All Forums | Systems & Strategies

NHL Homestand System

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3485
Posts: 117
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #26

Bluestar, that is correct!

Today's Play:

On STL: Win % > .500 AND Opp Road Win % < .500.

Game A: Risk 1.56 Units to win 1.00 Unit on St. Louis Blues ml -156.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #27

St. Louis went down...we will continue that chase on 11/19.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 15-0 +15.00 Units

  • Game A: 11-5
  • Game B: 4-0
  • Game C: 0-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 15-5 +13.44 Units

Open Play: STL Game B.

Today's Play:

Fade Vegas Golden Knights: Home win % < .500.

Game A: Risk 1.82 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Calgary Flames +1.5 -182.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #28

Calgary fails to show up...we will continue that chase on 11/19.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 15-0 +15.00 Units

  • Game A: 11-6
  • Game B: 4-0
  • Game C: 0-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 15-6 +11.62 Units

Open Plays: STL Game B. Fade VGK Game B.

 

Next Play will be tomorrow (11/19), we will have 2 Game Bs, and potentially 1 Game A.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #29

Today's Plays:

On STL - Game B: Risk 6.02 Units to win 2.56 Units on St. Louis Blues +1.5 -235.

Fade VGK - Game B: Risk 5.08 Units to win 2.82 Units on Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 -180.

On Dallas Stars: Win % > .500 AND Opp Road Win % < .500.

Game A: Risk 1.44 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Dallas Stars ml -144.

GL!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 1692
Posted: #30

an_popcornNice work 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #31

We win 2 out of 3...we will continue the VGK fade chase on 11/21.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 17-0 +17.00 Units

  • Game A: 12-6
  • Game B: 5-1
  • Game C: 0-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 17-7 +10.10 Units

Open Play: Fade VGK Game C tomorrow (11/21).

Today's Play:

On Montreal Canadiens: Win % > .500 AND Opp Road Win % < .500.

Game A: Risk 1.88 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Montreal Canadiens ml -188.

Hoping we can pick up another unit tonight to help bankroll our first Game C tomorrow!

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #32

Lost on MTL and we will continue that on 11/23.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 17-0 +17.00 Units

  • Game A: 12-7
  • Game B: 5-1
  • Game C: 0-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 17-8 +8.22 Units

Open Plays: Fade VGK Game C & On MTL Game B.

Today's Play:

Fade VGK - Game C: Risk 12.24 Units to win 7.90 Units on San Jose Sharks +1.5 -155.

Fade LAK: Opp Road Win % >= .500.

Game A: Risk 1.30 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Edmonton Oilers ml -130.

First Game C, hoping we do not see a Game D this early into the season!

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #33

Edmonton lost, but had a winner on Game C with San Jose.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 18-0 +18.00 Units

  • Game A: 12-8
  • Game B: 5-1
  • Game C: 1-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 18-9 +14.82 Units

Open Plays: Fade LAK Game B & On MTL Game B (Tomorrow 11/23).

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #34

Today's Plays:

On MTL - Game B: Risk 5.85 Units to win 2.88 Units on Montreal Canadiens ml -203.

Fade LAK - Game B: Risk 2.55 Units to win 2.30 Units on Arizona Coyotes ml -111.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #35

ARI beat LAK, MTL blows a 4-0 lead to drop Game B...we are on to Game C on 11/26.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 19-0 +19.00 Units

  • Game A: 12-8
  • Game B: 6-2
  • Game C: 1-0
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 19-10 +11.27 Units

Open Plays: On MTL Game C (Tuesday 11/26).

Next play is MTL Game C on Tuesday, Nov. 26. They have already beat BOS once this year.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #36

Today's Plays:

On MTL - Game C: Risk 21.82 Units to win 8.73 Units on Montreal Canadiens +1.5 -250.

GL!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 1692
Posted: #37

Curios as to why you made a play AGAINST a team with a winning road record, WITH a team that doesn't have a home record above .500. This appears to be outside of your parameters.  Also, since Habs dropped their previous 4 games (all vs teams with losing records), why not abandon the chase, eat 8 units, and continue on in the green?

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #38

WOOF...MTL doesn't show up when we needed them and now we are on to Game D on 11/28.

Updated Record:

Overall System Record: 19-0 +19.00 Units

  • Game A: 12-8
  • Game B: 6-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-0

Overall Record/Bankroll: 19-11 -10.54 Units

Open Plays: On MTL Game D (Thursday 11/28).

Next play is MTL Game D on Thursday, Nov. 28.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #39

Chaser to answer your questions:

I look at a teams Win %, Home win %, Streak, Opp win %, Opp Road win % at the time of the first game of the homestand.  So I had:

MTL:

Record: 11-10 (I count OT and Shootout losses as losses). Win % = .524.

Home Record: 6-4 for .600.

Streak:  Loss of 2 games.

Opponents of the first 4 games of the homestand:

OTT: 9-12 (Overall Record). 3-8 (Road Record).

NYR: 8-10. 3-4.

BOS: 13-8. 6-4.

NJD: 7-13. 4-5.

Overall Win % of MTL opponents: .463 (37-43)

Road Win % of MTL opponents: .432 (16-21).

So the Criteria(s) that fit that made us play ON MTL is:

MTL win% > .500 AND Opp Road Win % < .500. (.524 > .500 AND .432 < .500 is TRUE).

MTL home win% > .500 AND Opp Road Win % < .500. (.600 > .500 AND .432 < .500 is TRUE).

As to why I didnt abandoned the chase after mid-chase they have fallen below criteria, simply because I have never dropped a chase when doing this strategy.  I am open to the idea of it and may look back at my previous years to see how many losses/wins would be taken away by doing so.

I posted this system in this thread to get advice and an outside perspective, so much thanks for the input chaser!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #40

Today's Plays:

On MTL - Game D: Risk 51.92 Units to win 30.54 Units on Montreal Canadiens ml -170.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #41

Certainly not the game we wanted with Carey Price struggling the entire game. But we move on...

Keep in mind that now we are post thanksgiving, our criteria will change slightly...

Play for a win if Win % is > .500 AND Home Win % > .500.

Play for a loss remains the same criteria.

We also add a Double Dip feature to post thanksgiving as well, meaning if we close a chase out and the team still has at least 4 games remaining to the homestand, we will have another chase with that team if the criteria fits.

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 19-1 -59.41 Units

  • Game A: 12-8
  • Game B: 6-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 19-12 -59.41 Units

Today's Play: 

BOS Win % AND Home Win %  > .500.

ON BOS: Risk 2.27 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Boston Bruins ml -227.

Boston's Homestand is 5 games long...so if they win today, we will Double Dip (DD) for one more chase!

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #42

Today's Play:

Fade FLA - Entering Homestand on a 3 Game losing streak.

Fade FLA - Game A: Risk 2.10 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Nashville Predators +1.5 -210.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #43

Today's Play:

On BOS - Win % AND Home Win % > .500.

On BOS - Game A: Risk 1.90 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Boston Bruins ml -190.

Fade VAN - Home Win % <= .500.

Fade VAN - Game A: Risk 2.20 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Edmonton Oilers +1.5 -220.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #44

Today's Play:

Fade FLA - Game B: Risk 6.82 Units to win 3.10 Units on Minnesota Wild +1.5 -220.

GL!

Tomorrow I will post with updated results!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #45

 

Since my last update, we have had 4 wins, On BOS & BOS DD, and Fade FLA & VAN.

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 23-1 -55.41 Units

  • Game A: 15-9
  • Game B: 7-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 23-13 -55.41 Units

Today's Play:

EDM Win % AND Home Win %  > .500.

ON EDM: Risk 2.00 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Edmonton Oilers ml -200.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #46

Yesterday we lost on EDM, and we will continue to Game B of that chase tomorrow (12/6).

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 23-1 -55.41 Units

  • Game A: 15-10
  • Game B: 7-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 23-14 -57.38 Units

Today's Play:

ON DAL: Win % AND Home Win %  > .500.

Game A: Risk 1.60 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Dallas Stars ml -160.

Fade DAL: Opp Road Win % >= .500 AND Losing streak of 5 games.

Game A: Risk 1.90 Units to win 1.00 Unit on Winnipeg Jets +1.5 -190.

Hoping for another middle here to pick up a couple more units!

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #47

Yesterday we happened to middle to pick up 2.00 Units on 1 game.

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 25-1 -53.41 Units

  • Game A: 17-10
  • Game B: 7-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 25-14 -55.38 Units

Today's Play:

ON EDM: Win % AND Home Win %  > .500.

Game B: Risk 5.05 Units to win 2.97 Units on Edmonton Oilers ml -170.

 

Next Play after tonight will be tomorrow (12/7)...potential play with FLA DD Homestand.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #48

Picked up another W.

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 26-1 -52.41 Units

  • Game A: 17-10
  • Game B: 8-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 26-14 -52.41 Units

No Play Today.

Next potential play is tomorrow, FLA could have another DD situation.

GL!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #49

Today's Play:

Fade FLA - Opp Road Win % (.519) >= .500.

Fade FLA - Game A: Risk 1.84 Units to win 1.00 Unit on San Jose Sharks +1.5 -184.

GL!

 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 117
Posted: #50

SJ didn't cover, we continue the FLA fade on 12/10.

Updated Records:

Overall System Record: 26-1 -52.41 Units

  • Game A: 17-11
  • Game B: 8-2
  • Game C: 1-1
  • Game D: 0-1

Overall Record/Bankroll: 26-15 -54.25 Units

No Play Today.

Next play is tomorrow, fade FLA Game B.

GL!

All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.