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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Stats for underdogs

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    KnightofSorrow
    JimmyDrizzl
    fadeyoulosers
    Bart_
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    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 3:38 PM ET #51

    missed play for S1 SD +1.5 for game 2...
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    missed play for S1 SD +1.5 for game 2...
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 4:14 PM ET #52

    adding inplay S1 SD +1.5 1u to win 0.5
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    adding inplay S1 SD +1.5 1u to win 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 6:16 PM ET #53

    final play
    S2: NYM ML 0.5 to win 0.71
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    final play
    S2: NYM ML 0.5 to win 0.71
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2014 - 11:39 PM ET #54

    Always knew it would not be easy..bumps in the road slowing the process down to a crawl...Need a few good days to get the mojo back..
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    Always knew it would not be easy..bumps in the road slowing the process down to a crawl...Need a few good days to get the mojo back..
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2014 - 3:30 AM ET #55

    Yeh S2 sux in the early season I guess, we will see how it goes, hope next days are good indeed
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    Yeh S2 sux in the early season I guess, we will see how it goes, hope next days are good indeed
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2014 - 7:02 PM ET #56

    S1: MIL +1.5 1u to win 0.5
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    S1: MIL +1.5 1u to win 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2014 - 7:09 PM ET #57

    took live for S1: BOS +1.5 1u to win 0.38
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    took live for S1: BOS +1.5 1u to win 0.38
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2014 - 7:54 PM ET #58

    final S1: Ari +1.5 1 to win 0.5
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    final S1: Ari +1.5 1 to win 0.5
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 9:06 AM ET #59

    System one yesterday goes 2-1 and breaks even. ....Winning 7 out of 10 consistently laying the big juice will be a slow grind. You absolutely need lots of patience and calm thinking in doing this system.
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    System one yesterday goes 2-1 and breaks even. ....Winning 7 out of 10 consistently laying the big juice will be a slow grind. You absolutely need lots of patience and calm thinking in doing this system.
     
    fadeyoulosers
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 11:03 AM ET #60

    Hey Knight not bashing your methods it's just my way the old way as i did in vegas years ago when living out there us heavy hitters never took a rl or laid a RL because now the Vegas book really tears it up

    instaed of Winning 175$ you win what 110$  they just saved $65

    now think this as in 100 players do this daily whole mlb season say 3 games daily i'l say average savings for the books is $25 so thats $75 for 3 plays saved X 100 players = $7500 the books save in just one day now do that for whole MLB season

    your talking Millions of dollars in thier pockets more ok not millions

    $1,230,000 but how many casinos book in Vegas 5 or 10 i'm not sure now haven't been there in like 15 years if it's 10 books in just Vegas that's huge at 12 mil 300 K

    Me when out there we hammered dogs hard average dog price was +140 for the reg sharps me i took every dog no mater how high they were they all said yo frank thats not good I said fuukkit i like it it's a system of mines

    think of it $2000 bet on a +220 dog winner they hated my guts because i was playing with house money all year!

    Yeah they knew our runners and soon as i popped that dog in 7 books the line dropped +220 became +200  which is kinda dumb because others see that move then start betting it.

    Or whatever they dropped it to i didn't care after my guys made the play.

    Them managers out there are just quirky they think it's going to be followed by other heavy hitters and it's not they should know those reg guys never lay or take big juice in bases they take +160 dogs maybe +175 but nothing higher because the chalk side would be -200 which is no play for any pro in nevada.

    and yes JimmyDrizzi always need Patience in sports betting must be a robot when making bets especially when it's your living treat it as a business not just gambling.

    Think of a daily nut to cover like maybe a small deli would need to make $200 daily to cover his nut.


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    Hey Knight not bashing your methods it's just my way the old way as i did in vegas years ago when living out there us heavy hitters never took a rl or laid a RL because now the Vegas book really tears it up

    instaed of Winning 175$ you win what 110$  they just saved $65

    now think this as in 100 players do this daily whole mlb season say 3 games daily i'l say average savings for the books is $25 so thats $75 for 3 plays saved X 100 players = $7500 the books save in just one day now do that for whole MLB season

    your talking Millions of dollars in thier pockets more ok not millions

    $1,230,000 but how many casinos book in Vegas 5 or 10 i'm not sure now haven't been there in like 15 years if it's 10 books in just Vegas that's huge at 12 mil 300 K

    Me when out there we hammered dogs hard average dog price was +140 for the reg sharps me i took every dog no mater how high they were they all said yo frank thats not good I said fuukkit i like it it's a system of mines

    think of it $2000 bet on a +220 dog winner they hated my guts because i was playing with house money all year!

    Yeah they knew our runners and soon as i popped that dog in 7 books the line dropped +220 became +200  which is kinda dumb because others see that move then start betting it.

    Or whatever they dropped it to i didn't care after my guys made the play.

    Them managers out there are just quirky they think it's going to be followed by other heavy hitters and it's not they should know those reg guys never lay or take big juice in bases they take +160 dogs maybe +175 but nothing higher because the chalk side would be -200 which is no play for any pro in nevada.

    and yes JimmyDrizzi always need Patience in sports betting must be a robot when making bets especially when it's your living treat it as a business not just gambling.

    Think of a daily nut to cover like maybe a small deli would need to make $200 daily to cover his nut.


     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 3:34 PM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by fadeyoulosers:

    Hey Knight not bashing your methods it's just my way the old way as i did in vegas years ago when living out there us heavy hitters never took a rl or laid a RL because now the Vegas book really tears it up

    instaed of Winning 175$ you win what 110$  they just saved $65

    now think this as in 100 players do this daily whole mlb season say 3 games daily i'l say average savings for the books is $25 so thats $75 for 3 plays saved X 100 players = $7500 the books save in just one day now do that for whole MLB season

    your talking Millions of dollars in thier pockets more ok not millions

    $1,230,000 but how many casinos book in Vegas 5 or 10 i'm not sure now haven't been there in like 15 years if it's 10 books in just Vegas that's huge at 12 mil 300 K

    Me when out there we hammered dogs hard average dog price was +140 for the reg sharps me i took every dog no mater how high they were they all said yo frank thats not good I said fuukkit i like it it's a system of mines

    think of it $2000 bet on a +220 dog winner they hated my guts because i was playing with house money all year!

    Yeah they knew our runners and soon as i popped that dog in 7 books the line dropped +220 became +200  which is kinda dumb because others see that move then start betting it.

    Or whatever they dropped it to i didn't care after my guys made the play.

    Them managers out there are just quirky they think it's going to be followed by other heavy hitters and it's not they should know those reg guys never lay or take big juice in bases they take +160 dogs maybe +175 but nothing higher because the chalk side would be -200 which is no play for any pro in nevada.

    and yes JimmyDrizzi always need Patience in sports betting must be a robot when making bets especially when it's your living treat it as a business not just gambling.

    Think of a daily nut to cover like maybe a small deli would need to make $200 daily to cover his nut.


    Good advice Fadeyoulosers, and you absolutely make perfect sense in what you say. The only ones getting WEALTHY are the owners of the sportsbooks which is always the case.

    So why do so many think they can beat the "system" when in reality it is virtually impossible to beat?

    I hardly ever have a winning season...And if I do, I give it all back a few months later..You know, baseball season morphs into football season, which morphs into basketball season, etc.,

    So, the thinking is...I have nothing to lose by trying a system that Knight researched and found it to be profitable in years past...Who knows if it will work this year or not. Maybe long term it will work, maybe it will not...you say no....We shall see.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fadeyoulosers:

    Hey Knight not bashing your methods it's just my way the old way as i did in vegas years ago when living out there us heavy hitters never took a rl or laid a RL because now the Vegas book really tears it up

    instaed of Winning 175$ you win what 110$  they just saved $65

    now think this as in 100 players do this daily whole mlb season say 3 games daily i'l say average savings for the books is $25 so thats $75 for 3 plays saved X 100 players = $7500 the books save in just one day now do that for whole MLB season

    your talking Millions of dollars in thier pockets more ok not millions

    $1,230,000 but how many casinos book in Vegas 5 or 10 i'm not sure now haven't been there in like 15 years if it's 10 books in just Vegas that's huge at 12 mil 300 K

    Me when out there we hammered dogs hard average dog price was +140 for the reg sharps me i took every dog no mater how high they were they all said yo frank thats not good I said fuukkit i like it it's a system of mines

    think of it $2000 bet on a +220 dog winner they hated my guts because i was playing with house money all year!

    Yeah they knew our runners and soon as i popped that dog in 7 books the line dropped +220 became +200  which is kinda dumb because others see that move then start betting it.

    Or whatever they dropped it to i didn't care after my guys made the play.

    Them managers out there are just quirky they think it's going to be followed by other heavy hitters and it's not they should know those reg guys never lay or take big juice in bases they take +160 dogs maybe +175 but nothing higher because the chalk side would be -200 which is no play for any pro in nevada.

    and yes JimmyDrizzi always need Patience in sports betting must be a robot when making bets especially when it's your living treat it as a business not just gambling.

    Think of a daily nut to cover like maybe a small deli would need to make $200 daily to cover his nut.


    Good advice Fadeyoulosers, and you absolutely make perfect sense in what you say. The only ones getting WEALTHY are the owners of the sportsbooks which is always the case.

    So why do so many think they can beat the "system" when in reality it is virtually impossible to beat?

    I hardly ever have a winning season...And if I do, I give it all back a few months later..You know, baseball season morphs into football season, which morphs into basketball season, etc.,

    So, the thinking is...I have nothing to lose by trying a system that Knight researched and found it to be profitable in years past...Who knows if it will work this year or not. Maybe long term it will work, maybe it will not...you say no....We shall see.

     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 7:03 PM ET #62

    S2: TOR ML 0.5/0.7
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    S2: TOR ML 0.5/0.7
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 7:08 PM ET #63

    Thanks guys for sharing your views, it's still early in the season and let's wait a month or so and we will be smarter The big time will start when the faves start to lose so that S2 will perform better
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    Thanks guys for sharing your views, it's still early in the season and let's wait a month or so and we will be smarter The big time will start when the faves start to lose so that S2 will perform better
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2014 - 7:32 PM ET #64

    final plays
    S1: Pit +1.5 1u to win 0.5
    S2: Oak ML 0.5 to win 0.68
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    final plays
    S1: Pit +1.5 1u to win 0.5
    S2: Oak ML 0.5 to win 0.68
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 2:09 PM ET #65

    minny ML 0.5/0.66 S2
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    minny ML 0.5/0.66 S2
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 7:04 PM ET #66

    s1: TOR +1.5 1u to win 0.5
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    s1: TOR +1.5 1u to win 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2014 - 7:06 PM ET #67

    S2: Pit ML 0.5 to win 0.66
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    S2: Pit ML 0.5 to win 0.66
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 1:31 PM ET #68

    today S1: Mia +1.5 1u to win 0.5
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    today S1: Mia +1.5 1u to win 0.5
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 2:02 PM ET #69

    Cle+1.5 1u/0.5
    Pit+1.5 1u/0.5
    System 1
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    Cle+1.5 1u/0.5
    Pit+1.5 1u/0.5
    System 1
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2014 - 11:12 PM ET #70

    Another day of system one results...Win two games, lose one game, and we get a "push" for the day....66.66% on the day. You need to refresh us "tailers" on the total wins of system one for the whole past week and what percentage it is hitting at for the first two weeks the season that has been going on so far...Since you as a bettor are always laying two to one, you need to hit at least 70% winners to even eke out a small profit as WE ALL KNOW.

    Still a long way to go...Only two weeks gone by. Most other system players are probably broke already...lets see if system one can hit at over 70% in this years full 2014 season. Seems like system one is the system to play primarily.

     

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    Another day of system one results...Win two games, lose one game, and we get a "push" for the day....66.66% on the day. You need to refresh us "tailers" on the total wins of system one for the whole past week and what percentage it is hitting at for the first two weeks the season that has been going on so far...Since you as a bettor are always laying two to one, you need to hit at least 70% winners to even eke out a small profit as WE ALL KNOW.

    Still a long way to go...Only two weeks gone by. Most other system players are probably broke already...lets see if system one can hit at over 70% in this years full 2014 season. Seems like system one is the system to play primarily.

     

     
    KnightofSorrow
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 7:13 PM ET #71

    yeh will update shortly on the results, no worry as you said just a push yesterday, but hey thankfully :) Have next 3 for today so watch out.
    SEA +1.5 1u
    STL +1.5 1u
    COL +1.5 1u
    hope all cash
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    yeh will update shortly on the results, no worry as you said just a push yesterday, but hey thankfully :) Have next 3 for today so watch out.
    SEA +1.5 1u
    STL +1.5 1u
    COL +1.5 1u
    hope all cash
     
    Bart_
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 7:15 PM ET #72

    Sea and Col picks line up with Cisco's systems too.
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    Sea and Col picks line up with Cisco's systems too.
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2014 - 9:41 AM ET #73

    yeh nice day 3-0
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    yeh nice day 3-0
     
    JimmyDrizzl
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2014 - 1:31 PM ET #74

    Might be time to increase the betting limits.......Hopefully it is very possible that System one selections will be a solid play all year long....

    Whatever it is it is.. Any system that can potentially show a profit at the end of the year should be appreciated...Both the system, and the person bringing it to others attention as well.

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    Might be time to increase the betting limits.......Hopefully it is very possible that System one selections will be a solid play all year long....

    Whatever it is it is.. Any system that can potentially show a profit at the end of the year should be appreciated...Both the system, and the person bringing it to others attention as well.

     
     
    KnightofSorrow
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2014 - 7:08 PM ET #75

    thanks Jimmy, this is just one good day so be careful with increasing the amounts you bet
    S1 plays for today
    STL +1.5
    Col +1.5
    All risking 1u
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    thanks Jimmy, this is just one good day so be careful with increasing the amounts you bet
    S1 plays for today
    STL +1.5
    Col +1.5
    All risking 1u
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