Posted:
#1
The fact here is that these are two guys who know eachother very well... they have played 18 times in there career with roger holding a 10-8 lead... The main thing I see here is that +7 is way to many games for Nalby to be giving up to FED.... THey have never met on this surface before... The faster the surface the closer Nalby has been to beating fed.. In fact in Rogers 10 victories against Nably only two have been clean and on a fast surface... Us Open 05' Madrid 06'...
Nalby is coming off two straight set wins in this tournament and I like his play coming into this match..
He has always been a big time problem for Fed... He has a supurb up the line backhand.. He hits an inside out forehand huge, and his two hand backhand really kicks and gets high on Fed... exposing his only weakness..
I am not saying Nalby wins.. but I feel he takes a set and covers...
I see a match similar to the one Nadal is playing now...
3u +7 -105
2u +7.5 -125
1u Not Fed 3-0 +180
I am 3-4 -11.2u thus far... I will likely not have the confidence for another big play if this loses....
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