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********Dog Discussion July 26th-August 1st*********

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Posted: #376
nm guess those matches are on tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #377
hey sorry I finally fell asleep for a couple hours. I am about to get a shower.

Yeah the Sadecky match isn't really that I think he will beat him for sure or anything. You just never know with Youzhny. If the kid shows anything and wins the first set, youzhny could retire or just quit. It's only a half unit between both books so it's not a make or break. And yeah it has become kind of a two person thread, with some occasional others sprinkled in. Everyone is free to contribute picks and tips. 
 
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Posted: #378
picks look a little hard today...looks toward favs but you know there will be some dogs....question is....which ones
 
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Posted: #379
i took a shot with jarko and meltzer in a 2 team parlay...2 units pays 4.4...i did take oliver and i took lammer to win 1st set.....lammer is a hunch play
 
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Posted: #380
good luck on those Paul


good luck BP and everyone else. I am not taking the laptop today. I will prolly be back later today.
 
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Posted: #381
Quote Originally Posted by Jarrett75:

good luck on those Paul


good luck BP and everyone else. I am not taking the laptop today. I will prolly be back later today.
...thanks jarrett bol to you also!!!!!
 
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Posted: #382
unbelievable it was like 2am at the start of the final set for Querrey so I went to bed. I figured my Anderson +3 was good. Of course the idiot gets bageled to end it
 
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Posted: #383
I'll be hammering Bartoli -140. What a cheap line. Ana stinks. I don't know what was wrong with Kleybanova but one shocker isn't going to make me think Ana has turned it around. I just think something is wrong with Kleybanova. No excuse for her to lose like that. I think I'll try Baltacha +375 for my dog pick. I think that line is really high.
 
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Posted: #384
Kicking myself for not continuing to fade Larsson...passed on Cirstea today
 
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Posted: #385
Quote Originally Posted by Mike C.:

I'll be hammering Bartoli -140. What a cheap line. Ana stinks. I don't know what was wrong with Kleybanova but one shocker isn't going to make me think Ana has turned it around. I just think something is wrong with Kleybanova. No excuse for her to lose like that. I think I'll try Baltacha +375 for my dog pick. I think that line is really high.
With you 100% on Bartoli for similar reasoning. I do not quite think Ana stinks but she is mediocre IMHO and the books always overrate her.

I heard Baltacha played like total shit her last match vs a horrible player so I would advise not throwing too much on that mini lotto ticket.

gl today.

yeah lord lost a half unit there, could tell quickly that it was Cirstea's day. she might go far here, she looked great.
 
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Posted: #386
I won earlier this week with Cirstea, I didn't have enough faith in her to take her vs Larsson who had been playing great tennis. I had to stop at the library to check to see what was going on with my golf bet and my small tennis plays. Good luck to you guys.
 
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Posted: #387
Quote Originally Posted by BurningPlanet26:

With you 100% on Bartoli for similar reasoning. I do not quite think Ana stinks but she is mediocre IMHO and the books always overrate her.

I heard Baltacha played like total shit her last match vs a horrible player so I would advise not throwing too much on that mini lotto ticket.

gl today.

yeah lord lost a half unit there, could tell quickly that it was Cirstea's day. she might go far here, she looked great.
Yeah that's how I feel about Ana. When I say she stinks I mean in relation to her lines. There is never any value when betting on Ana. She's so overrated by the books. She's not elite anymore, just a middle of the pack player. 

Baltacha did play stupid in the last match but she was against the home crowd and was a big favorite. It seems like the mentality of these players is to screw up as favorites and play perfectly as a dog. One thing I did like was Baltacha was screaming after winning big points so I know she was fired up and motivation is always a key in these small tournaments. Does the Roland Garros champion really care that much about this? Maybe but I don't think Schiavone is that dominant to warrant nearly -500 here. I just threw $30 on Baltacha so no big deal if it goes down. I'm thinking of going 700-500 on Bartoli, not sure yet but definitely at least going 280-200. Bartoli is easily my POD. Ok too much rambling out of me. Good luck today! 
 
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Posted: #388
I think you were right about this being a faves day. I felt the same way and struggled to find value in what I did. I should have been less greedy on the Youzhny match as I think the kid covered the games spread. I was going to put another unit on Jarkko but it just closed.
 
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Posted: #389
Jarrett, I saw you posting in the baseball forums.  Didn't know you were big on that.  I'd like to hear your thought son my picks today.  Check my post for Tennis Thursday here.
 
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Posted: #390
LAMMER 1st set plus 3 something.......i was going to take chardy in that parlay and changed mind when saw talk about jerrko...kicking myself but had mets  alt run line also so that helped   got some small 1st set plays tody...2 left..dont even remember what i took...bol to everyone
 
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Posted: #391
Quote Originally Posted by Mike C.:

I'll be hammering Bartoli -140. What a cheap line. Ana stinks. I don't know what was wrong with Kleybanova but one shocker isn't going to make me think Ana has turned it around. I just think something is wrong with Kleybanova. No excuse for her to lose like that. I think I'll try Baltacha +375 for my dog pick. I think that line is really high.
Baltacha 6-4 6-2  I knew that line was wayyy off as soon as I saw it my eyes got really big. 
 
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Posted: #392
Nice hit Mike... I was on it too +395 
 
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Posted: #393

I thought Peer had a service game  

She has broken Maria 4 of 7 games only to be losing 4-6 1-2  

She has only held 1 of 6 games so far 

 
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Posted: #394

Peer service ponts won 10 of 33

Is she playing Nadal ?

 
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Posted: #395
Quote Originally Posted by JTFinn:

I thought Peer had a service game  

She has broken Maria 4 of 7 games only to be losing 4-6 1-2  

She has only held 1 of 6 games so far 



She's just a ball return tbh. no serve, not enough power 
 
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Posted: #396
Peer has been good on hard courts in past  ... guess i missed this one barring a big comeback
 
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Posted: #397
Quote Originally Posted by JTFinn:

Peer has been good on hard courts in past  ... guess i missed this one barring a big comeback


That's because being a ball return is good enough against most WTA players.

I hate Peers game


 
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Posted: #398

Just think this is funny.  Another two breaks.  They have combined to win only 38% of service points.after 1-1/2 sets.   

Come on Shahar start holding serve  

 
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Posted: #399

Quote Originally Posted by Fairweatherfan:



That's because being a ball return is good enough against most WTA players.

I hate Peers game

    (I need to like it today)  I still think (hope ) she comes back.

 
 
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Posted: #400

FW,

Are you on either side?

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