All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Smurph's Best Bet Chase

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 16123
Posts: 195
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #1
Been tracking my best bets from every sport. Betting as a 3 bet chase, 1u,2u,5u.

Usually one per day;sometimes more, sometimes less. Over the course of 2016 here are the stats:

38.6 units profit
240 total bets
125-109-6
11 Game 3 Losses of 8 units

There will be losses.. Clearly about once a month.. but the system is still profitable, and more profitable than flat betting every single bet, which would have net only about 12 units.

Best part about being only a 3 bet chase is you can increase the unit size compared to a longer chase starting low at $10-20. Obviously still keep bets at a reasonable level.

Good luck fam

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #2

currently in a chase that is going to Game 3 today... The bet is Saints +3 5units ... I will not count it towards the tracking here since the chase started before posting. good luck

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #3
First official best bet is tonight: LA Kings -115 1 unit

Good luck
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #4
Game 1 Loss.. 

System Profit: -1

..on to the next one

Tonight's play is Chicago State +27.5 (NCAAB) (-110) 2 units



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #5
Game 2 Win... almost got the ML upset as a 27 point dog

System Profit: .818 units
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #6
New chase... game 1: UCF +3 (NCAAB) (-115) 1 unit
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #7
Game 1 Loss

System Profit: -.182 units

Game 2: Kings +6 (NBA) (-115) 2 units
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #8
Game 2 Win

System Profit: 1.557 units

There will be two plays today and I probably won't have time to update in here until tomorrow so the units for Game 2 will either be 1 (if we win Game 1) or 2 (if we lose Game 1).. bet accordingly

Game 1: San Diego +6 (CFB) (-115) 1 unit -- game is at 3:30 PM

Game 2: Rice/Pitt under 157 (CBB) (-115) either 1 or 2 units depending on result of game 1 -- game starts at 7 so be aware of the end of game 1

back tomorrow with results and another pick
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #9
Two 1 unit wins last night

System Profit: +3.296 units

Game 1: Lions +4 (NFL) (-105) 1 unit
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 1925
Posted: #10
Hey smurph, would you be offended if I run my own thread doing the same thing here? It's a simple idea that I would like to try for myself.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

Hey smurph, would you be offended if I run my own thread doing the same thing here? It's a simple idea that I would like to try for myself.


Go for it and good luck. It should be more profitable than flat betting as long as you don't tend to go on losing streaks often
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #12
Game 1 loss

System profit: 2.296 units
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #13
Game 2: Pistons +3 (NBA) (-115) 2 units
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 2
Posted: #14
This is a nice System. I don't bet a lot of money and I think this will work nice for me. Thanks man!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 2
Posted: #15
This is a nice System. I don't bet a lot of money and I think this will work nice for me. Thanks man!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #16
re-ran some numbers and there were actually only 10 losses in the past year. i accidentally double counted a loss.. profits are actually just under 60 units (including the wins that have been posted in here).. lets hope the trend continues for 2017
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #17
Game 3: Cal Poly / Washington Under 159 (CBB) (-115) 5 units

Let's get it
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #18
Game 3 win

System profit: 4.644 units

Let's keep chuggging along.

Game 1: Northern Iowa +19 (CBB) (-115) 1 unit
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #19
Game 1 slaughter

Game 2: LSU/Wake under 158 (CBB) (-110) 2 units
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #20
Woof... Game 2 loss

On to Game 3: Old Dominion / Eastern Mich over 64 (CFB) (-110) 5 units

will update stats after this game
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #21

calling this one early Game 3 loss 



System Profit: -4.644 units

System Record: 5-1


Overall Profit: -7.569 units (with hypothetical flat betting)

Overall Record: 5-7




 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #22

sorry-- stat fix 


Overall Profit: -2.569 units (with hypothetical flat betting)

Overall Record: 5-7

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #23
to be clear, I am playing the "System".. the "Overall" stats are to track how much better/worse I would do with flat betting amounts
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 1925
Posted: #24
Now I'm at a game 3 that should be a game 2. I am debating hitting the reset button and not risking 5 on units. 
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #25
based on my bet history, its worth it in the long run... its all about staying consistent in where you hit the reset button. for this system it is after 3 losses. if a win comes on what would have been the 4th so be it. who knows if you'll win the next or lose another 3. I've found that if you stay consistent with your rules it works out in the long run
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.