THE FRENCH OPEN 2021

Tomorrow

Klaasen/McLachlan + Errani

2.1

500

Rune

1.75

500

Bad day, going to be more selective next week when it starts.

Osorio 2-0 +C.Liu 

1.83

10 units (Max) 

I like all my plays tomorrow but this one is the only one I will bet some money on  

Wait what, ure not even playing the picks you post? 

Yeah pretty funny. If you want to make picks that you don't play make a protipster account and do it there. That way at least you can easily track your data. This just isn't the place for posting your hypothetical bets on anyway. Also, being more selective isn't necessarily the mindset you need to have. In my experience spreading my plays out is the most consistent way for me to build a profit. Instead of being selective you need to search for value somewhere else in the match. If you have any sort of confidence in a dog for instance (which is often heavily dependent on matchup and conditions). Instead of taking the simple offerings look for alternate plays that are likely to occur based on all the conditions of the match. 

@Bjorn_Borg

Who is rune?

Are you talking about  Elena-gabriela Ruse?

@handycat

 nah... Holger Rune

@Bjorn_Borg

 osorio took care of business. let's go liu

Wake up liu

Toast..

2-6 -18 units yesterday

3-3 -5 units Today

Total 5-9

Max play 0-1

-23 units 

Dart + Arruabarrena L 

1.95

5 units

Lajovic D 

2

5 units

Dellien + Zapata 

2

5 units

Klaasen/McLachlan + Errani 

2.1

500

Osorio 2-0 +C.Liu 

1.83

10 units (Max) 

Rune 

1.75

500

Will only post my max plays 

Tomorrow

Dusan Lajovic + Tomova

odds: 2 (Bet365)

10 units

Bol

Shou Lian +5,5 

Odds: 1.75 (Comeon/Bethard)

10 Units

Friday

McDonald, Konjuh, Arrubarrena

1.93 (Bet365)

Max 10 units

1-1 Today

-2,5 units

Can't wait for the main round these qualification matches is killing me 

Let's end with a bang!

McDonald will win easy 2-0

1,75

10 Units

Arrubarrena won 6-1 6-1 against Zhao on clay last month, she will win easy this time as well.

2.0

1.80

10 units

Arruberrena 2-0 + McDonald 2-0

3.15

5 units

BOL

Outside French Open I really like

Malcan +3,5

Niemeier +5.5

and Korda - Paul Under 2,5 sets + Cistea-Linette Under 2,5 sets

I think Malcan will keep it close and I don't know how motivated Delbonis is going to be in this match. You can already see in all these tournaments before the slam that all the top seeds are already out. (Dojokovic playing at home in Serbia and don't play the first round in French Open so he gets more rest, and I'm sure he don't mind staying in Serbia over the weekend)

So I don't think the players want to waste too much energy in the second set or want to play a long 3 set match just days before the slam.

Under in the second set seems to be a good play as well, we have already seen four 6-0 sets since the r16 in Serbia.

BOL

Fabulous Friday 

@packersbackers

 well needed 

Let's hope for a great French Open now for all of us! 

Osaka 2-0 + Schwartzman 3-0

1.87 (Bet365)

Finally where are in the main draw, I do think the odds will go down so locking in this early.

Osaka has have had a really bad Clay season and 1-2 early exit in both Madrid and Rome, but we all know that Osaka always rise in Grand Slams (Only lost 1 set in Australia Open), I think that after she won Australia Open all the focus have been in PR, she has been doing the most ridicules collaborations and I think it's been to much on her, all the extra work and media attention. 

I think now she only wants to get back to focusing only on tennis thats why she also have said she is not going to do any media here in France.

So I believe she wants to start this Slam strong with an easy 2-0 win over Tig, who is only 1-3 on Clay this year and should have anything against Osaka. 

 Same with Schwartzman he have had a really bad start at the Clay season but I think also him will higher his game now when it's a Gran Slam. Schwartzman had a really good run here last year, where he lost the semi against Nadal. He now plays 37 years old Y.H Lu (ranked 679) who is 4-14 since 2017 and haven't won a match on clay since 2015.

No, It's going to be an easy win for Schwartzman and Osaka in the first round.

Max play 

10 units

.

great day!

Roland Garros Round 1 Plays and Analysis (Pinnacle Odds) Part 1/2

These are picks I see value on

0.5U Popyrin ML: 27.50

1U Popyrin First Set ML: 9.90

2U Popyrin +10.5 Games: 1.83

- Going against the King of Clay, but this is giving me Isner vs. Rafa first round vibes and also Soderling vs. Rafa

- Popyrin has so much power and he'll be able to win some easy games because of it

- I could see him stealing the first set with Nadal not being ready + Popyrin firing right off the bat so I like the odds

1U Travaglia: 2.39

- De Minaur is a sub-40 or 50 player on clay and Travaglia is very underrated

1U Gaston: 2.32

- Gasquet is washed and Gaston is looking to back up a strong appearance from last year (QF)

1U Couacaud ML: 1.74

- Don't know too much about Couacaud but he's going to wear that French WC proud

- Gerasimov is not a strong clay courter in the slightest (2-7 on clay this year) and some days he just doesn't show up (See: R2 vs. Karatsev at AO)

1U Moutet ML: 2.2

- For a pure clay courter, Laslo Djere has really struggled this year (2-6 in his last 8)

- Moutet is a fiery player and just had a really strong outing at UTS

- I'm aware it's exhibition style but taking down Fritz, Garin, Diego, Fognini, and Medvedev without losing will be enough to beat Djere

1U Marterer ML: 3.42

- Marterer came through qualies fairly easily, besides the first round, which really gives you some confidence getting 3 matches under your belt

- Krajinovic is just not playing well recently and I like the odds for an upset here; he lost to Milojevic last year in the first round

1U Monfils ML: 2.54

- Post-covid Monfils is not the same as pre-covid in the slightest

- However, this is a guy that always shows up here and I except him to do the same

- He got a terrible draw facing Ramos in the first round, who has the most clay court matches on tour but he's not a guy who usually takes down top players and instead feasts on lower-ranked guys

- I see value on Monfils and I'm hoping he turns around his struggles here; HE'S DUE

1U Lopez ML: 2.31

- 50-year old Lopez to take down Coria

- Coria can get overpowered easily and I see Lopez winning a lot of service points with his tough lefty serve

- Coria just lost 6-0, 6-1 to Djokovic and seemed more interested in just getting a picture with him

2U Rinderknech: 2.53

- Rinderknech is a guy I see as a darkhorse to take down Roger in round 2

- He's been playing pretty well and handled Sinner a couple weeks back

- Cilic is so susceptible to losing to guys like this and in 5 sets I'm just not confident in him anymore

- Good value here as I think it should be closer to straight up 

2U Vesely +2.5 Sets + Medevedev ML: 2.46

- Vesely is another dangerous player who you don't want to play first round

- Khachanov is in poor form on clay; 2 losses to Norrie, 1 to Delbonis, and to Nishikori and Carreno Busta. All good players but he should take at least one of them

- Medevedev says he's feeling good and I believe it. He's obviously pretty trash on clay but the odds are a little disrespectful for the #2 player in the world

2U Querrey +2.5 Sets + Bedene ML: 2.12

- Querrey has struggled but he lost a really tight match against a strong Nishioka last week

- We're gonna see some tiebreaks against Isner so I see him stealing one

- He is in weaker form but he showed last year he can still compete with the best after taking the first two sets from Rublev last year at RG and should've beaten him

- For Bedene, Mannarino is atrocious on the red dirt, absolutely horrible

2U Bonzi ML: 2.34

- I don't see why Bonzi should be the dog here

- He's slowly making his way to the main tour, where he's had decent results

- He played good tennis here last year, albeit in different conditions, but the home country advantage can push him through here

2U Struff +2.5 Sets: 1.97

- Struff has played Rublev 6 times, has won twice and has taken a set in 3 of his four losses

- The amount of power this guy generates means you do not want to play him first round, no matter who you are

- Rublev should get through this but it will not be easy

3U Lajovic ML: 2.09

- Basilashvili super inconsistent and should not be the favourite here after a tough loss to Andrej Martin last week

- Lajovic not having his best year on clay but should take a volatile Basilashvili in a best of 5

Cheers fellas

I don’t give any of the qualifiers a chance in the first round, the gap is to big.

sabalenka 2-0 + Gauff 2-0 + Tauson 

2.35 (Bet365)

10 units

Sabalenka and Gauff is in their best form at the moment, Tauson tops the Junior world ranking, have 9 ITF titles and won her first WTA tournament in Lyon this year.

She reached the second round last year in her first FO, I believe she will do better this year.

BOL