Aussie Open - Mens Thread

Looking at the following:

Isner -2.5 games vs Opelka

Nishioka ML -134 vs Sandgren

Krygios ML +110

Basilashvili/A Zverev/Coric/Medvedev ML parlay (+100) odds.

Thats all that peaks my interest at the moment

I like your picks packer, especially  the parlay which looks pretty solid.

My concern is Isner. He looked really bad vs Fritz in Auckland. I even thought Opelka was a possible dog to back. Before reading your thread that is. Now I'm having second thoughts...

Isner loss to Fritz meant nothing...it was just practice for him....Isner 63 64 76 here is my guess

Also, its just as much a fade of Opelka playing a 3 set match...his lack of experience could result him losing focus early and dumping the 1st set 6-1 or 6-2 if he gets blitzed by the servebot and has issues with his own serve from first set gitters...which almost guarantees the -2.5 spread even if Isner loses a following set 76...we shall see...i trust John in early rounds of slams where he plays less than average opponents...he knows how to play 5 set matches and senses when to turn it on and seal the deal late in sets with a key break of serve.

How do you feel about the next gen stars? 

Kecmanovic M. vs Verdasco.  

Tsitsipas S. Vs Berrettini M.

Sabalenka A. vs Kalinskaya

Shapovalov vs Andujar ? 

Anisimova vs Niculescu? 

Would you add any of those to the parlay? or stay away away from any of them in parlays? \

Thanks

Kecmanovic for me is unproven and not worthy to back in a best of 5 vs a seasoned vet who knows how to win early rounds in slams...a guy like Verdasco all he needs is to get to the 3rd or 4th rds of 3 out of the 4 slams for him to be profitable and successful for another calendar year.

Tsitsi is in a good spot here as i may be in the minority that Berettini had a nice little fluke run last year in a few events where no real talents showed up...im not a believer in the Italian here in best of 5...Tsitsi might have a nice year to back up last years impressive run

I like Sabalenka and have her as a future here, but i dont know much about her opponent here

Shapovalov isnt 100% healthy from what ive heard...he should win this match only because Pablo is very incompetent when the set gets near the end and is a classic choker.

Anisimova is supposed to be next good player but she needs to prove it

Seems like you know it all, thus i will not share with you what i know about this classic situational spot.

PAck- Because of that situational spot, doesn’t Rybar +6 look good against Back Petra?

I would say yes, but its very different backing women dogs...totally unpredictable and unreliable...Rybar could lose 61 61 on any given day...too risky imo

Bashilashavi loses to Christopher Eubanks go yellowjackets 

Getting my feet wet here with the following as my first official plays of round one

Locked in:

Isner -2.5 games...3u

Nishioka ML -110...1u

...Will look to back Kyrgios at +110 tomorrow night if the odds remain the same.

Thanks fellas for the positive feedback, and the heads up on the Zverev foot issues...

Fyi...make sure you are aware of the few big rule changes being implemented here...supertie break in the final set at 6-6 in the final set, where its first to 10pts and has to win by atleast 2pts.

GL packers 

Anisimova  

She's the future 

Nice call on Nishioka PB 

Relax she won against Nechlesu.. lets see one or two top 10 wins before backing saying she is the future. She is good till this point.

As far as I can see Sabalenka is going to dominate every event in WTA in coming years.