Group 1.) Montreal Win(1.645) x Montreal Under 5(2.00) x Boston Win(1.625) x Boston Under 5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $920.75 Potential prize
Group 4.) Philly 76ers Win -6.5(1.87) x Philly 76ers Under 196(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Win -9(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Under 205(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1200.51 Potential prize
2 Total Parlay's on December 7th = $200 Bet GL!!!
0
December 7th Starting Balance = -$1800
December 7th Parlays
Group 1.) Montreal Win(1.645) x Montreal Under 5(2.00) x Boston Win(1.625) x Boston Under 5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $920.75 Potential prize
Group 4.) Philly 76ers Win -6.5(1.87) x Philly 76ers Under 196(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Win -9(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Under 205(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1200.51 Potential prize
YOU DON'T INCLUDE GROUP FIVE BECAUSE ITS ONLY 2(DENVER AND UNDER)? HAS TO BE 4
two teams from a group have to be playing from a group to make a paraly....so yes they will always be parlay's of 4 games...when the over /under is added
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Quote Originally Posted by logueboy:
YOU DON'T INCLUDE GROUP FIVE BECAUSE ITS ONLY 2(DENVER AND UNDER)? HAS TO BE 4
two teams from a group have to be playing from a group to make a paraly....so yes they will always be parlay's of 4 games...when the over /under is added
Group 1.) Montreal Win(1.645) x Montreal Under 5(2.00) x Boston Win(1.625) x Boston Under 5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $920.75 Potential prize 2W-0L-2P!!
Group 4.) Philly 76ers Win -6.5(1.87) x Philly 76ers Under 196(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Win -9(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Under 205(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1200.51 Potential prize 1W-3L-0P
2 Total Parlay's on December 7th = $200 Bet GL!!!
Well at least we banged off the first win of the month!...I won all 4 games on my sport select ticket because the O/U for the Boston and Montreal game was 5.5....I wont record it as money towords the month because no book would have given 5.5. Still a Win of $267.31!! Hopefully This is the start to a Hot run!! In past months wins came in bunch's!
Total Winnings for December 7th = $267.31
Total Bets for December 7th = $200.00
Total Profit for December 7th = $67.31
Balance at end of December 7th = -$1732.69
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Quote Originally Posted by tombrady:
December 7th Starting Balance = -$1800
December 7th Parlays
Group 1.) Montreal Win(1.645) x Montreal Under 5(2.00) x Boston Win(1.625) x Boston Under 5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $920.75 Potential prize 2W-0L-2P!!
Group 4.) Philly 76ers Win -6.5(1.87) x Philly 76ers Under 196(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Win -9(1.909) x Dallas Mavs Under 205(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1200.51 Potential prize 1W-3L-0P
2 Total Parlay's on December 7th = $200 Bet GL!!!
Well at least we banged off the first win of the month!...I won all 4 games on my sport select ticket because the O/U for the Boston and Montreal game was 5.5....I wont record it as money towords the month because no book would have given 5.5. Still a Win of $267.31!! Hopefully This is the start to a Hot run!! In past months wins came in bunch's!
Well there is a few different ideas that put this system together
1.) The idea is that teams are designed to fuction in a certain way....for example last year the Calgary Flames designed to win one goal low scoring games....same with Minnisota wild....In the NBA the Orlando Magic were golden on the under....Wash Caps great on the Over and so on....So basically if teams are going to win then the majority of the time they should be winning by thier identity.
2.) The reason there is groups of three is because of a few reasons....#1 reason to keep consisatncy....any sytem has to have structure....#2 reason ...if you have only two teams and one goes on a long streak against you.. your hooped....this way by having a third team you switch it up.
3.) groups of three also makes so you are not betting on that team every single time they play.
4.) 6 groups seemd to be beneficial because if one or two groups are slumping the others keep you rolling until you cash in...
5.) Main thing is that you are really only having to win two games..but with the under over correct with them. Most of the time a Parlay is paying 13X your money.I beileve at some point no matter what teams you select to make a group at some point that group will profit...
6.) I am not totally convinced its bulletproff and am learning everyday on tweaks that might make this system better.
7.) It made money October and November....will see on December and then see what needs to be done....If it is sucessful again in December, I defenetly with continue as is
Future tweaks i am keeping an eye on
- Is it better to drop a group once you have profited from it
- Is it better to fade hot records instead of riding them
- Is it better to add and drop groups throughout the year based on records or is it better to just to ride your teams all season one you have grouped them togther.
- should we play NHL and NBA the same.
- There are lots of things to learn a see but i am well ahead already and willing to change if neccessary
-
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Quote Originally Posted by willywagtail:
What's the theory behind the system?
Well there is a few different ideas that put this system together
1.) The idea is that teams are designed to fuction in a certain way....for example last year the Calgary Flames designed to win one goal low scoring games....same with Minnisota wild....In the NBA the Orlando Magic were golden on the under....Wash Caps great on the Over and so on....So basically if teams are going to win then the majority of the time they should be winning by thier identity.
2.) The reason there is groups of three is because of a few reasons....#1 reason to keep consisatncy....any sytem has to have structure....#2 reason ...if you have only two teams and one goes on a long streak against you.. your hooped....this way by having a third team you switch it up.
3.) groups of three also makes so you are not betting on that team every single time they play.
4.) 6 groups seemd to be beneficial because if one or two groups are slumping the others keep you rolling until you cash in...
5.) Main thing is that you are really only having to win two games..but with the under over correct with them. Most of the time a Parlay is paying 13X your money.I beileve at some point no matter what teams you select to make a group at some point that group will profit...
6.) I am not totally convinced its bulletproff and am learning everyday on tweaks that might make this system better.
7.) It made money October and November....will see on December and then see what needs to be done....If it is sucessful again in December, I defenetly with continue as is
Future tweaks i am keeping an eye on
- Is it better to drop a group once you have profited from it
- Is it better to fade hot records instead of riding them
- Is it better to add and drop groups throughout the year based on records or is it better to just to ride your teams all season one you have grouped them togther.
- should we play NHL and NBA the same.
- There are lots of things to learn a see but i am well ahead already and willing to change if neccessary
Nice job Brady, when do u normally post ur picks for ur parlays? Sounds like ur a parlay machine like myself. They can win us the most but most of the time we get screwed by 1 team. Like ur style bro been tracking ur posts
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Nice job Brady, when do u normally post ur picks for ur parlays? Sounds like ur a parlay machine like myself. They can win us the most but most of the time we get screwed by 1 team. Like ur style bro been tracking ur posts
Group 2- Pittsburg Pens Win(1.417) x Pitt Pens Under 5.5(1.952) x SJ Sharks Win(2.20) x SJ Sharks Over 5.5(1.80) x Bet($100) = $1095.33 Potential Prize
Group 3- SA Spurs Win -10.5(1.909) x SA Spurs Over 213.5(1.909) x New Orleans Win -10(1.909) x New Orleans Under 185.5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1328.08 Potential Prize
Group 5- Boston Celtics Win -7(1.909) x Denver Nuggets Under 203.5(1.909) x Oklahoma Win -5.5(1.917) x Oklahoma Over 217(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1333.64 Potential Prize
Total of 3 Parlays on December 8th = $300 Bet
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December 8th Starting Balance = -1732.69
December 8th Parlay's
Group 2- Pittsburg Pens Win(1.417) x Pitt Pens Under 5.5(1.952) x SJ Sharks Win(2.20) x SJ Sharks Over 5.5(1.80) x Bet($100) = $1095.33 Potential Prize
Group 3- SA Spurs Win -10.5(1.909) x SA Spurs Over 213.5(1.909) x New Orleans Win -10(1.909) x New Orleans Under 185.5(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1328.08 Potential Prize
Group 5- Boston Celtics Win -7(1.909) x Denver Nuggets Under 203.5(1.909) x Oklahoma Win -5.5(1.917) x Oklahoma Over 217(1.909) x Bet($100) = $1333.64 Potential Prize
Nice job Brady, when do u normally post ur picks for ur parlays? Sounds like ur a parlay machine like myself. They can win us the most but most of the time we get screwed by 1 team. Like ur style bro been tracking ur posts
I try my best to have them up by noon....but might not always be able too...If you understand the system completly you can always pick them out yourself GL!!
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Quote Originally Posted by wizkid30:
Nice job Brady, when do u normally post ur picks for ur parlays? Sounds like ur a parlay machine like myself. They can win us the most but most of the time we get screwed by 1 team. Like ur style bro been tracking ur posts
I try my best to have them up by noon....but might not always be able too...If you understand the system completly you can always pick them out yourself GL!!
tb, what about just making up 2-team parlays. For example tonight would be in the NBA:
1. Boston/under Win
2. New Orleans/under pending
3. Spurs/over pending
4. OKC/over pending
If you're accurate in your assessment of how these teams win and cover then the 2-teamer will come in more often than the bookie's allow for with their payouts. You will collect more often and avoid big drawdowns. This is similar to the correlated parlays in football where there is a mathematical edge when the favorite covers or when the dogs cover.
0
tb, what about just making up 2-team parlays. For example tonight would be in the NBA:
1. Boston/under Win
2. New Orleans/under pending
3. Spurs/over pending
4. OKC/over pending
If you're accurate in your assessment of how these teams win and cover then the 2-teamer will come in more often than the bookie's allow for with their payouts. You will collect more often and avoid big drawdowns. This is similar to the correlated parlays in football where there is a mathematical edge when the favorite covers or when the dogs cover.
dj should be all over this. We just need to determine how the NBA teams usually cover their games when they cover whether it's a fast paced or slow paced game.
0
dj should be all over this. We just need to determine how the NBA teams usually cover their games when they cover whether it's a fast paced or slow paced game.
dj should be all over this. We just need to determine how the NBA teams usually cover their games when they cover whether it's a fast paced or slow paced game.
Me?
I don't parlay unless it's correlated...
0
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:
dj should be all over this. We just need to determine how the NBA teams usually cover their games when they cover whether it's a fast paced or slow paced game.
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Iam tracking this also tonight 3 groups play (group1,group4, and group5)....Iam dying to see some of these pop....
2W-0L-2P!!
1W-3L-0P
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