Making alot of plays right off the bat because I am rolling... If I get hit hard to start I will dial it back but its just not my style... Plays will come in waves... I have everything capped but dont want to post until I get the plays in...
All my ATP plays and WTA Doha plays are in... Still waiting on ladies doubles lines and Bogota lines... will post those tomorrow morning....
GL ALL.. Hope everyone wins this week...
Rotterdam:
.5u
Huta Galung +225
Huta Galung +3.5 -105
Huta Galung 1st Set +180
Huta Galung 2-0 +410
Huta Galung +1.5 Sets -105
- Only play I like.. Watched alot of Luby in Croatia and he just looked old... still is great off the baseline but I am gonna give Huta-Galung a shot at home... Seems the books are leaning that way too... In case you didnt know Galung is a guy who is talented but has never lived up to any of his potential
San Jose:
1u
Dimitrov +135
Dimitrov +2 +110
.5u
Dimitrov 2-0 +300
Dimitrov 1st Set +120
- Dmitrov has killed me in the past, but he is the best of the younger wave of players... He is completely capable of cleaning up against predicatable guys like Anderson, but he needs to be on early...
Sao Paulo:
1u
Delbonis -150r
- Very impressive on Clay... and I see Ramirez-Hidalgo as being on the downturn
Doha:
1u
Kuznetsova -5 -110
Peer -7.5 -145
Peng -8 -145
Barthel/Garcia Under 18.5 -125
Ivanovic/Suarez Navarro Over 18.5 +120
- Kuz should get a clean win here against primarily a clay court player...
- Both Peer and Peng are plays that are primari;y fades of the Wild Cards.. Some terrible quality wildcards the last few eeks... to make matters worse they stuck both these girls on the doubles courts the same night.. Way too much for young unranked bums to take.
- I like garcia but facing Barthel in the first round is just bad luck... She totally imploded in her last match and will likely rebound by stoning Garcia... took the under on the slight chance barthel just falls asleep here
- I like the Mosquita to get her seven games here and maybe even win a set...
Futures:
4u
Fed to Win Rotterdam +110
2u
Monfils to win San Jose +240
1u
Simon to win Sao Paulo +800
Woz to win Doha +510
- Ignoring the fact that Roger got steam rolled by Isner in Davis Cup, he is playing great tennis and he, Berydch, and Delpo are the overwhlming class of this field... and the other two are on the opposite side of the draw... But with that said I wouldnt be shocked if Dolgo or Gasquet push him to the limit...
- If Raonic is Really hurt then Monfils should cruise into the final
- If he can get past Nalby in Round 2 I imagine he will be able to get to the final with a win over Belucci, who is definately on the downturn
- I like Woz's side on the draw better than Vika's... letdown spot for Vika as well... Bartoli is prime to be upset early and I give Woz the edge in a a semi vs either Stosur or Bepa... Hopefully Vika doesnt make it to the finals..
GL ALL
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
(41-41 +34.20u) Last Week
(217-260 +45.10u) Overall 2012
Making alot of plays right off the bat because I am rolling... If I get hit hard to start I will dial it back but its just not my style... Plays will come in waves... I have everything capped but dont want to post until I get the plays in...
All my ATP plays and WTA Doha plays are in... Still waiting on ladies doubles lines and Bogota lines... will post those tomorrow morning....
GL ALL.. Hope everyone wins this week...
Rotterdam:
.5u
Huta Galung +225
Huta Galung +3.5 -105
Huta Galung 1st Set +180
Huta Galung 2-0 +410
Huta Galung +1.5 Sets -105
- Only play I like.. Watched alot of Luby in Croatia and he just looked old... still is great off the baseline but I am gonna give Huta-Galung a shot at home... Seems the books are leaning that way too... In case you didnt know Galung is a guy who is talented but has never lived up to any of his potential
San Jose:
1u
Dimitrov +135
Dimitrov +2 +110
.5u
Dimitrov 2-0 +300
Dimitrov 1st Set +120
- Dmitrov has killed me in the past, but he is the best of the younger wave of players... He is completely capable of cleaning up against predicatable guys like Anderson, but he needs to be on early...
Sao Paulo:
1u
Delbonis -150r
- Very impressive on Clay... and I see Ramirez-Hidalgo as being on the downturn
Doha:
1u
Kuznetsova -5 -110
Peer -7.5 -145
Peng -8 -145
Barthel/Garcia Under 18.5 -125
Ivanovic/Suarez Navarro Over 18.5 +120
- Kuz should get a clean win here against primarily a clay court player...
- Both Peer and Peng are plays that are primari;y fades of the Wild Cards.. Some terrible quality wildcards the last few eeks... to make matters worse they stuck both these girls on the doubles courts the same night.. Way too much for young unranked bums to take.
- I like garcia but facing Barthel in the first round is just bad luck... She totally imploded in her last match and will likely rebound by stoning Garcia... took the under on the slight chance barthel just falls asleep here
- I like the Mosquita to get her seven games here and maybe even win a set...
Futures:
4u
Fed to Win Rotterdam +110
2u
Monfils to win San Jose +240
1u
Simon to win Sao Paulo +800
Woz to win Doha +510
- Ignoring the fact that Roger got steam rolled by Isner in Davis Cup, he is playing great tennis and he, Berydch, and Delpo are the overwhlming class of this field... and the other two are on the opposite side of the draw... But with that said I wouldnt be shocked if Dolgo or Gasquet push him to the limit...
- If Raonic is Really hurt then Monfils should cruise into the final
- If he can get past Nalby in Round 2 I imagine he will be able to get to the final with a win over Belucci, who is definately on the downturn
- I like Woz's side on the draw better than Vika's... letdown spot for Vika as well... Bartoli is prime to be upset early and I give Woz the edge in a a semi vs either Stosur or Bepa... Hopefully Vika doesnt make it to the finals..
Not a good day today, clay courters simply did not play well in Bogota and I got smashed and I also took so ill advised juice on a doublues play... Huta galung did his job and now can get crushed in the 2nd rd... Regardless I will be playing Babos tomorrow afternoon...
(7-10 -6u) Today
ADDED 2u more to Dmitrov ML and Hoping for the best... if he wins I may cap more games tomorrow... otherwise a few days off may be in the cards...
ALL PENDING:
5u
Dimitrov +125
2u
Dimitrov +2 +2.5 +110, -130
1u
Dimitrov 2-0 +300
Dimitrov 1st Set +120
Futures:
4u
Fed to Win Rotterdam +110
2u
Monfils to win San Jose +240
1u
Simon to win Sao Paulo +800
Woz to win Doha +510
Babos to win Bogota +4030
0
Not a good day today, clay courters simply did not play well in Bogota and I got smashed and I also took so ill advised juice on a doublues play... Huta galung did his job and now can get crushed in the 2nd rd... Regardless I will be playing Babos tomorrow afternoon...
(7-10 -6u) Today
ADDED 2u more to Dmitrov ML and Hoping for the best... if he wins I may cap more games tomorrow... otherwise a few days off may be in the cards...
Like dimitrov too, not a big believer in Andersons game. The line has come down alot.
I just find his serve very prdicatable... I find myself watching him and being able to guess where his serve is going before he even strikes the ball... I think its the main reason why class players usually make him look silly...
If Dmitrov is focused he should win clean IMO...
0
Quote Originally Posted by Theone324:
Like dimitrov too, not a big believer in Andersons game. The line has come down alot.
I just find his serve very prdicatable... I find myself watching him and being able to guess where his serve is going before he even strikes the ball... I think its the main reason why class players usually make him look silly...
All plays are not in yet, someone is getting them in for me late night, first match is at 7:30am, no thanks, I will be sleeping till 9am... If I have time in the morning i will give commentary...
I will likely play Voegle for 5-8u if I have some success tomorrow...
0
blown...
(9-12 -8.7u) Today
Plays for Tues...
2u
Berlocq -5.5 -135
Lisicki -150
Cohen +135
Babos -5.5, -6 -120, +125
Babos 2-0 -155
1u
Berlocq 2-0 -260
Wickmayer -5.5 +100
Wickmayer 2-0 -150
All plays are not in yet, someone is getting them in for me late night, first match is at 7:30am, no thanks, I will be sleeping till 9am... If I have time in the morning i will give commentary...
I will likely play Voegle for 5-8u if I have some success tomorrow...
- Berlocq gets it done with class in the second set...
- I knew that Lisicki 1st Set was the right play in terms of fading a tired Kerber... but hindsight is always 20/20
- Cohen just purely a loss... Will look at stats to see what happened but dont really care... Just a dog that I thought had a chance and didnt show up...
- Babos is a stud, without a doubt... overpowered her WC opponent.. 2-0 line was much closer to -200 then the -155 I saw late last night..
- Wickmayer is still rolling...
(6-2 +4.25u) Today
ok... we got a little mo going...
ADDED:
3u
Voegle -110
2u
Kudla -110
1u
Voegle 1st Set -115
Voegle 2-0 +200
Kudla 2-0 +210
Youzney -200b
Malisse -105
Clement -220r, -240
Ormaechea -175
Souza/Hanescu Over 21.5 -125
- Erakovic a dog in the first round as the #1 seed... You better belive it... But I am warly of this play.. I hit it a few days ago and added today but clay courters have simply not been doing great on this court... The assumption is that it is playing fast but from the matches I have seen its just not the case... Maybe I am wrong... grainy video feeds can play tricks on you.. Just going with my gut
- The thing about jack Sock is that he is terrible... The need to stop hyping this guy because people will start to catch on to the fact that he never wins... the fact that Kudla qualified to get her and the books have installed his as the fac is all I needed to know...
- Figuring Kunitsyn has a shot at retiring given davis cup, where Russia just led him to the slaughter...
- Assuming malisse is healthy he should dispose of Ginepri, but it has been a while since that has been true
- Challeger play in clement against a bum in Heliovaara, solid doubles player but abosultely has no depth of shot...
- Once again court may be playing fast but I went for the clear fav against dokic...
- tailing n3gative...
0
- Berlocq gets it done with class in the second set...
- I knew that Lisicki 1st Set was the right play in terms of fading a tired Kerber... but hindsight is always 20/20
- Cohen just purely a loss... Will look at stats to see what happened but dont really care... Just a dog that I thought had a chance and didnt show up...
- Babos is a stud, without a doubt... overpowered her WC opponent.. 2-0 line was much closer to -200 then the -155 I saw late last night..
- Wickmayer is still rolling...
(6-2 +4.25u) Today
ok... we got a little mo going...
ADDED:
3u
Voegle -110
2u
Kudla -110
1u
Voegle 1st Set -115
Voegle 2-0 +200
Kudla 2-0 +210
Youzney -200b
Malisse -105
Clement -220r, -240
Ormaechea -175
Souza/Hanescu Over 21.5 -125
- Erakovic a dog in the first round as the #1 seed... You better belive it... But I am warly of this play.. I hit it a few days ago and added today but clay courters have simply not been doing great on this court... The assumption is that it is playing fast but from the matches I have seen its just not the case... Maybe I am wrong... grainy video feeds can play tricks on you.. Just going with my gut
- The thing about jack Sock is that he is terrible... The need to stop hyping this guy because people will start to catch on to the fact that he never wins... the fact that Kudla qualified to get her and the books have installed his as the fac is all I needed to know...
- Figuring Kunitsyn has a shot at retiring given davis cup, where Russia just led him to the slaughter...
- Assuming malisse is healthy he should dispose of Ginepri, but it has been a while since that has been true
- Challeger play in clement against a bum in Heliovaara, solid doubles player but abosultely has no depth of shot...
- Once again court may be playing fast but I went for the clear fav against dokic...
thinking the rain and humidity will help they clay courters
ADDED for tonight:
2u
Russell +130
- Call it an action play but public money is clearly on Young and I dont know why... One of the few tournies Young has succedded in was on a humid hot weekend in DC... One good week against a weak field indoors in Bangkok doesnt really sway me... I just cant think of anygood reasons to bet Young, unless you are a homer and like to root for the guy...
3u
Wickmayer -200
2u
Keothavong +6.5 +120
1u
Wickmayer 2-0 +115
Wickmayer -3.5 -110
Barthel +6.5 -125
Berdych -5.5 -130
Fed -5.5 +105
Beck/Petz Over 21.5 -115
Kamke 1st Set +250
Kamke +300b
Rochus 1st Set +120
Rochus +140
Gasquet/Ljubicic +100
Copil -135b
.5u
Fed 2-0 -380
- For what its worth Schiavone didnt hold serve once in her doubles match and lost 4 straights points in the tiebreaker... she has been struggling lately and Wick has been rolling
- I see value in a girl playing the best tennis of her life.. I dont think it is a stretch to have her win 6 games
- Barthel did not play well in her first round match but I couldnt pass it up, seeing how it is potential a letdown spot for Vika
- Berdych is an autoplay these days early in tourneys
- Fed should still be a little angry about Davis Cup... Fed + Anger + Indoors... I see a drubbing
- Two good servers indoors.. 7-6, 7-6 a possibility
- Raonic hurt enough that he bowed out of Davis cup basicallyh dooming his team... I think he has had contractual type obligations to be here... A second set injury aggravation and I win big...
- Rochus would be a play reagrdless of Harrison's Davis cup fatigue... The harder you try to hit it the more Rochus will hurt you... Harrison doesnt have the IQ yet to beat a guy like Rochus IMO
- Looks like Queresho and Bopanna are lost without eachother
- Surprised to see Copil as this big of a fav over Soeda, but fuck it I'll bite the trap, something might be wrong with Soeda, should be fatigued after Davis Cup, then trip from Japan to Italy
lot of stuff in play right now... will likely add to Voegel on Betfair...
Still waiting on Bogota lines, will bet a few plays in the Morning around 9am...
(9-4 +6u) Today
(18-16 -2.7u) Week
GL ALL
to be clear I am on Malisse for 1u and Russell for 2u tonight in SAN JOSE
0
Quote Originally Posted by scitommy:
BOL. Bogota has been crazy so far.
thinking the rain and humidity will help they clay courters
ADDED for tonight:
2u
Russell +130
- Call it an action play but public money is clearly on Young and I dont know why... One of the few tournies Young has succedded in was on a humid hot weekend in DC... One good week against a weak field indoors in Bangkok doesnt really sway me... I just cant think of anygood reasons to bet Young, unless you are a homer and like to root for the guy...
3u
Wickmayer -200
2u
Keothavong +6.5 +120
1u
Wickmayer 2-0 +115
Wickmayer -3.5 -110
Barthel +6.5 -125
Berdych -5.5 -130
Fed -5.5 +105
Beck/Petz Over 21.5 -115
Kamke 1st Set +250
Kamke +300b
Rochus 1st Set +120
Rochus +140
Gasquet/Ljubicic +100
Copil -135b
.5u
Fed 2-0 -380
- For what its worth Schiavone didnt hold serve once in her doubles match and lost 4 straights points in the tiebreaker... she has been struggling lately and Wick has been rolling
- I see value in a girl playing the best tennis of her life.. I dont think it is a stretch to have her win 6 games
- Barthel did not play well in her first round match but I couldnt pass it up, seeing how it is potential a letdown spot for Vika
- Berdych is an autoplay these days early in tourneys
- Fed should still be a little angry about Davis Cup... Fed + Anger + Indoors... I see a drubbing
- Two good servers indoors.. 7-6, 7-6 a possibility
- Raonic hurt enough that he bowed out of Davis cup basicallyh dooming his team... I think he has had contractual type obligations to be here... A second set injury aggravation and I win big...
- Rochus would be a play reagrdless of Harrison's Davis cup fatigue... The harder you try to hit it the more Rochus will hurt you... Harrison doesnt have the IQ yet to beat a guy like Rochus IMO
- Looks like Queresho and Bopanna are lost without eachother
- Surprised to see Copil as this big of a fav over Soeda, but fuck it I'll bite the trap, something might be wrong with Soeda, should be fatigued after Davis Cup, then trip from Japan to Italy
lot of stuff in play right now... will likely add to Voegel on Betfair...
Still waiting on Bogota lines, will bet a few plays in the Morning around 9am...
(9-4 +6u) Today
(18-16 -2.7u) Week
GL ALL
to be clear I am on Malisse for 1u and Russell for 2u tonight in SAN JOSE
- Binerova is just a player that I feel never should be a fav... I will give her credit for having a decent clay court record but she really plays a all-court game and doesnt have the arsenal to take out Vecino on a surface that seems to have gotten slower cause of the rain... Vecino played a very impressive match against Mayr and I am biting...
- I actaully like Duque-Marino to win this match but cant back her after the lackluster effort in rd 1... I figure it goes Lino in three....
- Always hoping for the best on the doubles parlay... All teams that SHOULD WIN, but it feels like i havent hit a single parlay all season...
*these plays are not in, just guesses where the lines are gonna be... I will post what I got later in the day after the match
- Binerova is just a player that I feel never should be a fav... I will give her credit for having a decent clay court record but she really plays a all-court game and doesnt have the arsenal to take out Vecino on a surface that seems to have gotten slower cause of the rain... Vecino played a very impressive match against Mayr and I am biting...
- I actaully like Duque-Marino to win this match but cant back her after the lackluster effort in rd 1... I figure it goes Lino in three....
- Always hoping for the best on the doubles parlay... All teams that SHOULD WIN, but it feels like i havent hit a single parlay all season...
*these plays are not in, just guesses where the lines are gonna be... I will post what I got later in the day after the match
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