Posted:
#1
Everyone 'and their momma' are talking about Goffin and his 24 match winning streak this week. Thing is, nobody was talking about his streak a week or two ago -- when it was at 20, 21, etc. Goffin was a value play up until this week, IMO. Now is the appropriate time to flip the script -- just like the books have.
H2H shows 1-1 w/ Jarkko owning the only ATP victory between the two -- which happened to be on hard in February of 2013 -- which was also a love/love massacre (6-0, 6-0). Goffin's revenge came this year in July on clay (7-6, 6-3). Make no mistake, Goffin is a clay expert -- not so much a hard expert, though.
Two additional concerns I have with Goffin are: 1) He struggles to win pressure points at the ATP level (0-5 TB L/52). 2) He is 7-10 career v. LHP.
It's understood that Goffin is coming off a dominant win over the lefty and defending champ, J. Melzer -- so, it's not as if beating a lefty is impossible for Goffin. That being said, I'll take my chances on him not beating two lefties in a row.
3* Jarkko +3.5 -130
1* Jarkko +200
H2H shows 1-1 w/ Jarkko owning the only ATP victory between the two -- which happened to be on hard in February of 2013 -- which was also a love/love massacre (6-0, 6-0). Goffin's revenge came this year in July on clay (7-6, 6-3). Make no mistake, Goffin is a clay expert -- not so much a hard expert, though.
Two additional concerns I have with Goffin are: 1) He struggles to win pressure points at the ATP level (0-5 TB L/52). 2) He is 7-10 career v. LHP.
It's understood that Goffin is coming off a dominant win over the lefty and defending champ, J. Melzer -- so, it's not as if beating a lefty is impossible for Goffin. That being said, I'll take my chances on him not beating two lefties in a row.
3* Jarkko +3.5 -130
1* Jarkko +200
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