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NHL Post All-Star game system

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Posted: #76
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Here we go. We bet on Philly (fade AZ) and Calgary (fade Buffalo).

Dan,
How are you approaching this in terms of MM?
 
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Posted: #78
To clarify my above post, did you decide to chase for 1 unit, or are you applying a different approach?

Thanks
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


Dan,
How are you approaching this in terms of MM?

I'm personally playing on a labby line because of the high juice. If it is a game that I really like, I'll consider the PL.

I'm going to run labby lines for A, B, C games. I run my lines in a modified way, spreading the losses around but not necessarily adding a number after a loss. Hope that makes sense. I've given up playing any chase system using Martingale. Not worth the risk on a 3 game loss. On a labby line we can clear much easier even with a C game loss. My goal is to win 30 units.

For the purpose of this system, I will just show the record of A, B and C games.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I'm personally playing on a labby line because of the high juice. If it is a game that I really like, I'll consider the PL.

I'm going to run labby lines for A, B, C games. I run my lines in a modified way, spreading the losses around but not necessarily adding a number after a loss. Hope that makes sense. I've given up playing any chase system using Martingale. Not worth the risk on a 3 game loss. On a labby line we can clear much easier even with a C game loss. My goal is to win 30 units.

For the purpose of this system, I will just show the record of A, B and C games.


30 units is a nice goal, what are your starting lines if you don't mind sharing.

I don't mind the labby method and prefer it to any chase, my problem with it however is not being able to close out the lines before the plays run out, know what I mean?  I guess this is where the line management comes in to play.  I understand you not wanting to post your labby lines as it will get complicated to follow as you adjust numbers to suit your needs.

Good luck Dan!
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


30 units is a nice goal, what are your starting lines if you don't mind sharing.

I don't mind the labby method and prefer it to any chase, my problem with it however is not being able to close out the lines before the plays run out, know what I mean?  I guess this is where the line management comes in to play.  I understand you not wanting to post your labby lines as it will get complicated to follow as you adjust numbers to suit your needs.

Good luck Dan!

What I will say is that I'm using 4 numbers in my labby line with each being a half unit, so 2 units per line.

Yeah, not going to post labby line betting on here just A, B, C games. Everyone can use their own MM.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #82

Tuesday: Philly (fade AZ) and Calgary (fade Buffalo) - Winner, Winner

Great way to start! Next play is Thursday.

  • Current season: 2-0
  • Overall tracking: 19-0

A: 2-0

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #83
Hey Dan.. out out of curiosity have you had the opportunity to investigate any further the below from one of your first posts ?

I looked at playing all the games but got a couple losses. What I mean by all games is say Pitt is 10 games over .500 at the break. Play all of their home games and chase for up to 3-4 games. Once they win, start over. The 2011-2012 season would have added 100+ wins but there were 2 losses.  I guess if you did this on a labby line you could come out pretty well. I'll need to test for those other years as I did it just for the one year. Hmm, that has me really thinking about this again. Let me run some numbers when I get a chance.
 
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Posted: #84
I never did the test on that. I'm Traveling tomorrow but maybe I'll look at it. 
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Posted: #85
Not sure how this works but I tailed last night .. thx guys !!
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

Hey Dan.. out out of curiosity have you had the opportunity to investigate any further the below from one of your first posts ?

I looked at playing all the games but got a couple losses. What I mean by all games is say Pitt is 10 games over .500 at the break. Play all of their home games and chase for up to 3-4 games. Once they win, start over. The 2011-2012 season would have added 100+ wins but there were 2 losses.  I guess if you did this on a labby line you could come out pretty well. I'll need to test for those other years as I did it just for the one year. Hmm, that has me really thinking about this again. Let me run some numbers when I get a chance.

Just ran the numbers for last year. The 3 game series would have went 76-5. Those 5, 3 game losses would have been a killer. The overall record was 76-50.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #87

Thursday - We are on the NYR.

  • Current season: 2-0
  • Overall tracking: 19-0

A: 2-0

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Just ran the numbers for last year. The 3 game series would have went 76-5. Those 5, 3 game losses would have been a killer. The overall record was 76-50.


Thanks for taking the time and sharing.

Considering the juice in play I think it's better just to play the system as designed.

Again thanks.
 
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Posted: #89

Thursday - NYR - Loss on A game, goes to B game Saturday.

No games Friday. Saturday we have NYR B game and new series betting on Montreal and fading Carolina (playing NYR)

  • Current season: 2-0
  • Overall tracking: 19-0

 

  • A: 2-1
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Posted: #90
Saturday: Montreal A game, NYR B game, Fade Carolina (bet NYR) A game.
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Posted: #91
lots of juice on the NYR line. I am splitting the bet between ML and -1. 
 
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Posted: #92

with the way I am playing, NYR is the first B game, which means I am playing them on a fresh line.

recouped their A game loss with Montreal this morning.

so only betting to win 1 unit on the rangers today.

 
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Posted: #93
 
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Posted: #94

Saturday: Montreal A game, NYR B game, Fade Carolina (bet NYR) A game. - ALL WINNERS!

  • Current season: 5-0
  • Overall tracking: 22-0

  • A: 4-1
  • B: 1-0

No plays until Feb 7. See ya then.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #95
thanks Dan!

 
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Posted: #96
Thank you Dan.  I don't post much but I appreciate the information and insight you share with everyone 
 
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Posted: #97

Saturday Feb 7 games

Fade Edmonton (Feb 7 @ Tor, Feb 9 @ NJ, Feb 10 @ NYI) stop after 1 loss by Edmonton

Sunday Feb 8 Games

Fade Philly ( Feb 8 @Wash, Feb 10 @Mon, Feb 13 @ Clb) stop after 1 loss by Philly

  • Current season: 5-0
  • Overall tracking: 22-0

  • A: 4-1
  • B: 1-0
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #98
Bravo, sir!
 
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Posted: #99
Winner on Toronto (fade Edm)

Sunday bet on Wash, fade Philly. 
  • Current season: 6-0
  • Overall tracking: 23-0

  • A: 5-1 
  • B: 1-0
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Posted: #100
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