Lets say that someone had a Power Rating System, specifically for baseball and hockey that selected nothing but dogs. That system was able to win at a (48-51%) rate, with an average payback on winners at (+1.28)....
What would be the best way to play this?
Flat bet, raising bets as account grows. example: $1000 beginning account balance, wagering 2% per bet ($20)... then when account gets to $1500, raise bets to $30...
or should you use a Labouchere Method?
im leaning to the Labouchere...
any comments appreciated..
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Lets say that someone had a Power Rating System, specifically for baseball and hockey that selected nothing but dogs. That system was able to win at a (48-51%) rate, with an average payback on winners at (+1.28)....
What would be the best way to play this?
Flat bet, raising bets as account grows. example: $1000 beginning account balance, wagering 2% per bet ($20)... then when account gets to $1500, raise bets to $30...
sunday had a large number of plays, as the average number of plays has been about 3 per day....
here were sundays plays, sept 5
whitesox (+1.35)
twins (+1.15)
royals (+1.10)
indians (+1.80)
pirates (+1.05)
reds (+1.60)
mets (+1.30)
giants (+1.25)
8 plays for sunday, should have 4 winners...
lets see, ill risk $20 on all 8 of them, then ill decide by tomorrow, whether to flat bet them or put each in a separate chain and use the Labouchere..
Thinker
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sunday had a large number of plays, as the average number of plays has been about 3 per day....
here were sundays plays, sept 5
whitesox (+1.35)
twins (+1.15)
royals (+1.10)
indians (+1.80)
pirates (+1.05)
reds (+1.60)
mets (+1.30)
giants (+1.25)
8 plays for sunday, should have 4 winners...
lets see, ill risk $20 on all 8 of them, then ill decide by tomorrow, whether to flat bet them or put each in a separate chain and use the Labouchere..
well i decided to play them in this manner for now...
chain 1: $20 (play a) whitesox (+1.35) $20 to win $27
chain 2: $20 (play a) twins (+1.15) $20 to win $23
chain 3: $20 (play a) royals (+1.10) $20 to win $22
chain 4: $20 (play a) indians (+1.80) $20 to win $36
chain 5: (play a) pirates (+1.05) $20 to win $21
chain 6: (play a) reds (+1.60) $20 to win $32
chain 7: (play a) mets (+1.30) $20 to win $26
chain 8: (play a) giants (+1.25) $20 to win $25
so essentially all 8 chains look like this to start..
$20
a one number chain.. and i did take a little liberty with the dogs initially, as the risk amount is $20 and not the win amount. however if the chain increases in length (with losses), i will then reduce the bet size, so that each chain will eventually yield a $20 profit.
this system is a very fluid Power Rating system and changes almost daily. i feel as though it may work in some form with the nfl but that it will not be an exclusinve dog system...
more later, as we get some plays posted.... should run the rest of baseball season (including playoffs) and right into the NHL....
chain amounts may increase as bankroll increases... only allocating $1000 for this experiment...
if this yeilds system yields 15% compounded monthly, ill be very rich in 3yrs....
lets see how it goes..
Thinker
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well i decided to play them in this manner for now...
chain 1: $20 (play a) whitesox (+1.35) $20 to win $27
chain 2: $20 (play a) twins (+1.15) $20 to win $23
chain 3: $20 (play a) royals (+1.10) $20 to win $22
chain 4: $20 (play a) indians (+1.80) $20 to win $36
chain 5: (play a) pirates (+1.05) $20 to win $21
chain 6: (play a) reds (+1.60) $20 to win $32
chain 7: (play a) mets (+1.30) $20 to win $26
chain 8: (play a) giants (+1.25) $20 to win $25
so essentially all 8 chains look like this to start..
$20
a one number chain.. and i did take a little liberty with the dogs initially, as the risk amount is $20 and not the win amount. however if the chain increases in length (with losses), i will then reduce the bet size, so that each chain will eventually yield a $20 profit.
this system is a very fluid Power Rating system and changes almost daily. i feel as though it may work in some form with the nfl but that it will not be an exclusinve dog system...
more later, as we get some plays posted.... should run the rest of baseball season (including playoffs) and right into the NHL....
chain amounts may increase as bankroll increases... only allocating $1000 for this experiment...
if this yeilds system yields 15% compounded monthly, ill be very rich in 3yrs....
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