Quote Originally Posted by UsaSurfer:
Bedu, it seems like you might be one of the only people who can translate this. I think we all understand the basic three systems, which aren't really complicated, but aren't really profitable.
The real question is what is the second step to determine the plays that are currently 14-1. I don't have the slightest clue how to translate what he is saying there.
I'll try to make this as simple as possible. A good place to check teams schedules is at "VEGASINSIDER.COM"
STEP 1:
Look for a team that is home for at least 2 games in a row.
STEP 2:
Check the "CLOSING LINE" to see if that home team was a favorite in it's last game. If they weren't the favorite, then move on to the next team.
STEP 3:
Go to the "RESULT" and see if that home team won or lost. The home team must've lost the game.
STEP 4:
Go to the "TOTAL" to see the line total for the game.
STEP 5:
Go to the "RESULT" and add up the final scores of each team.
STEP 6:
Compare the "RESULT" total of the game to the "TOTAL" line. If the "RESULT" went under the "TOTAL" then write LU. LU means the home team LOST and the game went UNDER the predicted total. If the "RESULT" total of the game went over the "TOTAL" then write LO. LO means the home team LOST and the game went OVER the predicted total.
STEP 7:
Go to the next home game.
STEP 8:
Home team must be the underdog in order to be a play.
STEP 9:
This is the tricky part. If the previous game was under the predicted total or LU, then the home team usually loses it's next game. If the previous game was over or LO, then the home team usually wins it's next game.
LU = bet against home team.
LO = bet for the home team.
Here's an example:
Go to VEGASINSIDER and pull up the Golden State Warrior's schedule. Look at the January 15th and January 18th games.
STEP 1: Golden State is home for at least 2 straight games.
STEP 2: Golden State was favored by 3.5 over Milwaukee.
STEP 3: Golden State lost the game 104-113.
STEP 4: The "TOTAL" line for the game was 218.
STEP 5: The "RESULT" total of the game was 217....104 + 113.
STEP 6: Since the "RESULT" total of 217 was under the "TOTAL" of 218, we would write LU.
STEP 7: Next home game was against Chicago Bulls on January 18th.
STEP 8: Golden State was the underdog getting 2 points. Since the previous game against Milwaukee was a LU, we would make the bet AGAINST Golden State.
Unfortunately, Golden State won this game 114-97 for the systems 2nd loss.
Hope this helps those that were having a hard time understanding this system. It really doesn't take that much time to run through each team's schedule to see if they might be a possible play.