All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Teams after TNF (long break) NFL

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 26173
Posts: 110
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #1

So with TNF every thursday i wondered if there could be a system taken from teams being in this situation

After backchecking through just over a years worth of data heres what ive come up with:

If the home team in the TNF game covers the spread and has a better record than team in next game they are 5-0 SU, also a possible reverse play may come into this as well because so far teams who have a worse record after covering are 0-2 SU

If the home team in the TNF game does not cover the spread in the next game they are 0-4 SU and ATS

ALSO

If the team is the Underdog and loses and are the away team they are 6-0 ATS and SU

upcoming plays for this system are

CHI is an UNDERDOG LOSER AWAY TEAM so they should WIN and COVER

GB was a FAV HOME TEAM WINNER but they have the same record as SEA so its a no play

I will try my best to track plays and post them throught the season, also trying to see if O/U can be worked into this as well

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #2
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 1818
Posted: #3
cool
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Burly:

So with TNF every thursday i wondered if there could be a system taken from teams being in this situation

After backchecking through just over a years worth of data heres what ive come up with:

If the home team in the TNF game covers the spread and has a better record than team in next game they are 5-0 SU, also a possible reverse play may come into this as well because so far teams who have a worse record after covering are 0-2 SU

If the home team in the TNF game does not cover the spread in the next game they are 0-4 SU and ATS

ALSO

If the team IN THE THF GAME  is the Underdog and loses and are the away team they are 6-0 ATS and SU IN THE NEXT GAME

upcoming plays for this system are

CHI WAS an UNDERDOG LOSER AWAY TEAM so they should WIN and COVER

GB was a FAV HOME TEAM WINNER but they have the same record as SEA so its a no play

I will try my best to track plays and post them throught the season, also trying to see if O/U can be worked into this as well

 

SORRY IF THAT CONFUSED ANYONE WROTE IT AFTER A LATE NIGHT

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Burly:

So with TNF every thursday i wondered if there could be a system taken from teams being in this situation

After backchecking through just over a years worth of data heres what ive come up with:

If the home team in the TNF game covers the spread and has a better record than team in next game they are 5-0 SU, also a possible reverse play may come into this as well because so far teams who have a worse record after covering are 0-2 SU

If the home team in the TNF game does not cover the spread in the next game they are 0-4 SU and ATS

ALSO

If the team IN THE THF GAME  is the Underdog and loses and are the away team they are 6-0 ATS and SU IN THE NEXT GAME

upcoming plays for this system are

CHI WAS an UNDERDOG LOSER AWAY TEAM so they should WIN and COVER

GB was a FAV HOME TEAM WINNER but they have the same record as SEA so its a no play

I will try my best to track plays and post them throught the season, also trying to see if O/U can be worked into this as well

 

SORRY IF THAT CONFUSED ANYONE WROTE IT AFTER A LATE NIGHT

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 95
Posted: #6
clear as mud, you trend finding stud... once again, Burly, down time vs analytical
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #7

CHI win and cover

i will continue to post under this thread

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 1100
Posted: #8
Nice find, wish you the best of luck!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #9

ive put all the information into a spreadsheet and with two years plus the plays so far this season

ADDING: GB ML

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 667
Posted: #10

keep up the good work burly..

Highly appreciated

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #11

wow just wow

that finish was just bs

GB should have won that game

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 95
Posted: #12
with a two year back check, including games played on Thanksgiving, and looking at TNF teams the following week with ten days to prepare...

TNF winners the next week are 12-6 SU & 10-7-1 ATS
TNF winners & favored the next week are 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS
TNF losers the next week are 9-9 SU & 12-5-1 ATS
TNF losers & favored the next week are 3-0 SU & ATS
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #13
Hardy I've broken it down even further and have three years data almost all entered into a spreadsheet I will post plays for this week before kickoff. I will include ATS or ML and O/U plays

I have also started looking into teams following off of MNF and it seems like situations are close to the TNF trends but will continue to collect data and double check
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #14

If NYG close as a underdog: Play NYG ML or ATS

Also NYG Over 66% chance of hitting over 47

CAR Over 75% chance of hitting over 48.5

Overs are what they are, the % is enough to show profit over long term.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #15

also working on Teams after MNF

plays for this week:

GB ML GB Over

SEA game has no plays

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #16
systems also says that NO should cover +9 but the Saints are a mess so that play is up to you
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 95
Posted: #17
Glad our intel is lining up. I'm on the G-men & Packers with you, plus the overs...
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #18

2012 Record (posted plays)

ML: 2-2 (includes GB MNF "loss")

ATS: 2-0-1

O/U: 2-1

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 326
Posted: #19
Good info. Thanks for posting.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #20

Play KC ML and ATS and under

only one previous play for this play so play with some caution

No previous plays for Cle/Nyg game but would lean CLE +9.5

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 458
Posted: #21

Hi Burly,

Can you please specify on the background for the KC play today?

Thank you,

Appreciate your work

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #22
all plays depend on TNF outcome and if TNF team is ud or fav in second game
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 404
Posted: #23
KC ATS!!!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #24

2012 Record (posted plays)

ML: 2-3 (includes GB MNF "loss")

ATS: 3-0-1

O/U: 3-1

 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #25

For week 6

STL game has no plays with high %

If ARI closes as FAV: Play ARI ML and BUF ATS and over

All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.