San Diego Bulgaria Kazakhstan Chicago

Locked in:

San Diego to win:

Aliassime +750 @ Coolbet...3u

Ruud +1000 @ B365...2u

Shapovalov +1100 @ Coolbet...2u

Karatsev +1800 @ B365...1u

Bulgaria to win:

Ruusuvuori +1600 @ B365...1.5u

Ymer +1800 @ B365...1u

Kazakhstan to win:

Konjuh +650 @ B365...2u

Potapova +900 @ B365...1.5u

Chicago to win:

Giorgi +1500 @ B365...1.5u

Stephens +5000 @ B365...half u

Early pick locked in (scheduled for Tuesday):

Brengle ML +596...quarter u @ Pinnacle...quarter u

Brengle +6 games (-106) @ Pinnacle...2.75u

Bengle Kontaveit Over 18 games (-139) @ Pinnacle...3u

Classic fade the winner of the previous week's event theory in effect here...at first glace this looks like an easy win for the Estonian, but I'm a sucker for this betting angle

Joining in that Ruud future..get em this week! 

Bol this week!

I thought about Ruud as well, but he never won anything on hardcourt and Felix is the nr1 final choker. 

What are your thoughts on Nakashima B/Rublev and Norrie?

I like FOG as a dog here, he never shows up as a fav and +150  line is a little suspect. Cheers.

I live in Chicago and will be attending the weekend events.  

Awesome, have you ever been to an event before? It's always a great experience...I know you'll have a great time 

I am attending my first event here in SD! I just bought tickets to the final! I hope to see someone I’ve watched on tv! 

@packersbackers

 Nope, first time.  I was going to go to the event earlier last month but I figured to wait for the WTA 500 event for a chance to see better quality players.

any plays tonight pack?

What do you think of Unseeded Finalists 2.62 in San Deigo?

Sorry should be Unseeded Finalists NO (Bet365)

@Bjorn_Borg

I would have expected these odds to be much higher...2.62 seems too low for any value imo

@Bjorn_Borg

 I think Rublev is always a good play until he breaks thru...I'm not sold on Naka, and I think Norrie peaked earlier in the season and his overall pusher style isn't working anymore

Just sticking with Brendle for today and rooting for my futures   

BOL handycat 

Bol tonight.

You missed a "fade the winner" play in Paolini J, against a young wild card earlier :)

I hope Kontaveit is still jet-lagged, she looked really good last week, didn't lose her serve in 22 straight games. 

I watched Naki in US Open and was not impressed, might wait to the second round before backing Rublev, he hasn't played in a long time.

Evans could be a good "fade the winner play" tomorrow as well.

@Bjorn_Borg

I didn't even see Paolini 

 Evans indeed fits the bill  

@packersbackers

I agree on Evans because Kwon may have less in the tank after Nur-Sultan. But I feel like the bookmakers have already accounted for this (I'm seeing Evans at -260). You think there's still value on that play, Pack? Evans got pushed around A LOT this summer.

brengle looks really bad..im even afriad to jump in on the live line at +7 1/2

@handycat

Brengle is on my blacklist because she has the absolute worst serve in women's tennis. Hope she can turn it around for you all today!

gluck with this play pack.i think u got this...im staying away ...having a heart attack watchin them hold serve

It's crazy how much a week can do. She was rock solid last week against top players and now this.

The bet looks good tho!

dammm should of follow...i never seen an over hit so easy in my life.....

@moldypeach   great points my friend

There is always a way to get around -260 ML favs...either you take it as the first leg of a two game ML parlay of similar odds to get around +100 for a 2 gamer, or what I am more likely to suggest and do myself is take the games spread and 2-0,sets for Evans here...keep in mind this is purely a situational cap from my experience and it's always worth a look to fade Kwon in this spot...he might still be legally drunk when he walks onto the court tomorrow...last week's win for him was a career changing event...travel, jet lag, etc.... you get where I'm coming from.

https://www.strikeout.nu/wta-chicago-2-madison-brengle-vs-anett-kontaveit-stream-3

I won't go into deep ingame analysis of this match, but the way Kontav played that 3rd game in the 1st set told me she was not into this match mentally...Brengle has the worst serve in all of professional tennis since the wooden racquet was used...all the massive UFE's Kontav started to suddenly hit off of 50 mph Brengle 2nd serves once she got up 4-1 in the 1st set was a sure tell the dog was going to cover here.

If you just looked at the analytics and form coming into this match, I could have made a strong argument for a 61 61 type Kontav win, but Tennis betting is unlike any other sport...period 

I did buy it down a half point with the added juice, but the way Kontav let up to start the 2nd set was the perfect case scenario for the over