I have found this to be a very effective strategy in the majors.
Yesterday , Coric was -360 Pre-match , but lost serve very early in match . I grabbed him at -200. To me even if he loses that first set , I still think it has value because he still has plenty of time to recover.
as it is , he just rolled back and won in straights .
Thoughts ?
that is one of my many strategies I use in live trades. what is better though is, grab both sides at +EV, thus a guaranteed hedge win.
Example, I grabbed Kenin at +550 last night, and thus able to hedge Halep at -154 in 3rd set.... break down the math quickly during live, and you'll come out on top...
that break of serve depends on players.
If players like Raonic or Isner is down a break, they wont recover.
Better strategy is take the player that got broken in 4th set and 5 set if they are fav in the match. Players usually get tired by 4th set and breaks become quite common especially for average serving players.
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