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NFL 2012 handicapping strategy / Matchup Rating System

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Posted: #151

oil

May your Holidays be prosperous,genuine, and bright

 
Prospect
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Posted: #152
Do you plan on doing this through the super bowl sn? How about next season?
 
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Posted: #153

Thanks for your insight and selections. Compared them to my list of possible plays and evryone you had was on my list so I played them all for $200. 7-1 is a great day. Thanks for the confirmation of my leans and appreciate your sharing your handicapping skills.

 

Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year!.....JJ

 
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Posted: #154

JimmyJet

confirming leans that coincide, bring justifiable accuracy to the handicappers forefront. one of many tools of success...skills are developed to be shared by ones peers, your appreciation is honored. thank you for the holiday greetings.. may you have a warm, and generous Christmas day; and a continued prosperous New Year...

 
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Posted: #155
Quote Originally Posted by Fanch:

Do you plan on doing this through the super bowl sn? How about next season?
The thread will run through-out the playoffs, and will conclude on Super Bowl Sunday..with a MRS playoff menu included...next season, has not entered my mind as of yet (lets finish this season first)
 
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Posted: #156
Alright! Ty very much SN and Happy New Year !!
 
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Posted: #157
SN any idea of this week's plays posting?
 
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Posted: #158

NFL/MRS [projected handicaps] official plays

Week #17  Sunday, December 30th, 2012

Chicago Bears -2 /-115*  4.6units vs Detroit Lions 

GB Packers vs Minnesota Vikings +5.5 /-125*  5units

Dallas Cowboys +6.5 /-150*  6units vs Washington Redskins

Carolina Panthers vs NO Saints -2.5 /-140*  5.6units

Philadelphia Eagles +9.5 /-150*  6units vs NY Giants

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 /-175*  3.5units

*hook

 

The final week of the regular 2012 NFL season is concluded...

 
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Posted: #159

NFL/MRS [projected 7.5 'teaser' twin-play handicap] 12/30/2012

Week #17 [added marginal performance investment]

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts +14.5

Miami Dolphins +17.5 vs N.E. Patriots   

Wager> 6units          

                    

 

 

 
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Posted: #160

NFL/MRS [projected OVER handicap -6pts] 12/30/2012

Week #17 [added marginal perfomance investment]

St Louis Rams vs Seattle Seahawks OVER-35 /-165*  6.6units

*Total at 41 /-110

 
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Posted: #161
I have a question for SN , but any1 can answer. I use 2 books. First of all, the posted total of the rams/sea game is 42, and 2.5 pts is max buy at either book. I'd like to know where you're buying 4 or 5 points on any of these games. Another example of this is you have the cowboys listed +6.5. the posted line is +3, and most i can buy it to is +5.5 and thats -170 juice. If you could briefly explain, id appreciate.ty vm, and ty so much for a great season!
 
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Posted: #162
Good luck s_N finish the regular season strong!
 
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Posted: #163

Quote Originally Posted by Fanch:

I have a question for SN , but any1 can answer. I use 2 books. First of all, the posted total of the rams/sea game is 42, and 2.5 pts is max buy at either book. I'd like to know where you're buying 4 or 5 points on any of these games. Another example of this is you have the cowboys listed +6.5. the posted line is +3, and most i can buy it to is +5.5 and thats -170 juice. If you could briefly explain, id appreciate.ty vm, and ty so much for a great season!

their are two types of sportbooks on the market, recreational play, and professional exchange books, the lines posted are CantorLV lines, which are listed to be exact at the time of posting (I am sure they have changed dramatically by now) these are investment exchange lines readily available at cantors seven LV sportsbooks. listed through out this thread, understanding everyone cannot put their action through LV the alternative of course is on-line, this results in a severe problem for the serious capper seeking line movement, based on the fact that 75% of on-line sportsbooks are designed for the recreation player/hobbyist. However, their are two very comparable SportBook exchanges that I highly recommend that service on-line action: PinnacleSports.com  BetFair.com  You can find all the lines identical to the ones posted in this thread the majority of the time. The correct book is a major ingredient to successful handicapping, getting caught up with a recreational book can turn into a nightmare, especially come payout time, in some instances it can take up to a week to get your winnings, it takes 48 hrs with Pinnacle, less with BetFair, Vegas takes 5 minutes....

 
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Posted: #164
ok tyvm sn, hope to join you in Vegas someday ...)
 
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Posted: #165

Good luck SN and thank you for sharing.

On Bears and Saints

 
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Posted: #166
SN do use the 1 unit = 1% total bankroll approach?
 
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Posted: #167

Fanch

% are used to calculate the wager (unit placement) in conjunction to the BR

The approach to unit denomination are as follows:

one unit equals= $10.00[tens]  $100.00 [standard]  $1000.00 [dimes] depending on the BR equivalency of 62 operating units (tens=$620.) (standard=$6200.) (dimes/large=$62k)

units are adjusted accordingly with 62standard units ($6200.) being the minimum requirement of an investment platform to operate an account;

 

 
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Posted: #168
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

NFL/MRS [projected handicaps] official plays

Week #17  Sunday, December 30th, 2012

Chicago Bears -1.5* /-115*  4.6units vs Detroit Lions [WIN]**

GB Packers vs Minnesota Vikings +5.5 /-125*  5units [WIN]

Dallas Cowboys +6.5 /-150*  6units vs Washington Redskins [LOSS]

Carolina Panthers vs NO Saints -2.5 /-140*  5.6units [LOSS]

Philadelphia Eagles +9.5 /-150*  6units vs NY Giants [LOSS]

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 /-175*  3.5units [WIN]

*hook

**late pre-game line movement Bears-3.5/-3 hook -2 /-1.5

 

The final week of the regular 2012 NFL season is concluded...

Yesterdays Results>3-3
 
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Posted: #169

2013 NFL Playoffs [Wild Card Weekend] 'early' line report

Saturday, January 5th, 2013

AFC 4:30pm | CIN +4.5 vs HOU -5  43

NFC 8:05pm | MIN +9.5 vs G.B. -9  46

Sunday, January 6th, 2013

AFC 1:00pm | IND +6.5 vs BAL -6  46

NFC 4:35pm | SEA -3 vs WASH +3.5  45.5

 

 
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Posted: #170

MRS/NFL Playoff [Projected] Handicaps

7.5 [Twin-Play] marginal teaser action:

Saturday, January 5th 2013

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans +4

Minnesota Vikings +17 vs Green Bay Packers

Wager: 8units

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati Bengals | Houston Texans UNDER-50.5

Minnesota Vikings | Green Bay Packers OVER-38

Wager: 8units

 
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Posted: #171

Looks good sN

Enjoy the games!

 
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Posted: #172
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

MRS/NFL Playoff [Projected] Handicaps

7.5 [Twin-Play] marginal teaser action:

Saturday, January 5th 2013

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans +4  [WIN]

Minnesota Vikings +17 vs Green Bay Packers  [WIN]

Wager: 8units   [WIN]

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati Bengals | Houston Texans UNDER-50.5  [WIN]

Minnesota Vikings | Green Bay Packers OVER-36.5  [LOSS]

Wager: 8units  [LOSS]

Yesterdays Results:  1-1
 
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Posted: #173

MRS/NFL Playoff [Projected] Handicaps

9.5 [Three-Play] marginal teaser action:

Sunday, January 6th 2013

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Redskins +12.5

Indianapolis Colts +16.5 vs Baltimore Ravens

IND | BAL UNDER-56.5

Wager:  8.32units

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MRS[marginal-hedge] SEA -140 ML  2.8units

 

line movement>CantorLV/LVSC|PinnacleSports|BetFair

 

 

 
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Posted: #174
Perfect on all fronts! Cleaned up today s_N.

Congrats!
 
 
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Posted: #175
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

MRS/NFL Playoff [Projected] Handicaps

9.5 [Three-Play] marginal teaser action:

Sunday, January 6th 2013

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Redskins +12.5 [WIN]

Indianapolis Colts +16.5 vs Baltimore Ravens [WIN]

IND|BAL UNDER-56.5 [WIN]

Wager: 8.32units  [WIN]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MRS[marginal-hedge] SEA -144 ML  2.88units [WIN]

 

line movement>CantorLV/LVSC|PinnacleSports|BetFair

 

 

Yesterdays Results: 2-0
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