So you claim to be in the top 1 percentile in winning bets on parlays no less, which the house has more of a clear advantage to win...any bettor knows that, or learns that quickly. I'm not saying you don't win or that you aren't in the top percentile, or even that you aren't winning at the straight bets on here. I'm just saying, is that what your claim is on your parlays? Also, the evidence of this, outside of you stating it?
+melosjumper, parlays if done the right way are the greatest way to beat the books.
I never go with the crowd, you think outside of the box. That's how winning is done. With a parlay and the way I stake. I could turn a profit with as little as a 25% strikerate and have done. Although generally LONGTERM it hovers around the 33% mark.
With periods like I'm enjoying now where you get several wins close together. And other times where it will go something like WLLLWLLLLWLLWLLLW.
Makes no difference. The results will turn an ever growing bankroll. That will snowball once I have secured the first 100 units or1000 pounds of profit. Which could be by the end of this week
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Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:
So you claim to be in the top 1 percentile in winning bets on parlays no less, which the house has more of a clear advantage to win...any bettor knows that, or learns that quickly. I'm not saying you don't win or that you aren't in the top percentile, or even that you aren't winning at the straight bets on here. I'm just saying, is that what your claim is on your parlays? Also, the evidence of this, outside of you stating it?
+melosjumper, parlays if done the right way are the greatest way to beat the books.
I never go with the crowd, you think outside of the box. That's how winning is done. With a parlay and the way I stake. I could turn a profit with as little as a 25% strikerate and have done. Although generally LONGTERM it hovers around the 33% mark.
With periods like I'm enjoying now where you get several wins close together. And other times where it will go something like WLLLWLLLLWLLWLLLW.
Makes no difference. The results will turn an ever growing bankroll. That will snowball once I have secured the first 100 units or1000 pounds of profit. Which could be by the end of this week
After two months and about 150 picks your record is in line with your average odds, pretty away from your initial claim:
[Quote]Of the 8023 bets I've placed over the last 6.3 years
Wins=6322
Losses=1,701
Average odds over the 6.3 years=1.53
Also, at one point you were desperately risking 15% of your bankroll in a single bet, which was way off the optimal bet, given the expected edge.
[Quote]BANKROLL 801.20 units
Murray to win @1.67--Stake 120 units
Not trying to be harsh here, but as soon as you accept that your plays are more a random walk than a model/system, you will make a right step forward. Been there, done that.
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Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:
BANKROLL 1059.87
ITF DOUBLES MACON
FALCONI/MARTIC@1.57--Stake 6 units
RECORD 101--48
After two months and about 150 picks your record is in line with your average odds, pretty away from your initial claim:
[Quote]Of the 8023 bets I've placed over the last 6.3 years
Wins=6322
Losses=1,701
Average odds over the 6.3 years=1.53
Also, at one point you were desperately risking 15% of your bankroll in a single bet, which was way off the optimal bet, given the expected edge.
[Quote]BANKROLL 801.20 units
Murray to win @1.67--Stake 120 units
Not trying to be harsh here, but as soon as you accept that your plays are more a random walk than a model/system, you will make a right step forward. Been there, done that.
Bihon I dont know what I was doing with the staking to start with because this isnt how I play anyway. This is simply laying up ground for my parlay bets. Those numbers were correct. But you have to bare in mind thats coming from prediominantly parlays. Not single bets. And I can win alot of them on a roll.
what you and everyone else need to do is pay close attention to my Rolling Parlay thread. Thats where the history will be made. No ones taking this seriously yet. It may take two years before it registers in the most sceptic of brains.
I HAVE THIS GAME BEAT FOR ALLTIME.
The only question is how much profit I will make in a calendar year. Positive numbers are certain. Look at the parlay thread. Betting very modestly after only 11 wins from 20 plays im up more than I am on here after 150 plays. So let me say this once more. If you want to see how I play in real life. YOU STUDY THE ROLLING PARLAY PICKS FOR THE ZONE thread. And you will know how im doing in real life. Any profit made here while laying up for the parlays is simply a bonus.
6 months from now at least a few people will seriously realize I know what im doing here. And profit isnt a maybe, its a CERTAINTY.
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Quote Originally Posted by bihon:
P,S. Excuse my bad quotation.
Bihon I dont know what I was doing with the staking to start with because this isnt how I play anyway. This is simply laying up ground for my parlay bets. Those numbers were correct. But you have to bare in mind thats coming from prediominantly parlays. Not single bets. And I can win alot of them on a roll.
what you and everyone else need to do is pay close attention to my Rolling Parlay thread. Thats where the history will be made. No ones taking this seriously yet. It may take two years before it registers in the most sceptic of brains.
I HAVE THIS GAME BEAT FOR ALLTIME.
The only question is how much profit I will make in a calendar year. Positive numbers are certain. Look at the parlay thread. Betting very modestly after only 11 wins from 20 plays im up more than I am on here after 150 plays. So let me say this once more. If you want to see how I play in real life. YOU STUDY THE ROLLING PARLAY PICKS FOR THE ZONE thread. And you will know how im doing in real life. Any profit made here while laying up for the parlays is simply a bonus.
6 months from now at least a few people will seriously realize I know what im doing here. And profit isnt a maybe, its a CERTAINTY.
My theory is that people are steering clear of posting in the parlay thread to hopefully avoid it turning into what this thread becomes at times. I definitely like how clean the parlay thread is and I'm sure plenty of people have their eyes on it too. I enjoy your plays and reading both threads. One request I would ask of you, if not too much trouble would you mind posting your self induced juice rollover plays on the dogs as well with unit sizes? For whatever reason I've been wishing you would show that too for some time now but I haven't asked till now. I think that would clear up a lot of confusinon and might end up saving time from new viewers asking repetitive questions, & save you explanation time so you can spend your time enjoying the sweet life or shopping for fresh picks. BOL with continued success and thanks a lot for putting your time in to try and help people out. Have a great weekend. Thanks again
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My theory is that people are steering clear of posting in the parlay thread to hopefully avoid it turning into what this thread becomes at times. I definitely like how clean the parlay thread is and I'm sure plenty of people have their eyes on it too. I enjoy your plays and reading both threads. One request I would ask of you, if not too much trouble would you mind posting your self induced juice rollover plays on the dogs as well with unit sizes? For whatever reason I've been wishing you would show that too for some time now but I haven't asked till now. I think that would clear up a lot of confusinon and might end up saving time from new viewers asking repetitive questions, & save you explanation time so you can spend your time enjoying the sweet life or shopping for fresh picks. BOL with continued success and thanks a lot for putting your time in to try and help people out. Have a great weekend. Thanks again
Okay Slipknut I will try amd bring that in to the mix on here. Yes having a cleaner thread is better. I just want people to be clear. Im strictly a parlay player. Either pure or rolling. Today for example I have a pure parlay which im about to lay. Cheers...
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Okay Slipknut I will try amd bring that in to the mix on here. Yes having a cleaner thread is better. I just want people to be clear. Im strictly a parlay player. Either pure or rolling. Today for example I have a pure parlay which im about to lay. Cheers...
Okay I'm going to start showing you how I include the juice bet on the dogs in my method. On the parlay.
I'm taking the 11.52 units I won on my last bet on Halep and adding two units. And putting it on Murray who at last has value at 1.67
That's 13.52 x 1.67 =22.57 units minus A 10 unit investment =12.57 units clear profit.
Now Ferrer could well beat Murray here so I'm putting 2 units on him. This is a kind of self inflicted juice that earns its keep if You lose three bets consecutively. You can cash in after three losses. I just can't pick 6 dogs to win in a row. It's happened once in 6.5 years. This is why I'm so self assured about what I do.
But I might pick 5 dogs soon. I'm due after over a year never going beyond 4 consecutive dogs.
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Okay I'm going to start showing you how I include the juice bet on the dogs in my method. On the parlay.
I'm taking the 11.52 units I won on my last bet on Halep and adding two units. And putting it on Murray who at last has value at 1.67
That's 13.52 x 1.67 =22.57 units minus A 10 unit investment =12.57 units clear profit.
Now Ferrer could well beat Murray here so I'm putting 2 units on him. This is a kind of self inflicted juice that earns its keep if You lose three bets consecutively. You can cash in after three losses. I just can't pick 6 dogs to win in a row. It's happened once in 6.5 years. This is why I'm so self assured about what I do.
But I might pick 5 dogs soon. I'm due after over a year never going beyond 4 consecutive dogs.
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