Dog and -Odds/Fav.; Labourche for both the +odds/Dog and -Odds/Fav, and three others that just track the +odds/Dog).

The columns with the larger numbers in them are the cumulative totals/results for each money management strategy.

This martingale keeps going for 1 win/unit per day no matter how many games there are, but starts over everyday. If there are 7 games in a day and the martingale goes 0-7, you're in a world of hurt.
If there are 7 games in a day and you win 1, start over to win another unit as long as there are 3 games left to play/chase.

The Labourche (Labby) line starts at .5-.5-.5-.5 and crosses out the first .5 and the last .5 if you win (1.0 unit win). If lose, it adds your total wager loss to the end then you have to win that loss plus a .5 or whatever number is on the left side of the line.

All money management styles except the martingale play every available time slot even if both lines are -odds. Just take the lowest priced play.

This document is only a guideline. You must customize your unit value, play method and limits, and money management style.

This strategy is a documented experiment. Good Luck.
 
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Posted: #2309
Do I dare say, if I follow this system correctly, our first two prop bets of the evening have hit?

DET/TOR yes +105, and LAD/PIT yes +105...
I'd rather be playing D&D.
 
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Posted: #2310
Det/Tor was not highlighted. so i dont think it would be a play.
My first day too.........
the lad/pit and sd/mil weere plays as they were highlighted in yellow and both won.

@ Smitler. Have you seen the effectiveness of this chase if done continuously and not just on a day to day bases.
For example, lets say g1 W, g2 L, g3 W and there was still 1/2 more game(s) for the day. Why not carry over the remaining game(s) and combine it into one chase with the next day?
 
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Posted: #2311
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

Det/Tor was not highlighted. so i dont think it would be a play.
My first day too.........
the lad/pit and sd/mil weere plays as they were highlighted in yellow and both won.

@ Smitler. Have you seen the effectiveness of this chase if done continuously and not just on a day to day bases.
For example, lets say g1 W, g2 L, g3 W and there was still 1/2 more game(s) for the day. Why not carry over the remaining game(s) and combine it into one chase with the next day?


So far it would be a 16 unit difference as the +odds/dog has lost just once this season and it cost 15 units.  The first game the next day won.
As far as the -odds/fav there have been 2 or 3 losses this season.  I would have to go back and see what happened the following days.

It can be done if you have the balls to do it.
 
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Posted: #2312
CLEARED THAT BIG LABBY LINE +34.43 UNITS TODAY. THAT TAKES A LOAD OFF.


 
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Posted: #2313
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

Det/Tor was not highlighted. so i dont think it would be a play.
My first day too.........
the lad/pit and sd/mil weere plays as they were highlighted in yellow and both won.

@ Smitler. Have you seen the effectiveness of this chase if done continuously and not just on a day to day bases.
For example, lets say g1 W, g2 L, g3 W and there was still 1/2 more game(s) for the day. Why not carry over the remaining game(s) and combine it into one chase with the next day?
Air1, you play the highest price dog on the yes for a particular time slot. Chase on later games at plus money. IF I read the basic premise correctly. Since the early games were split even at +105, I took both. Since both cashed I called it quits for the night. System won. On to the next day...
I'd rather be playing D&D.
 
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Posted: #2314
the line i saw for det was -105/-110. i guess you got it at a good time.
 
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Posted: #2315
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

the line i saw for det was -105/-110. i guess you got it at a good time.


stl/chc was the official play in that time slot.
 
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Posted: #2316
Thanks for the great work smitler.

Just a quick question you have 2 games underlined for 7pm, I wonder wich one to play?

Thanks again and GL
 
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Posted: #2317
Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

Thanks for the great work smitler.

Just a quick question you have 2 games underlined for 7pm, I wonder wich one to play?

Thanks again and GL


The play in Yellow is the system play.
Any green plays represent side plays where an arbitrage opportunity exists (+odds higher than -odds).
As you can see sometimes they are both yellow and green.

So i am playing phi/fla as a system play and also a side bet

Yes_+135_490 to win 661.50
and
No_-130_650 to win 500
 
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Posted: #2318
OK Thanks,

Do you play the yankees game too?

GL
 
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Posted: #2319
Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

OK Thanks,

Do you play the yankees game too?

GL


Yes I made $36.80 Risk Free on the kcr/nyy inning, and $11.50 on the phi/fla inning.
It didn't matter what the result was I won $ since the +odds were higher than the -odds.

The problem is $500 max prop bets.
 
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Posted: #2320
Let's get money today boyz!!
 
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Posted: #2321

Since the Chicago cubs start time is 2h20 what's your play on them?

Thanks and GL

 
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Posted: #2322
https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ
 
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Posted: #2323
today was a losing day for the system.
G1 Cle vs Sea postponed.
G2 Sdg vs Col +100 lost
G3 Chw vs Oak +125 lost
G4 Ari vs Lad +135 lost

I unfortunately played it twice today as it could be done that way too, and lost twice Just started recently and now I am in the negative!
 
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Posted: #2324
Correct me if i was wrong smitty.

BTW have you recorded/checked to see what the record for this system would be if you played yes on only AL/NL? Also same if played NO on only NL/AL.
 
 
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Posted: #2325

pitching is great this year. System failing. Goin down. I'm gunna stop playing this system for a while until batters learn to hit again.

 

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