Rules
1. 7.5 Lines or less bet under
2. 10.5 Lines or more bet over
3. If the line moves you have to adjust to the opening line
Current Record MLB 2010 (52-42) No units im gonna track this system starting today
GL
Rules
1. 7.5 Lines or less bet under
2. 10.5 Lines or more bet over
3. If the line moves you have to adjust to the opening line
Current Record MLB 2010 (52-42) No units im gonna track this system starting today
GL
Rules
1. 7.5 Lines or less bet under
2. 10.5 Lines or more bet over
3. If the line moves you have to adjust to the opening line
Current Record MLB 2010 (52-42) No units im gonna track this system starting today
GL
YTD (1-0-0) + 1 Unit
Under Record (1-0-0) 1 Unit
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
5/11 Plays:
1. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -120
YTD (1-0-0) + 1 Unit
Under Record (1-0-0) 1 Unit
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
5/11 Plays:
1. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -120
YTD (1-0-0) + 1 Unit
Under Record (1-0-0) 1 Unit
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. G2 Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
5/11 Plays:
1. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -120
YTD (1-0-0) + 1 Unit
Under Record (1-0-0) 1 Unit
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. G2 Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
5/11 Plays:
1. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -120
i like the thought process behind your system boss.
that 4/4 to 4/19 stretch wasn't so hot for the system, but that is a little more understandable at the beginning of a long baseball system...when everything is volatile...for both the bettors and the books.
However, if you strike out that initial window where the system went 13-20 (7 under)....the next 16 days is pretty ridiculous. The way I have it tallied, you are looking at 32-13...or a smoking hot 19 games over 500. Take the juice out and put a c-note on each play...and your up almost 1800 bucks. (less for me...as my book charges 6/5 juice on most baseball over/unders)
Since that 2nd window of 16 days, I have it at 8-9 over the last 6 days.
Would be interesting to see whether that same time frame (3rd and 4th week of season) nets similar results in previous seasons. Would be hard to believe...but something to put in the NOTE TO SELF spreadsheet.
Best of luck to you man.
i like the thought process behind your system boss.
that 4/4 to 4/19 stretch wasn't so hot for the system, but that is a little more understandable at the beginning of a long baseball system...when everything is volatile...for both the bettors and the books.
However, if you strike out that initial window where the system went 13-20 (7 under)....the next 16 days is pretty ridiculous. The way I have it tallied, you are looking at 32-13...or a smoking hot 19 games over 500. Take the juice out and put a c-note on each play...and your up almost 1800 bucks. (less for me...as my book charges 6/5 juice on most baseball over/unders)
Since that 2nd window of 16 days, I have it at 8-9 over the last 6 days.
Would be interesting to see whether that same time frame (3rd and 4th week of season) nets similar results in previous seasons. Would be hard to believe...but something to put in the NOTE TO SELF spreadsheet.
Best of luck to you man.
YTD (2-0-0) + 2 Units
Under Record (2-0-0) 2 Units
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/13 Plays
Unders
1. Astros/Cards Under 7.5 -119
2. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -105
3. Mets/Marlins Under 7.5 -124
4. Mariners/Orioles Under 7.5 -117
5. Indians/Royals Under 7.5 -102
Overs
No Play
Yesterday Plays
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. G2 Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
YTD (2-0-0) + 2 Units
Under Record (2-0-0) 2 Units
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/13 Plays
Unders
1. Astros/Cards Under 7.5 -119
2. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -105
3. Mets/Marlins Under 7.5 -124
4. Mariners/Orioles Under 7.5 -117
5. Indians/Royals Under 7.5 -102
Overs
No Play
Yesterday Plays
5/12 Plays:
Unders
1. Padres/GIants Under 7.5 -121
Overs
1. G2 Phillies/Rockies Over 10.5 -106
SU: | 954-954 (0.0 rpg) | average line: -106 / -106 | on / against: -$4,925 / -$4,925 | ROI: -2.1% / -2.1% |
O/U: | 812-922-174 (0.2 rpg) | average total: 9.5 | over / under: -$20,150 / +$2,680 | ROI: -9.6% / +1.3% |
SU: | 954-954 (0.0 rpg) | average line: -106 / -106 | on / against: -$4,925 / -$4,925 | ROI: -2.1% / -2.1% |
O/U: | 812-922-174 (0.2 rpg) | average total: 9.5 | over / under: -$20,150 / +$2,680 | ROI: -9.6% / +1.3% |
Anyone know if the sports database that Neilsy referenced above costs money to use?
Eli- not sure where you pulled your numbers from...but thanks for posting them up. (I'm not sure about your April stats from 2009 though).
This is what I have so far, as I went through the day-by-day using Covers numbers from last year. I got the first 4 weeks of 2009, from April 5 to May 3, tallied the following way:
When betting UNDER on every 7.5 or lower total, and OVER on every 10.5 or higher total: 37 wins, 40 losses
The UNDER bets on 7.5 or lower was 12-21
The OVER on 10.5 or higher was 25-19
One interesting stat I did notice...not sure if there is anything to it. I saw a lot of games with an o/u right on 10. On just those games alone in the same time period.....playing the Over on all games at ten, record was 16-8 (and 4 pushes).
Anyone know if the sports database that Neilsy referenced above costs money to use?
Eli- not sure where you pulled your numbers from...but thanks for posting them up. (I'm not sure about your April stats from 2009 though).
This is what I have so far, as I went through the day-by-day using Covers numbers from last year. I got the first 4 weeks of 2009, from April 5 to May 3, tallied the following way:
When betting UNDER on every 7.5 or lower total, and OVER on every 10.5 or higher total: 37 wins, 40 losses
The UNDER bets on 7.5 or lower was 12-21
The OVER on 10.5 or higher was 25-19
One interesting stat I did notice...not sure if there is anything to it. I saw a lot of games with an o/u right on 10. On just those games alone in the same time period.....playing the Over on all games at ten, record was 16-8 (and 4 pushes).
Anyone know if the sports database that Neilsy referenced above costs money to use?
Eli- not sure where you pulled your numbers from...but thanks for posting them up. (I'm not sure about your April stats from 2009 though).
This is what I have so far, as I went through the day-by-day using Covers numbers from last year. I got the first 4 weeks of 2009, from April 5 to May 3, tallied the following way:
When betting UNDER on every 7.5 or lower total, and OVER on every 10.5 or higher total: 37 wins, 40 losses
The UNDER bets on 7.5 or lower was 12-21
The OVER on 10.5 or higher was 25-19
One interesting stat I did notice...not sure if there is anything to it. I saw a lot of games with an o/u right on 10. On just those games alone in the same time period.....playing the Over on all games at ten, record was 16-8 (and 4 pushes).
Anyone know if the sports database that Neilsy referenced above costs money to use?
Eli- not sure where you pulled your numbers from...but thanks for posting them up. (I'm not sure about your April stats from 2009 though).
This is what I have so far, as I went through the day-by-day using Covers numbers from last year. I got the first 4 weeks of 2009, from April 5 to May 3, tallied the following way:
When betting UNDER on every 7.5 or lower total, and OVER on every 10.5 or higher total: 37 wins, 40 losses
The UNDER bets on 7.5 or lower was 12-21
The OVER on 10.5 or higher was 25-19
One interesting stat I did notice...not sure if there is anything to it. I saw a lot of games with an o/u right on 10. On just those games alone in the same time period.....playing the Over on all games at ten, record was 16-8 (and 4 pushes).
YTD (5-2-0) + 2.81 Units
Under Record (5-2-0) +2.81Units
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/14 Plays:
Unders
1. Dodgers/Padres Under 7.5 +109
Overs
No plays
5/13 Plays:
Unders (3-2) + .81
1. Astros/Cards Under 7.5 -119
2. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -105
3. Mets/Marlins Under 7.5 -124
4. Mariners/Orioles Under 7.5 -117
5. Indians/Royals Under 7.5 -102
Overs
No Play
YTD (5-2-0) + 2.81 Units
Under Record (5-2-0) +2.81Units
Over Record (0-0-0)
5/14 Plays:
Unders
1. Dodgers/Padres Under 7.5 +109
Overs
No plays
5/13 Plays:
Unders (3-2) + .81
1. Astros/Cards Under 7.5 -119
2. Padres/Giants Under 7.5 -105
3. Mets/Marlins Under 7.5 -124
4. Mariners/Orioles Under 7.5 -117
5. Indians/Royals Under 7.5 -102
Overs
No Play
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