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Trial System NBA/NCAABB

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Posted: #1
This is a new strategy that I'm going play through for rest of the NBA/NCAABB season. 

$1000 Bankroll
$50 flat bet-per game-ATS
I will be selling .5 point to the book to eliminate vig

Criteria
1.  Must be a national TV game. ie... Espn, TNT, Abc, etc
2.  Play is against the public consensus-
             a.  I will use covers.com percentages
             b.  I am only betting sides....no totals
3.  Only betting home team

Please give me your thoughts.  I will start posting my plays today if there any any that fit the system.


 
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Posted: #2
0-0

Day 1, 2/11/11

NCAABB
No plays fit the system today

NBA
1.  Lakers at Knicks (39% consensus ATS) +3 (+2.5 @ +100)
2. Suns at Utah (36% consensus ATS) - 6.5 ( -6 @ +100)

I will be waiting until close to game time to lock in the plays in order to get the best line possible.  I will be selling .5 point.
 
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Posted: #3
I like your idea of combining the nationally televised game with the consensus-sheep picks to get extra value. It seems the visiting dogs would be worth a good look, too.

GL!
 
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Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 171
Posted: #4
Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 


Yes, Thank you ADI.  That was a typo.  It would be -7@ +100.
 
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Posted: #6
0-0

Day 1, 2/11/11

NCAABB
No plays fit the system today

NBA
Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50
 
Prospect
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Posts: 163
Posted: #7
I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!


Sports Interaction - I have been using them for appx 7 years and have had no problems. 
 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:

0-0

Day 1, 2/11/11

NCAABB
No plays fit the system today

NBA
Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50

Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100



No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:



No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).

My bad...sorry yahtzee

 
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Posted: #12
Friday Results:  0-2

NCAABB 0-0
NBA 0-2

Starting BR: 1,000
Current BR: 900

Moving on to Saturday.  We have five college BB games that meet all of the system criteria.  I will be waiting closer to gametime to "pull-the-trigger" to get the best possible lines. I will be playing the following five games:

NCAAB- 2-12-11
Kentucky @ Vandy (48%) -1
Ohio St. @ Wisky (41%) -1
Oregon St. @ UCLA (46%) -12
Pitt @ Vill (36%) -3
Wich St @ N Iowa (49%) E

NBA 2-12-11
No Plays
 
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Posted: #13
Locked-In 2/12/11
Vandy -1.5  +100 
Wisconsin -1  +100

UCLA, Vill, N Iowa will follow today
 
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Posted: #14
 2/12/11
Vandy -1.5  +100 
Wisconsin -1  +100 
UCLA - No play (consensus changed)
Villanova - 9:00pm
Northern Iowa 10:00pm

 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 163
Posted: #15

So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!


They just give you the option to adjust the line(alternate spreads)....which results in different payouts.  Years ago SIA did not offer this option.  With most games now you have 30+ bets you can play aside from O/U, side, and ML. You can adjust the spread on both sides and totals.  Some people don't like SIA, but i've never had any issues.  It's one of the most "square" books around.  Sometimes their lines are a bit sketchy IMO, but what are ya gonna do. ya know.  I also have a local that I use from time to time when playing favs. 
 
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Posted: #17
Vandy -1.5  +100 
Wisconsin -1  +100 
UCLA - No play (did not fit the system-consensus # changed)
Villanova -3 +100 (Pending)
Northern Iowa +1 +100 (Pending)
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 278
Posted: #18
I love this selling points. I wonder what other sportsbooks that have this option
 
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Posted: #19
System overall 2-4

NBA - 0-2
NCAABB - 2-2

Starting BR: 1,000
Ending BR: 900

Sunday Plays:

NBA
Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

NCAABB
Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
 
Rookie
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Posted: #20
System overall 2-4

NBA - 0-2
NCAABB - 2-2

Starting BR: 1,000
Ending BR: 900

Sunday Plays:

NBA
Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

NCAABB
Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
 
Rookie
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Posted: #21
System Overall 6-5

Starting Bankroll 1,000
Current BR: 1,050


Sunday results
NBA
Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

NCAABB
Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
 
 
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Posted: #22
Monday System Play
Kansas @ Kansas St. +5 (22%) +100
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