What if the 2 to 4 plays u decide to play lose while the others are winners. How do you know which one will win or lose. Now your getting into the business of handicapping the best plays.
Imagine that.. actually havin to handicap games. Like, who DOES that anymore.. sheesh!
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Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:
What if the 2 to 4 plays u decide to play lose while the others are winners. How do you know which one will win or lose. Now your getting into the business of handicapping the best plays.
Imagine that.. actually havin to handicap games. Like, who DOES that anymore.. sheesh!
[Quote: Originally Posted by TDHCentral] Been reading the last few days and see you are doing well, but are you keeping a record that you can post? Thanks !
read post 90
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[Quote: Originally Posted by TDHCentral] Been reading the last few days and see you are doing well, but are you keeping a record that you can post? Thanks !
Thought this was a system thread. My bad. How accurate is your system if you start picking and choosing which ones to play.
Actually, I partially agree with you.. but that's the problem with Systems. If you're using a System to generate your plays, that's great, but System plays should only be treated as strong leans. If you cap the game and get a similar lean, then it becomes a strong play. Why on Earth would you bet your valuable money on a game just cuz a computer says you have an edge, when you break down the same game and don't get the same conclusion?? Of course, that's granted you're good at capping, which most people aren't.
Take a look at the NFL Systems that are chasing Dallas.. System says play them, but anyone with a brain who breaks down the match-ups and caps the game, knows you're just throwing bad money after bad money.
Now, we don't know what the System in this thread entails, as it hasn't been revealed. So who knows what actually goes into it. But we do know it doesn't involve chasing, and it doesn't consistently pick heavy Favs.. and those are two big keys to success.
Good Luck tonight Societic-Hustle
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Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:
Thought this was a system thread. My bad. How accurate is your system if you start picking and choosing which ones to play.
Actually, I partially agree with you.. but that's the problem with Systems. If you're using a System to generate your plays, that's great, but System plays should only be treated as strong leans. If you cap the game and get a similar lean, then it becomes a strong play. Why on Earth would you bet your valuable money on a game just cuz a computer says you have an edge, when you break down the same game and don't get the same conclusion?? Of course, that's granted you're good at capping, which most people aren't.
Take a look at the NFL Systems that are chasing Dallas.. System says play them, but anyone with a brain who breaks down the match-ups and caps the game, knows you're just throwing bad money after bad money.
Now, we don't know what the System in this thread entails, as it hasn't been revealed. So who knows what actually goes into it. But we do know it doesn't involve chasing, and it doesn't consistently pick heavy Favs.. and those are two big keys to success.
My biggest problem is that system recommends too many bets daily:
Today on NBA alone it recommends:
Charlotte to Cover + OVER Toronto to Cover + UNDER Orlando to Cover + OVER Denver to Cover Phoenix to Cover Dallas to Cover & UNDER
Thats just 10 bets for NBA for tonight, think about a weekend, with NBA, NHL, NCAAF & NFL.
Who wants to follow my 99 plays for Saturday & Sunday? Would people even take me seriously and follow the plays?
I only post plays I make a bet on, and I make 1000€ bets, so posting 10, 20 or 30 bets a day is a no-no for me.
On the other side, I can get frustrated, like yesterday, bets I posted was 3-0. But the system hit it right on every NBA game to cover and every NHL game to win incl OT except for Chicago Blackhawks.
Thats 9-1, but what if I was 1-9? Then nobody would give a shit if I hit 65% all season.
Im "test-driving" the system until end of year and keeping track of results and decide then on what to bet & how many bets.
Time to time, when I got plenty of free time over Im posting game projections on my blog, but I'm currently owner of a pub so I dont get much time over. It's out on the market for sale at the moment, when I sold it, I will post daily projections with leans so people who want to make lots of bet can decide for themselves.
Until then, I'm hoping Im going to be able to win at least 500$, hopefully 1000$ a week for those placing 100$ bets on Pinnacle.
Good Luck to everyone !
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My biggest problem is that system recommends too many bets daily:
Today on NBA alone it recommends:
Charlotte to Cover + OVER Toronto to Cover + UNDER Orlando to Cover + OVER Denver to Cover Phoenix to Cover Dallas to Cover & UNDER
Thats just 10 bets for NBA for tonight, think about a weekend, with NBA, NHL, NCAAF & NFL.
Who wants to follow my 99 plays for Saturday & Sunday? Would people even take me seriously and follow the plays?
I only post plays I make a bet on, and I make 1000€ bets, so posting 10, 20 or 30 bets a day is a no-no for me.
On the other side, I can get frustrated, like yesterday, bets I posted was 3-0. But the system hit it right on every NBA game to cover and every NHL game to win incl OT except for Chicago Blackhawks.
Thats 9-1, but what if I was 1-9? Then nobody would give a shit if I hit 65% all season.
Im "test-driving" the system until end of year and keeping track of results and decide then on what to bet & how many bets.
Time to time, when I got plenty of free time over Im posting game projections on my blog, but I'm currently owner of a pub so I dont get much time over. It's out on the market for sale at the moment, when I sold it, I will post daily projections with leans so people who want to make lots of bet can decide for themselves.
Until then, I'm hoping Im going to be able to win at least 500$, hopefully 1000$ a week for those placing 100$ bets on Pinnacle.
Societic-Hustle don't worry about playing too many games ...If you think it's a good bet then bet it...Just keep refining your "system" to hit a better win percent to win over the long haul...
btw...your 2 NBA picks tonight went 1-1
if you bet all the NBA system bets you would have gone a miserable 2-6-2...
sooooo...keep refining and let's win some dough...
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Societic-Hustle don't worry about playing too many games ...If you think it's a good bet then bet it...Just keep refining your "system" to hit a better win percent to win over the long haul...
btw...your 2 NBA picks tonight went 1-1
if you bet all the NBA system bets you would have gone a miserable 2-6-2...
sooooo...keep refining and let's win some dough...
For what it's worth, I'm a huge fan of your picks, and your record is badass. Gasman makes a good point though. Whatever filter you're using to determine which of your system bets you're actually going to play is working. I've upped my unit on your picks and I'm sure I'm not the only lurker doing so. Stay balanced and cheers, man!
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For what it's worth, I'm a huge fan of your picks, and your record is badass. Gasman makes a good point though. Whatever filter you're using to determine which of your system bets you're actually going to play is working. I've upped my unit on your picks and I'm sure I'm not the only lurker doing so. Stay balanced and cheers, man!
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies
Dallas Mavericks +1 Points
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Philadelphia 76ers +9 Points
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes.5 (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Do your numbers take into account the fact that monta ellis and iguadala are hurt? Both of these plays look great on a regular night but can GS and Phili keep up with their main dudes hurting?
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Quote Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:
Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors +4 Points
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies
Dallas Mavericks +1 Points
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Philadelphia 76ers +9 Points
-110 / 1.909 @ 5Dimes.5 (Risking 1 unit to win 0.909 units)
Do your numbers take into account the fact that monta ellis and iguadala are hurt? Both of these plays look great on a regular night but can GS and Phili keep up with their main dudes hurting?
Do your numbers take into account the fact that monta ellis and iguadala are hurt? Both of these plays look great on a regular night but can GS and Phili keep up with their main dudes hurting?
Yes
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Quote Originally Posted by CobieLunsford:
Do your numbers take into account the fact that monta ellis and iguadala are hurt? Both of these plays look great on a regular night but can GS and Phili keep up with their main dudes hurting?
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