We have 36 plays this year. I took out all series where a team would play two or more other qualifying teams. Some teams came close to qualifying but adding in the overtime losses made them less than 10 games over 500 (Det, Pitt, Wash, WPG, Van)
Bet on Home teams (homestand start dates listed):
TB - Mar 3, Mar 14, Apr 9
Montreal - Jan 31, Feb 10, Mar 28
NYI - Feb 10, Feb 22, Mar 24
NYR - Jan 29, Feb 22
Nash - Feb 10, Feb 24, Mar 17, Mar 29
STL - Feb 17, Mar 10, Mar 28, Apr 7
Chicago - Feb 9, Mar 2
Anaheim - Feb 23, Mar 15, Apr 1
Bet against Road teams
Buffalo - Jan 27, Feb 28
Philly - Feb 8, Mar 15
NJ - Mar 10
Car - Jan 31
AZ - Jan 27, Feb 23, Mar 24
Edm - Feb 7, Mar 6, Mar 30
We start on Tuesday Jan 27, fading Buffalo and AZ.
2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams
Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won
This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.
This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.
FADE HOME TEAMS:
TB - L,A,L
MON - B,B,B
NYI - D,A,A
NYR - A,L
NAS - L,B,A,A
STL - A,C
CHI - A,C
ANA - B,L
PLAY ON HOME TEAMS:
BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series
PHI - A,L
NJ - C
CAR - C
AZ - B,L,A
EDM - B,L,A
MM thought:
Create a labby line for each team to win X unit. Odds will be favourable in most cases.
Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.
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Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
We have 36 plays this year. I took out all series where a team would play two or more other qualifying teams. Some teams came close to qualifying but adding in the overtime losses made them less than 10 games over 500 (Det, Pitt, Wash, WPG, Van)
Bet on Home teams (homestand start dates listed):
TB - Mar 3, Mar 14, Apr 9
Montreal - Jan 31, Feb 10, Mar 28
NYI - Feb 10, Feb 22, Mar 24
NYR - Jan 29, Feb 22
Nash - Feb 10, Feb 24, Mar 17, Mar 29
STL - Feb 17, Mar 10, Mar 28, Apr 7
Chicago - Feb 9, Mar 2
Anaheim - Feb 23, Mar 15, Apr 1
Bet against Road teams
Buffalo - Jan 27, Feb 28
Philly - Feb 8, Mar 15
NJ - Mar 10
Car - Jan 31
AZ - Jan 27, Feb 23, Mar 24
Edm - Feb 7, Mar 6, Mar 30
We start on Tuesday Jan 27, fading Buffalo and AZ.
2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams
Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won
This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.
This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.
FADE HOME TEAMS:
TB - L,A,L
MON - B,B,B
NYI - D,A,A
NYR - A,L
NAS - L,B,A,A
STL - A,C
CHI - A,C
ANA - B,L
PLAY ON HOME TEAMS:
BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series
PHI - A,L
NJ - C
CAR - C
AZ - B,L,A
EDM - B,L,A
MM thought:
Create a labby line for each team to win X unit. Odds will be favourable in most cases.
Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.
2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams
Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won
This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.
This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.
FADE HOME TEAMS:
TB - L,A,L
MON - B,B,B
NYI - D,A,A
NYR - A,L
NAS - L,B,A,A
STL - A,C
CHI - A,C
ANA - B,L
PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS:
BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series
PHI - A,L
NJ - C
CAR - C
AZ - B,L,A
EDM - B,L,A
MM thought:
Create a labby line for each team to win X unit. Odds will be favourable in most cases.
Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.
**Corrected the error**
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2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams
Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won
This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.
This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.
FADE HOME TEAMS:
TB - L,A,L
MON - B,B,B
NYI - D,A,A
NYR - A,L
NAS - L,B,A,A
STL - A,C
CHI - A,C
ANA - B,L
PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS:
BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series
PHI - A,L
NJ - C
CAR - C
AZ - B,L,A
EDM - B,L,A
MM thought:
Create a labby line for each team to win X unit. Odds will be favourable in most cases.
Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.
Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure. Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
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Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure. Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure. Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
I am doing pure Martingale. Since there are only 16 plays, I'll do Martingale to start, with full betting unit size. May adjust depending results.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:
Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure. Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
I am doing pure Martingale. Since there are only 16 plays, I'll do Martingale to start, with full betting unit size. May adjust depending results.
I'm doing Martingale and sprinkling a bit on the puck line as well.....worked well Tuesday in play one. Good luck guys, thanks again for the effort Dan.
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I'm doing Martingale and sprinkling a bit on the puck line as well.....worked well Tuesday in play one. Good luck guys, thanks again for the effort Dan.
The play today is on Chicago, not fade SJ. If Chicago loses we bet on them the next game and we don't follow SJ. SJ is not a target team to fade. See post 320.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by Dixienormas2:
On Chicago fade San Jose?
The play today is on Chicago, not fade SJ. If Chicago loses we bet on them the next game and we don't follow SJ. SJ is not a target team to fade. See post 320.
Next game is Thursday on Chicago. I was going to skip this game against Dallas but will play it and extend this to a 4 game chase if need be. Line against Dallas shouldn't be too bad.
Current season: 3-0
Overall tracking: 54-1
A: 2-2
B: 1-0 (Chi pending)
C:
D:
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Tuesday results - Chicago A game - Loss
Next game is Thursday on Chicago. I was going to skip this game against Dallas but will play it and extend this to a 4 game chase if need be. Line against Dallas shouldn't be too bad.
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