All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Over 1.5 goals in a period bet/chase.

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 6871
Posts: 31
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #1
This bet has potential, been doing well, another hit tonight in the Blackhawks game! Get on board fellas!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #2
do you play every game?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #3
Finished games today hit both O/U

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #4
No, I usually only play games that have a total of 5.5 goals for game or over. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #5
so far,that is
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #6
and you chase up to 3 periods?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #7
Gonna chase the Blues and Rangers tonight. Teams rank 5th and 6th in the league in 1st period goals. Ov. 1.5 goals @ -115. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by For_the_win:

Gonna chase the Blues and Rangers tonight. Teams rank 5th and 6th in the league in 1st period goals. Ov. 1.5 goals @ -115. 

Easy CASH!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #9
Tonight Caps and Devils for over 1st period. Both teams are in top ten for goals scored in the first at 4th and 7th ranked. 

Also a strong play on the Rangers game, they rank in the top five for goals for in first and goals against in the first this season.

Good luck it tailing. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #10
I like your thinking.Do you use SDQL? I will be tailing
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 1199
Posted: #11
Hey what's up brother.. you know I'm all about chases even if it's about a sports I don't know jack sht about but I can pull all the trends and stats on SDQL.. let me know how you plan to do your chases and what your criteria are and we can tighten up the filters and score some cash.. good luck.. shoot me a message if you want to keep it off the thread
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #12

 Extremist be good to have you onboard thanks for your work on first inning baseball  I think for_the_win has a good idea here

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

Hey what's up brother.. you know I'm all about chases even if it's about a sports I don't know jack sht about but I can pull all the trends and stats on SDQL.. let me know how you plan to do your chases and what your criteria are and we can tighten up the filters and score some cash.. good luck.. shoot me a message if you want to keep it off the thread

Extremist, I was wondering when you would come around. haha. Yes, I know you are spot on with the SDQL. Heres something i was tossing around. 

If we could look at NHL teams who score the most in each period and who also give up the most first period goals. Just like you were running for MLB 1st inning overs. Could we morph that into the NHL system. Only problem is our sample size is small for this season. I was also thinking of cutting the chase down to a break even amount the second and third periods to minimize exposure? 

Or should it be ran on a game by game bases, chasing only our best bets for that day (ex. total for game over 6, top 10 in scoring in first ect.) 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 1199
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by For_the_win:


Extremist, I was wondering when you would come around. haha. Yes, I know you are spot on with the SDQL. Heres something i was tossing around. 

If we could look at NHL teams who score the most in each period and who also give up the most first period goals. Just like you were running for MLB 1st inning overs. Could we morph that into the NHL system. Only problem is our sample size is small for this season. I was also thinking of cutting the chase down to a break even amount the second and third periods to minimize exposure? 

Or should it be ran on a game by game bases, chasing only our best bets for that day (ex. total for game over 6, top 10 in scoring in first ect.) 

yes, the sample size is small and another thing, even though so far this year there are more over 1.5 1st innings than unders, that will change. I looked at all previous years and there are more games that 1st inning hit under 1.5 than did the over. So something to consider.

I can let you know which team right now have the highest percentage/most over 1.5 so far and those teams are:

Jets, Maple Leafs, Sharks, Canucks at 100% of their games going over 1.5 1st period
Bruins, Canadians at 80% over
Oiles at 75%

the sample size is small and I don't know jack sht about hockey bro but I know #s and I don't know how you want to set this up. 
now this was based on the total being whatever..not 5.5 or 6. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 1199
Posted: #15
also.. do you want to chase the same team for 3 games or 3 different teams in the same day? or what? Im not sure what your chase consists of.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #16
tomorrow,Toronto as a elite team on this system and a 6 total -125 O and +100 U I'm chasing 3 periods using in game betting. Between periods in hockey is a lot longer than between innings in baseball which fixes the problem I had with in game betting in MLB. Looks like you guys are on to something
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #17
Extremist, I am still looking at things and will get back soon. Thanks for the data earlier. 

Tonight, on the caps/leafs (both top three in goals scored in first) and Pitt/rangers (both teams rank high in goals against in the first and rank decently in goals in first period). Three inning chase on each.

I have also been placing round robing bets on all games over 6 goals, has been doing alright for fun. 

Good luck guys
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by For_the_win:

Extremist, I am still looking at things and will get back soon. Thanks for the data earlier. 

Tonight, on the caps/leafs (both top three in goals scored in first) and Pitt/rangers (both teams rank high in goals against in the first and rank decently in goals in first period). Three inning chase on each.

I have also been placing round robing bets on all games over 6 goals, has been doing alright for fun. 

Good luck guys

Winners....no finger nails left because that Toronto game. Round Robin is a flop....
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 1199
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by For_the_win:

Extremist, I am still looking at things and will get back soon. Thanks for the data earlier. 

Tonight, on the caps/leafs (both top three in goals scored in first) and Pitt/rangers (both teams rank high in goals against in the first and rank decently in goals in first period). Three inning chase on each.

I have also been placing round robing bets on all games over 6 goals, has been doing alright for fun. 

Good luck guys

so are you chasing over 1.5 for each period? not sure Im following
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:


so are you chasing over 1.5 for each period? not sure Im following

Hey buddy, yes currently chasing for each period. 

Guidelines currently: at least O/U of 6, chase to win one period of 1.5 over. 3 period chase. 

May need to rethink this if you state the Under 1.5 is better. This bet seems to be cooling off some. 

With that being said gonna roll with Det/Tor chase for the over 1.5 tonight. Detroit stats suck for overs in the 1st but Toronto is at the top and I hope they will pull it through for us. Good luck
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #21

As I hoped Toronto rolled! On to tomorrow.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 328
Posted: #22
how are Vancouver and Boston ranked for 1st period over
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 1199
Posted: #23

so I did a bit of # crunching and if you are trying to chase any game where there's over 1.5 goals per period for a 3 period chase you would win if the juice was even. You would be up 248 units last year, but we know there's def juice involved so I can't calculate the exact amount. NOW, if you decide to chase ANY team after 1st period where there was less than 1.5 goals, (for it to have over 1.5 goals for one of the next 2 periods) you can win the same amount of units with risking less money and less juice. And that's without any specific teams. that would a 2 period chase (2nd and 3rd which it's around 79% where the other hits at 89% but with lot more to risk). I did narrow it down to a few teams that have done well in 3 period chase (haven't had a chance to do it for 2 period chase yet) and those teams are: Maple Leafs, Penguins, Predators, Stars, & Islanders. I will look into 2 period chase if that interests you. 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

so I did a bit of # crunching and if you are trying to chase any game where there's over 1.5 goals per period for a 3 period chase you would win if the juice was even. You would be up 248 units last year, but we know there's def juice involved so I can't calculate the exact amount. NOW, if you decide to chase ANY team after 1st period where there was less than 1.5 goals, (for it to have over 1.5 goals for one of the next 2 periods) you can win the same amount of units with risking less money and less juice. And that's without any specific teams. that would a 2 period chase (2nd and 3rd which it's around 79% where the other hits at 89% but with lot more to risk). I did narrow it down to a few teams that have done well in 3 period chase (haven't had a chance to do it for 2 period chase yet) and those teams are: Maple Leafs, Penguins, Predators, Stars, & Islanders. I will look into 2 period chase if that interests you. 


Thank you for looking into those numbers. The over after an under in the first is interesting esp if it lowers our risk for same return. As always good work and thank you. 

Tonight I'm going with this:

Leafs/Kings over in 1st, chase three periods.

Leafs are hot, ranking 1st in goals scored in 1st, meanwhile Kings are 10th in goals given up in 1st. I feel the Leafs will cash this eventually for us. Good luck if tailing. 
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 147
Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by For_the_win:


Thank you for looking into those numbers. The over after an under in the first is interesting esp if it lowers our risk for same return. As always good work and thank you. 

Tonight I'm going with this:

Leafs/Kings over in 1st, chase three periods.

Leafs are hot, ranking 1st in goals scored in 1st, meanwhile Kings are 10th in goals given up in 1st. I feel the Leafs will cash this eventually for us. Good luck if tailing. 

2nd Period Cash!
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.