UAE

Good evening, everyone. Time to get to get to work. 

Linda Noskova ML +110

@wgomel21

 Will ride a you I have an open parlay from last weeks Potavota -1.5 set win. Let’s cash this!

@wgomel21

BOL with your play wgomel! I hope you had a great time at the sportsbook!

TIP

@wgomel21

Great pick wgomel!

TIP

@wgomel21

 Good hit!

She is fun to watch and not been on my radar previously. 

CASH IT Uman, JoseAlonso787, Starnes, TIPOF-THE-SWORD, and Buzz44 

great pick wgomel - looking forward to the next play.

A lot of big dogs +200  biting this tournament, Guaff, Sabalenka, etc. all went down in flames

Some notable losses so far: 

Anisimova (Doha Champ)

Sabalenka (Wuhan Champ)

Gauff (Beijing Champ)

Zheng (Beijing runner-up)

Notice anything??

Top players remaining: 

Iga (Doha Semifinalist)

Rybakina (Doha Quarterfinalist)

Working on it. 

Opportunities  

@wgomel21

 Do you think Iga -250 (implied win probability 71%) is an accurate line?

(Unrelated to other question)

Thinking if we can get Andreeva at +4.5 games we go for it.

From the WTA rulebook: 

"WTA Singles Ranking is determined by calculating her total ranking points.....which must include:

· four (4) Grand Slams;

· six (6) WTA 1000 Mandatory combined/virtually combined Tournaments;

· one (1) WTA 1000 Mandatory Tournament (WTA only);"

So top 6 results are included from ATP/WTA combined tournaments. There are 2 combined tournaments next month with the Sunshine Double. I wonder if Sabs and Gauff were thinking about their upcoming return to North America during their Middle East vacation.

Top 1 result from WTA only tournaments. Sabs and Gauff already have titles for this requirement while Zheng has a respectable runner-up finish.

Iga and Ryba skipped China last year so they're sitting on a SF and QF, respectively, in Doha as their best result. The next opportunity (after Dubai) to improve on this result won't come until Beijing.

Seems like a title in Dubai could be especially important for 2ga so that she can match Aryna's title in Wuhan. And with Sabs now having only one GS Title counting towards her ranking, 2ga could be eyeing for a return to 1ga sometime before the end of grass season. Her PR team desperately needs it so they can roll the logo back out.

Well their last matchup was close, but that was during her little post-olympic crisis. Same tournament where she dropped a set against Gracheva after leading it 5-2.

Locked and loaded. 

Sofia Kenin ( vs. Elena Rybakina) +4½ -115 for Game

Opinion on the 20.5 game total?

Andreeva is putting major pressure on Iga. 

No opinion from me as we are invested on Kenin. A little ML +300 is certainly worth the risk.