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NFL Week 4 - YPPT Method

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Last Week: 11-5 SU, 10-6 ATS

Here are this weeks games:
DENVER        13     TENNESSEE    25
BALTIMORE      7     PITTSBURGH   20
CINCINNATI    17     CLEVELAND    16
DETROIT       14     GREEN BAY    31
CAROLINA      10     NEW ORLEANS  28
SAN FRANCISCO  9     ATLANTA      50
SEATTLE       19     ST LOUIS     17
NY JETS       26     BUFFALO      12
INDIANAPOLIS  33     JACKSONVILLE 15
HOUSTON       34     OAKLAND      24
ARIZONA       13     SAN DIEGO    36
WASHINGTON    16     PHILADELPHIA 33
CHICAGO       25     NY GIANTS    19
NEW ENGLAND   23     MIAMI        24

 
Veteran
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Posted: #2
have seen you post before but havent checked out your thread till today. what does yppt stand for? also,where is your first post so i can see how your method works. 
gracious.
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

have seen you post before but havent checked out your thread till today. what does yppt stand for? also,where is your first post so i can see how your method works. 
gracious.


Yards Per Point
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

have seen you post before but havent checked out your thread till today. what does yppt stand for? also,where is your first post so i can see how your method works. 
gracious.


Just do a search for YPPT in the top menu and you can see the threads from last year. The YPPT method is based on a formula that combines yards per point, home field advantage, and strength of schedule to give a predicted score of the games. I didn't come up with the method, but I have a spreadsheet that calculates the scores. Since the people who did come up with it don't post here any more (or very little), I decided to put up the scores and results each week for those who were interested in it.

As Butta has pointed out over in the college thread for this, YPPT is one of many tools you want to use for handicapping a game. And as the results have shown, it's far from perfect and seems better suited for picking SU winners than ATS winners.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
How do you incorporate SOS in the system?
 
Covers Linesmen
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Posted: #6

I like to go by passing yards by attempt also.

 
 
All-Star
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Posts: 14473
Posted: #7
 Looks like 4 w's and 9 l's...that's not good.
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