Mak's First Ever Tennis Post

Mak and tennis?  Yea I understand the confusion.  For those who don't know me I am an NBA person.  I live breath and shit NBA basketball, with confidence (and no arrogance) I can say that I know everything there is to know about basketball and the national basketball association.  Been following the game for 19 years and know everything there it to know about the game.  I have been successful and profited quite a bit my first 3 years of gambling on the NBA.

Tennis on the other hand is the complete opposite, I know shit.  However It is the only other sport other then basketball that I can stand watching and/or playing, I hate hockey, baseball, soccer and football, the game of Tennis reminds me of a gladiator type game, 1 on 1 win or go home, I think this is the only other sport I have a chance at enjoying so I might as well educate myself on the game and its pupils.  I used to love Tennis during the Agassi and Sampras days.  Those were the glory days in tennis in my opinion.

I have however been trying to follow the circuit the last 5 months and have done a lot of research in order to increase my knowledge of the game and the players.  With the help of many posters on the tennis covers site including Burningplanet, N3gative, Jarret, Pure_Echoes, TI, Taz and a few others, I have actually made some money tailing you and combining your insight with my tennis system and stats.  I wanted to say thank you to each of you.  Not only have you helped me, you have gotten me exited about betting tennis.

I do not have high expectations for success, but with the stats and info I have I think it would be only fair to share and try and contribute to a scarce forum as it it.  I do promise to try and provide as much insight through the next few weeks and try and make a little cash money for all of us.  After the U.S Open and just before pre-season NBA begins I will no longer post my Tennis picks.  I just really want to try and contribute now instead of leaching and lurking on the tennis forum.  Thanks again to all those individuals, appreciate your time and assistance and I hope to try and provide some info that will help you with your picks.  Good Luck fellas!!    

Speakingnthe TRUTH  Youve done more than contribute in NBA picks MAK.
Hope all is well in Africa if youre still there
BOL

MARIA SHARAPOVA (-120) - - - My first pick will be my favorite womens tennis player.  Maria Sharapova and Nadal and two individuals who seem to play every last point as if they were trying to save match point.  Pova just has that will and determination that cannot be measured in tennis.  I love her game and attitude towards winning.  Pova leads the head-to-head series 2-1.  Her two wins may have seemed as if they were tight three set games, but in retrospect Pova owned the rest of the match in both occasions and seemed as if she choked a bit allowing Az to get a set. 3 of the 4 sets Az has taken from Pova have come from tie breaks while Pova has has taken easy sets from AZ 6-2, 6-4, 6-3 and 7-5.  Pova is a hard court queen.  Maria and 41-9 in her last 50 hard court matches...amazing.  23-6 since Aug 1st and and outstanding 160-39 overall...that is an 80% clip.  Pova with her exuberance and desire to play hard.  Maria has won 6 in a row when priced at this level.  I think this is a tad bit low and am glad to have Pova at almost even money.

MARIA "RANGE ROVA" SHARAPOVA
1.2 UNITS TO WIN 1.0 UNITS - - -    
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RICHARD GASQUET (+135) - - - Almagro has shows little to no form since his recent title win.  He has not been able to close out easy contenders in 2 sets.  3 of his 4 matches all went to 3 sets and the one that did not was a lucky one.  He defeated Chardy in 2 but needed a tie-break.  3 of the 4 matched Richard had were all completed in 2 sets.  The only one that was not was a unlucky break where Gasquet lost a first set tie break then continued to demolish Brands 6-3 and 6-0 to win the match. He looks in great form and Almagro looks a bit vulnerable. Granted Almagro has won 4 of his last 5 final appearances but I thing the hungrier competitor will prevail. Gasquet has won 7 in a row when his opponent is a big server, I think this line is screaming for Almagro takers and I think Richard has what it takes for the upset. 

RICHARD "PUT EM IN A CASKET" GASQUET
1 UNIT TO WIN 1.35 - - - 
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ANASTASIA PAVLYUCHENKOVA (-200) - - - Don't really understand the reluctance here.  Forget the high price, this is a god opportunity to get one of the up and comers in the tennis game at a cheap price.  Vesina is good, but Pavly is raw and could be a star in the making. It's all about composure and swagger in this game.  Pavly is a girl who thrives on the spotlight.  Loves the big games, Vesina on the other hand a bit of a choke artist.  In here last 3 finals apperances she has gotten an ass whooping.  She is 2-3 overall in 5 finals appearances but has not won one since 2003.  Pavly on the other hand is sick wit it.  He has won 6 of 7 finals appearances and she has won 5 in a row.  Pavy has a 1-0 h2h and I really respect her first win over Vesina.  Down 1 set, she fought back and basically dismantled Ves in the final two sets 6-2 and 6-1. This is Pavly's time.  This should be a straight sets victory.

ANASTASIA "THE HUN" PAVLYUCHENKOVA
2 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT - - -   
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FERRERO VS STARACE OVER GAMES - - - This has over written all over it, depending on the actual number this may be a POD for me.  JCF and Mr.Potito head have had numerous battles. 4 of 5 have gone to 3 setters and all of them have gone over the total listed.  That is 6-0 on the overs list and I just see yet another battle here.  I do lean JCF here due to a few trends.  Potito has lost 9 in a row at this price (moderate underdog $3.00 - $5.99) JCF has won 5 of 6 on clay as well as 7-8 at Umag. On Clay JCF is 28-7 since Aug 1st...that is an 80% clip.  Gotta roll with JCF to take this battle.

JUAN "CLAY MASTER" CARLOS FERRERO
2 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT (+2 UNITS ON OVER) - - -
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ANDY MURRAY (-222) - - - Sam is the luckiest son of a bith on the planet.  Did not deserve the win over Tipsy, not did he deserve the win over Anderson.  Lucky is all he was.  This youngster stands little to no chance against Andy.  Funny thing is Andy has played horrific this week, yet still finds himself in the final.  He wasn't lucky to get through though IMO.  He showcased his skill by never giving up when down and continuing to fight.  He wasn't handed any victories such as Sam.  Andy on hard court is something of brilliance.  41-9 in his last 50 matches. 25-6 since Aug 1st and 128-42 overall. Sam on the other hand barely has a 50% win rate since Aug 1st on HC and is 4-6 in his last 10.  This is Andy's title to lose for sure.

ANDY "THE QUEEN BROTHER" MURRAY
2.22 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT - - -    
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STEVE DARCIS (-125) - - - Final bet is a no name.  This is the cordenons challanger final.  Simply put Darcis knocked off Haase who previously knocked off Roger Vasselin who was my favorite to win the tourney and made me quite a bit of change his first game.  Thus the way I think, if this kid knocked off Haase who knocked of ERV, I gotta go with Darcis for a hit.

STEVE "WHO" DARCIS
1.25 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT - - -
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Wooohooo, someone in the Tennis forums who knows me...didn't think that would happen bro.  Really appreciate those awesome comments.  Want to contribute so much more on my off time to these forums.  Right now no ball, so trying the yellow ball on for size.  I got a big surprise for ballers in the NBA forum once the season starts, a new system, a new base for info and stats and I will be on point to make people money this coming NBA season.

Thanks a lot for the post and best of luck my friend.

former NBA freak here as well, with 5 years of basketball betting under my belt :)

in the summer of 2009 I was bored and decided to pay attention to wta tour, and got hooked within a couple of weeks. tennis has such a beatiful statistics, and such a long season, it is definitely my favorite betting sport right now.

GL mak!

dj-yaz, by the way I am home safe and sound in Toronto.  I will be going back to Africa for good in November.  But as long as the world wide web exists I will always be in contact with my covers brothers.  Thanks again for the post buddy.

gl pal

PE, you are one guy I really look for.  You keep your picks to a minimal and your money management is probably perfect.  I try to learn from gamblers like you.  I find it difficult to make the same amount of money I do in the NBA, in your opinion is Tennis a good sport to wager on?  Better then pro ball?  I find that Tennis has a real 50/50 kinda draw even with the spreads and over/unders.  I see a lot of people betting on dogs which I think is a great idea in Tennis, but as someone who was born gambling on NBA it seems wrong to always go for dogs.  I am really looking forward to the opinions of yourself, BP and others in regards to this.  Can I learn all I need to learn in the tennis game in about 8 months?  Or will it take years to get that confidence and swagger I have in NBA ball?

My main man Popeye Jones, did you get married yet Skillz?  Hope all is well homie.  Help me out here with Tennis bro.  I feel like it's my first day of kindergarten and I am in Germany....and I don't speak German.  Need all the help I can get in this game.

Mate my computer is having trouble loading the tennis scores for some reason. Is there any chance of some live score updates from the Gasquet game??? Thankyou 

Sure buddy I can do that, will be stepping out for an early morning walk and a spliff the size of a banana in about 30 mins but I actually have an amazing satellite so I can actually watch the game and most if not all tennis game.  The feed in from Switzerland so commentary is fucked but I will keep you updated for the next 20-25 mins. 

ADDING

GASQUET & ALMAGRO OVER 22 GAMES
1.25 UNITS TO WIN 1 - - -

Haha my man Mak  

got not god, lol

To my Australian mate above:

So far both players look very evenly matched.  Glad I took the dog.  1-1 in the set thus far. Almagro just held to 15 and looks to be just about to break Gasquet's serve now :(

Ah Crapola, Almagro breaks to 40.  Gassy tried to save a few break points.  Did so...but it looks like Almagro came to play, which means trouble for Gassy and our bet buddy.  Sorry not gonna update more, need that walk and spliff now, Maggy broke him real early so don't be relying on that Gasquet bet.  Magro looks good.

Sweet no worries, thanks champ, enjoy your day mate 

from 11th of June im a married man


and its great, the wedding went perfect and everybody was enjoying it

Now we live in our own apartment, just the two of us


BOL to you buddy, lets cash some from tennis too

5th ace for magro 4-2 1st set.  Need Gasget to for small change.

4-3 Mugro 1st set.  Heres hoping he chokes this set away.

6th ace 5-3 mugro.

Aussie green is good?  Really?  I heard the hydroponic there is a bit weak.  Will be there in Late February on business, also to find a girl I knew a while back.  Was my first :) Real bitch but since I am there for business, might as well look her up and rub her face in the success and money...god I am a vindictive basterd and I love it.  Let me know where to get that sticky icky in Sydney.

P.S Magro held for a 5-3 and is not looking for finish him of a breaking again to take the set 6-3.

Congratulations bro, I envy you dog.  Found a women you want to spend eternity with.  Not your boy Mak.  I have a quota before I get married.  I want 223 women before I get married, at least 60 different nationalities, then I will be ready to settle down...or at least my penis will :)  Salut on the marriage bud, wish you many years of happiness together.

 

Haha my man Mak!!!! If u no where to look my man u can find the best shit here!!! Im in Sydney mate, i will hook u up no problems. How old r u my man? Yeh got the scores up now thanks mate, hopefully Gas can break now