No breaks.

Tiafoe/Perricard Score after 4 games 2-2

Hurkacz/Michelsen Score after 4 games 2-2

Parlay @ +108 2U

With Perricard holding 90% of his service games and Hurkacz holding 89%, I don’t expect them to be broken early in the match. And considering these guys break 7 and 18% of the time, I think Tiafoe and Michelsen should be able to get a few holds in before anything exciting happens.

I am looking at this and liking it.

But isnt the odds are too low for 8 holds? Live betting every game hold should yield better return, and if there is only one break better risk too. You bag 7 holds and lose 1.

The problem is if there will be a break party. Then, the risk can get very high. For example a player is not motivated, just here for paycheck.

What is you view AverageAllstar?

GL

@Kenzito

 It’s so tough to bank on how a player feels that day. Who knows if their motivation is in Paris or not. Who knows if Perricard is going to be on the level after his win at home? It’s not something I consider. I do consider, does this player have points to protect or need points to qualify for other upcoming events or elevate closer to top 20. It’s a little easier to see the positive motivations in that regard.

As for the break numbers go, -1000 compounded pays +115. So yea, it’d be better to just carry over every service game. I knew I was going to be asleep for the start of the matches though.

Speaking of the matches. Anyone see that Michelsen/Hurkacz match? Hubi got eviscerated.