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Djoker vs Fed

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Posted: #1
Just seen the line posted on b365

djoker -150.... and fed +125

what do you guys think?

 
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Posted: #2
I will be ALL OVER fed at plus money.  The guy is playing some of the most inspired tennis of his life.  He looked incredible today. 
 
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Posted: #3
Djok -135 on 5Dimes.

Speaks volumes really.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by AStefani:

I will be ALL OVER fed at plus money.  The guy is playing some of the most inspired tennis of his life.  He looked incredible today.


Noooo not the mush! Please switch sides
 
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Posted: #5
Djok -125 now.
 
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Posted: #6
-140 on bookmaker
 
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Posted: #7
Grabbed FED + 1 1/2 sets at -110

Great value
 
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Posted: #8
looking at how well fed has played this whole tournament and especially today... makes me lean fed... I think he only got broken once during the tournament... but its always scary to bet against the djoker
 
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Posted: #9
I would need better value than friggin +110 to bet against Djoker.  He hasnt been this short of a favorite in a long time.  It's just not enough value but I will be on the over 3.5 sets undoubtedly here.  

Unfortunately Federer won in TOO dominant a fashion today and it destroyed the value I was hoping to get on him in the Final.
 
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Posted: #10
Exactly rzaga, might be value on djoker and i think people will be betting Fed so the line will even get lower.   I love Fed, my fav tennis player, a true legend, classy as hell BUT I love money and this is tempting to bet against the great one and a decent price. I had no problem betting big against Feds a while ago when he was crushing everyone in the French and people were actually giving him a decent chance to beat nadal which was crazy. So even though nadal was a decent size fav, there was tons of value on nadal because fed dominated through out the tourney at that point and obviously he's a legend so people gave Fed way too much of a chance over nadal. Easiest money I've prob ever made.  

Anyways different situation here but  Fed still hasn't been challenged yet, his serve is on fire but I think djoko will make fed start to feel a bit of pressure early in 1st set.  Fed hasn't felt any adversity yet, we've all see him get frustrated with djoker in recent years. Very tough call here but I'm leaning djoker over Feds.. For now.  Djoker seems to strategize better ingame than Murray. I usually enjoy betting against the public and even though djoker is the favorite, we all know the books made this price knowing Feds is more popular and the public darling. 

 Seems like most people on covers are loving Feds right now even at this price. 
 
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Posted: #11
I'm not sure what line you guys were hoping to get on Djokovic-Federer. It's fairly consistent with last year. Djokovic opened a little higher at a shade over -160.

Federer has been playing better tennis this tourney than last year IMO, so I think the line is about right with the surface and all. This is the only surface that Federer has a realistic shot to beat Djokovic on IMO and the books obviously are keen to that.

A lot of people were on Federer today too and that worked out just fine. I think you go with your gut and FTW. The question will obviously be whether Federer replicates today's performance or something close to it -  if he does, the result is a Federer win. 

If you're on Federer, you probably have to take him today to get the best price. Would expect the price to continue to drop on him. Already shoved around 10 cents or so depending on where you look.

 
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Posted: #12
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by rzagza:

I would need better value than friggin +110 to bet against Djoker.  He hasnt been this short of a favorite in a long time.  It's just not enough value but I will be on the over 3.5 sets undoubtedly here.  

Unfortunately Federer won in TOO dominant a fashion today and it destroyed the value I was hoping to get on him in the Final.

That's better 
 
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Posted: #14
Got Fed +825 pre tourney. I'm hedging
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by LarryWayne10:

Got Fed +825 pre tourney. I'm hedging

 

Smart man!!

Novak gets it done

 

 100 Million dollar play!!!

 
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Posted: #16
i think Nole wins. He is stronger mentally and will get in Fed's head, like always.
 
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Posted: #17
damn... djoker down to -120! wow... i really really want to take him... but just can't pull the trigger for some reason...
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by PistolVania:

damn... djoker down to -120! wow... i really really want to take him... but just can't pull the trigger for some reason...


If you really really want to take him don't let a little line movement dissuade you.
 
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Posted: #19

Joker -115, sorry I'm stepping right into this trap with a max bet.

My only bet of the tourney, and I'm going all in. I know Fed hasn't been tested and he blew away Murray, but Murray is a box and Joker is tough, mentally and physically tough, just don't see him dropping another major final. Don't over think it. Fed is actually the square play this time....makes no sense. Can't wait!!

 
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Posted: #20
i think if fed plays and serves like he did vs murray, then he will win..his best chance of winning a major comes on the grass at wimbledon..murray played well and federer made him look very average..joker is having a sick year but isn't playing as offensive as fed..should be a great match, hopefully it matches last year's 5 set epic
 
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Posted: #21
i don't always bet in tennis sport, but when i do, i Have to bet on Joker, GL and stay thirsty my friend, i am ALL IN $ 2000 on him now 
 
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Posted: #22
My book has -112 joker. -102 fed

Fed +1.5 -130 damn decent

Could get cute and have Djoker -112 and fed +1.5 and try to win both.
 
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Posted: #23
man what a match - GOAT still bringing pure brilliance and fire for a Wimbledon curtain call. meanwhile Novak, the young lion at the top, domination the way Roger owned the ATP for a decade. i love the battle in Fed but this is Novaks time, I don't care about price - Novak is King in 2015. Love everything about Fed but this is a business decision. Max play On Novak -122 can't wait.
 
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Posted: #24
I am still going with Djoker on this one. I do believe Federer is going to take a set or two.

So.. Djok to win 3-1 +400
       Djok to win 3-2 +500

Taking both. If he loses than it was irrelevant.
 
 
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Posted: #25
i don't recall which matches they were but i believe fed looked incredible one match (this was last year) and then the next match he just got steam rolled

his biggest thing is he hasn't been consistent

i took serena and joker to win it at +474

not heding

best of luck
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