I mean they’re playing a clay event in 60 degree windy temps. That’s going to increase variance. The ball is already heavy on a clay court. In this cold ass weather the ball weighs a ton. Azarenka looked like she was swinging at watermelons against Schmiedlova. Just absolutely couldn’t hit through the court at all. What was she -1500?
The conditions are mostly responsible for the outcomes, until now. The low temperatures, combined with the wet clay, make for a heavier ball, which is an advantage for players to hit the ball flat and hard. Fe this would explain the results of a player like Kevin Anderson.
Imo anyone with a deep knowledge of players style can surely exploit these conditions, betting wise. The best approach, moving forward, would be to bet dogs, we will still see some surprises, a player like Rafa Nadal will suffer in these cold conditions, because a heavier ball diminishes his top spin, which is a big part of his game and what makes him so good on clay.
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