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YASS - Yet Another Statistical Strategy

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Posted: #1
Wish I would found this earlier in the season, but I am making money with it. Can you?

2/22 - 5 - 7 - 1
Tennessee -4.5 - (3 12/3 10) LOSS +22
Middle Tennessee -6.5 - (3 9/2 6) LOSS +15
Towson St -5 - (3 9/1 -11) PUSH -2
East Kentucky -5.5 - (2 14/1 -1) WIN +13
Indiana St. -1 - (2 2/1 -2) LOSS 0
Tulsa -6 - (2 5/1 0) WIN +5
Arkansas -6 - (3 11/1 -5) LOSS +6
St. Mary’s -3.5 - (2 2/0 -4) WIN -2
Marquette -7 (2 1/0 -13) LOSS -12
Louisiana Tech -6.5 (3 13/0 -11) LOSS +2
UC Irvine -5.5 (1 -11/0 -9) LOSS -20
Eastern Washington -8 (2 8/0 -9) WIN -1
Weber St -3 (3 6/0 -11) WIN -5

2/23 - 2 - 0
Providence +1 (2 13/1 -2) +11 WIN
Iona -5 (3 12/1 -3) +9 WIN

2/24 - 2 - 0
2/24 - Oklahoma St (2 10/2 -5) +5 WIN
2/24 - Elon -7.5 (3 12/0 -8) +4 WIN

2/25 - 0 - 2
Missouri +1.5 (3 11/1 -2) +1 LOSS
Seton Hall -5 (3 11/0 -4) +7 LOSS

2/26 - 3 - 0
2/26 - Connecticut -11 (3 26/0 -10) WIN +16
2/26 - Delaware -3 (3 17/2 0) WIN +17
2/26 - Towson -1.5 (3 12/0 -2) WIN +9

2/27 - 5 - 1
VA Commonwealth -11 (3 11/0 -14) WIN -3
Georgia St -4.5 (3 13/1 -3) WIN +10
CS Northridge +3 (3 19/2 0) WIN +19
Hawaii +4 (3 14/3 5) WIN +19
Oregon St. -1 (3 19/3 6) WIN +25
E. Kentucky -11 (3 18/1 0) LOSS +18

2/28 - 3 - 1
Harvard -25 (3 18/0 -18) WIN 0
Washington -8 (3 16/2 0) WIN +16
Iona +4 (3 11/2 6) WIN +17
High Point -9 (3 12/3 3) LOSS +15

03/01 - ** Money Picks
** Oregon -8 (3 22/2 2) +24
** Connecticut -4.5 (3 12/2 4) +16
    Rutgers -4 (3 11/2 5) +16
** Oklahoma -3.5 (3 14/3 7) +21
** Boston College +2 (2 14/3 14) +28
    Creighton -3 (3 15/ 1 3) +18
    Georgia St -7.5 (3 21/0 -10) +11
** Utah St. -3.5 (3 16/1 3) +19
    Drake -5 (3 14/2 2) +16
** CS Northridge +2 (3 17/1 -4) +13
    Missouri -14 (3 16/1 6) +22
    SMU -15 (3 16/1 -9) +7
    Belmont -8 (3 20/0 -6) +14
    E. Kentucky -13.5 (3 21/2 2) +23
    Montana -16 (3 19/1 -5) +14
 
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Posted: #2
hi what are the criteria for this, would you like to give us some hints? GL though
 
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Posted: #3
Slight adjustment, eliminate any ranked teams.

03/01 - ** Money Picks
** Oregon -8 (3 22/2 2) +24
    Rutgers -4 (3 11/2 5) +16
** Boston College +2 (2 14/3 14) +28
    Georgia St -7.5 (3 21/0 -10) +11
** Utah St. -3.5 (3 16/1 3) +19
    Drake -5 (3 14/2 2) +16
** CS Northridge +2 (3 17/1 -4) +13
    Missouri -14 (3 16/1 6) +22
    Belmont -8 (3 20/0 -6) +14
    E. Kentucky -13.5 (3 21/2 2) +23
    Montana -16 (3 19/1 -5) +14
 
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Posted: #4
Correct, everyday can't be a winner. I don't bet all the games. I pick up to 3 max. Any edge, gut feeling or any other factor to help make a winning day.
 
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Posted: #5
Lotsa winners to chose from today. I'm up 23 units in the last 7 days.

03/01 - ** Money Picks
** Oregon -8 (3 22/2 2) WIN +24
    Rutgers -4 (3 11/2 5) LOSS +16
** Boston College +2 (2 14/3 14) WIN +28
    Georgia St -7.5 (3 21/0 -10) WIN +11
    Drake -5 (3 14/2 2) LOSS +16
    Missouri -14 (3 16/1 6) WIN +22
    Belmont -8 (3 20/0 -6) WIN +14
    E. Kentucky -13.5 (3 21/2 2) +23
** Utah St. -3.5 (3 16/1 3) +19
** CS Northridge +2 (3 17/1 -4) +13
    Montana -16 (3 19/1 -5) +14
 
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Posted: #6
What do the ** mean?
 
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Posted: #7
any chance we can track this back? i want to help though i need some points i can work with.
 
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Posted: #8
Pretty good day. This is unproven right now and I don't care to share my formulas. However, I do share my picks and trends I find.

03/01 - 8 - 3
** Oregon -8 (3 22/2 2) WIN +24
    Rutgers -4 (3 11/2 5) LOSS +16
** Boston College +2 (2 14/3 14) WIN +28
    Georgia St -7.5 (3 21/0 -10) WIN +11
    Drake -5 (3 14/2 2) LOSS +16
    Missouri -14 (3 16/1 6) WIN +22
    Belmont -8 (3 20/0 -6) WIN +14
    E. Kentucky -13.5 (3 21/2 2) LOSS +23
** Utah St. -3.5 (3 16/1 3) WIN +19
** CS Northridge +2 (3 17/1 -4) WIN +13
    Montana -16 (3 19/1 -5) WIN +14
 
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Posted: #9
Ok good to know. hope this will keep up.
 
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Posted: #10
3/02 - ** Money Picks
** E. Carolina +3 (3 16/2 5) +21)
Florida St -10 (3 11/0 -6) +5
Canisus +6 (3 11/3 6) +17
Iowa -14.5 (3 14/0 -5) +9
 
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Posted: #11
It's possible to track this back, but it will take some time. I don't mean to be cryptic, but once you start sharing the secret sauce, every a**hole with an opinion wants to tear it apart. That's too distracting and time consuming. I want to focus on finding winners.
 
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Posted: #12
IMO if it works for you, keep playing it but post it where it should be posted in the NCAAB basketball forum.

This forum is for Systems and Strategies I believe like its title suggests. Just because you wish to post your plays doesn't really allow us to elaborate or even understand your strategy because you as you stated "This is unproven right now and I don't care to share my formulas. However, I do share my picks and trends I find."
 
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Posted: #13
Opinion noted, but I chose this forum because people in here are working towards a similar goal ....... winning. Those idiots in the general forum, talk sh1t most of the time and my general opinion is its counter productive. I just need a place to dump the data. without it getting clogged up. If your not interested in the picks, I say ignore them.

3/02 - ** Money Picks
** E. Carolina +3 (3 16/2 5) PUSH +21
Florida St -10 (3 11/0 -6) PUSH +5
Canisus +6 (3 11/3 6) WIN +17
Iowa -14.5 (3 14/0 -5) LOSS +9
 
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Posted: #14
3/03 - ** Money Picks
** Lafayette -1 (3 21/2 2) +23
** Colgate -12 (3 25/1 -2) +23
** Notre Dame +11 (2 13/3 20) +23
Pittsburgh -11 (3 12/ 1 -2) +10
Oklahoma St -8.5 (3 13/3 5) +18

 
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Posted: #15
Pretty good night. Notre Dame and Lafayette came through, but Colgate fell short. The starred teams are ones I place money on. I thought about leaving the others off, but I need too see them so I can look for ways to filter.

3/03 - ** Money Picks
** Lafayette -1 (3 21/2 2) WIN +23
** Colgate -12 (3 25/1 -2) LOSS +23
** Notre Dame +11 (2 13/3 20) WIN +23
Pittsburgh -11 (3 12/ 1 -2) LOSS +10
Oklahoma St -8.5 (3 13/3 5) LOSS +18
 
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3/04 - **Money Picks
** Michigan -3 (3 16/3 5) +21
** Creighton -3.5 (3 17/2 1) +18
** Ohio U -1 (3 14/1 2) +16
W. Michigan -9 (3 14/1 5) +19
Valpariso -10.5 (3 12/0 -12) 0

 
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3/04 - **Money Picks
** Michigan -3 (3 16/3 5) WIN +21
** Creighton -3.5 (3 17/2 1) LOSS +18
** Ohio U -1 (3 14/1 2) WIN +16
W. Michigan -9 (3 14/1 5) LOSS pp+19
Valpariso -10.5 (3 12/0 -12) LOSS 0
 
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Posted: #18
if this continues on a 2w-1l pace this is like a gold mine. good job.
 
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Posted: #19
3/05 - ** Money Picks 
 ** Missouri -9.5 (3 18/3 5) +23
 ** Charleston So. -6 (3 12/2 2) +14
Connecticut -15.5 (3 14/0 -17) -3 (Rutgers covers, stats wrong here)
 Boise St -12 (3 12/2 -2) +10 ( i hate this pick, no way BS wins by 12)
Duke -12 (3 18/1 1) +19
Wisconsin -13.5 (3 15/3 2) +17
Bryant -12 (3 14/0 -12)+2
  
 
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3/05 - ** Money Picks 
 ** Missouri -9.5 (3 18/3 5) LOSS +23
 ** Charleston So. -6 (3 12/2 2) WIN +14
Connecticut -15.5 (3 14/0 -17) -3 (Rutgers covers, stats wrong here) WIN 
 Boise St -12 (3 12/2 -2) +10 ( i hate this pick, no way BS wins by 12) WIN
Duke -12 (3 18/1 1) LOSS +19 
Wisconsin -13.5 (3 15/3 2) LOSS +17
Bryant -12 (3 14/0 -12) LOSS +2

 
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Posted: #21
I thought I had posted these earlier today. Obviously doesn't do anyone any good today.

3/06 - ** Money Picks 
 ** E. Carolina +5 (3 17/1 -5) LOSS +14
 ** Rider -3 (3 18/3 9) WIN +27
 ** Mercer -8 (3 15/3 -5) LOSS +10
 
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Posted: #22
3/07 ** Money Picks
** Houston +2 (3 12/1 1) +13
** Harvard -7 (3 13/0 10) +3
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

It's possible to track this back, but it will take some time. I don't mean to be cryptic, but once you start sharing the secret sauce, every a**hole with an opinion wants to tear it apart. That's too distracting and time consuming. I want to focus on finding winners.
I agree... Will you be posting the tournament games? A lot of really good hits in this thread, (very recognizable) good work, good system. One question; why college hoops? is your system statistically coordinated exclusively to the NCAAB ?
 
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Posted: #24
good question. Yes it is specifically geared towards college hoops. I haven't really tried anything else yet. I am planning to post until the last basket, then I will turn towards pro ball, but my experience has been stats alone will not keep you above 50% in pro games.

The stats examine overall defense and offense matchups. I've found greater success by filtering out games <> 7, but it's not a hard fast rule. Also the number at the end is offense and defense strength. the higher the number the stronger the team. Anything above 21 seems to win often. Remember, <> 7 and +21 are the best picks.
 
 
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Posted: #25
I will be posting my MLB pick of the day on Twitter #jinxpicks.

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