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Tue 29th July

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Posts: 28

Scutaro29

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 1934

Posted: Jul. 29, 2014 - 8:57 PM ET #26

I let her have it on Instagram.

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Lesh

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 79

Posted: Jul. 30, 2014 - 2:19 PM ET #27

Quote Originally Posted by Scutaro29:

Lesh- berrer is simply a "value" play. In any other country, sock would never be favored by this much. Berrer is a tough competitor, and it may take him a few games to get settled in this match. Sock playing well recently, and better player at home. But I think this isn't a good matchup for him. Berrer can handle socks service game once he gets in his stride. The +4.5 would be a safer option, but I think there's value in the ML.

Groth is a good play too, and you're right, sela breakdown coming up. But again, it's hard to put even $1 on groth. You never know who's going to turn up. Sela on his game can embarrass groth and return his "bombs" with ease.

Veb is just a hit and miss player. He plays well in one tournament per year, and sucks at every other event. Kamke is a solid player, but should never be favored by this much. Still, same story as groth. Way too hard to put a single dollar on veb against these type of opponents.

I like berrer at +4.5 but my book doesn't offer it. That's probably the best option here out of all three picks. GL though, and no hard feelings bro

No hard feelings, Scutaro. The feedback I received from your thread (last week) proved to be an invaluable asset for my handicapping this week. Not only did I use that info to cash VEB +180 and +3.5-110 yesterday, but also, I used it to fade Karlovic and Stepanek in their first matches post-Bogota.

While Paire +140 didn't cash, Jaziri +420 and +4.5-105 were solid winners. Karlo impressed me by fighting through 3 TB's and not fizzling out in that 3rd set. Stepanek did exactly what I envisioned - which was fizzle out in the 3rd set.

Had I not swung by and conversed w/ you and the other gent (about Bogota affect on players); I wouldn't have made those plays. No doubt in my mind that Stepanek was still slightly hungover from Bogota -- even with the week off (prior to Washington).

Best of luck moving forward.

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Scutaro29

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 1934

Posted: Jul. 30, 2014 - 2:39 PM ET #28

Excellent hits on big dogs. Wise investment

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Tue 29th July

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