US Open 2018 Selections)

Not entirely bothered scrolling back to the pages to find my other thread so i'll make a new one for the last slam of the year. From what I've seen in qualifiers and players in practice and it seems that the courts look a bit slower this year and high bouncing. Hopefully there are less weather delays and it's a good tournament. Thank goodness they can play as long as they want in this slam!

Mackenzie McDonald +4, 1.869 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

I have been following this guys form all year and it seems like it's been a bit of a breakthrough despite being 23 (turned pro in 2016). The guy plays hard at the slams and has notched up an impressive 4 wins on those best of 5 set surfaces. And yes, I know it's no secret that I enjoy backing him (based off Wimbledon etc) but he's flown under the radar a bit into his countrymen who get more mentions such as Francis Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz.
His first match in a grand slam (from a wildcard) was a 5 set loss so I don't expect this to be an easy one. Whilst having some ok form leading up to the US Open (even though he's more known for performing in Europe his Grand Slam record on Hardcourts has been less then spectacular at best. I think a potentially slower surface suits McDonald better as he is a known grinder and I think as a match wears on he will be the stronger mental player between the two. 
I look forward to a well fought out match but I think there is serious value in both the McDonald line and outright h2h between the two here.

Marcos Baghdatis/Mikhail Youhzny Over 36.5 Games, 1.961 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

I found it interesting that out of over 30 matches played in the mens singles there were only 3 matches that went to five sets, and about half of those were 3 sets. So today I looked through the entire board of matches to see what kind of matchups there were, and what kind of totals there were whether I thought they had the potential to be five set matches or matches where there's no way there would be three matches, then this one stood out to me. 
So firstly this matchup fit the criteria at being a potential 5 set match, as well as a match where I thought both players would have a strong chance to win a set, and from there it is anyones game. Then as it became known earlier in the year, Youhzny is retiring permantly from tennis after St Petersburg next month so this will be his last slam. Last year he played a 5 set match against Roger Federer in the 2R. 
So with that said, being the underdog I dont expect Youhzny to limp out of this match considering the successful career he has had making 4 QFs and 2 SFs (At the US Open. 

Taro Daniel +4, 1.99 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

I am a fan of De Minaur but I don't feel like he should be that heavy of a favourite. Taro Daniel showed some great tennis and seems to be making a good mark on the hard courts in recent years. I know he is more known for being a clay court player but he's playing a guy who's smaller physique doesn't seem to be as great for the slams at this point in time with his lack of experience. I feel the odds should be much closer then this and see this being as a much more competitive match.

Marin Cilic/Marius Copil Under 34 Games, 1.961 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

Despite the big disappointment at Wimbledon, the expectations are back on for Marin Cilic, and I'm too one of those expecting big things from him in this tournament. I think that despite the results at Cincinnati I've seen enough from Cilic to believe he has a few extra gears in him to win this match comfortably, especially if it's a slower surface as rumoured. 

Taro Daniel 

de Minaur -4 is the play

Anything in particular that makes you like him more? I'm just not a fan of it at that price/line offered. Also I'm not sure how he will handle the slower surface compared to Taro Daniel.

Also popped in to post one more bet for the day

Gael Monfils -5.5 @ 1.925 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

Couldnt really find a whole lot of games I really loved personally going through the whole board, a lot I really liked otherwise but not as confident. Still I guess as it's been shown anyone can beat anyone on their day ey? Anderson struggled etc. Normally not as much of a fan of backing Monfils as early as well with little match practice but he's clearly a class above a lesser player who is more of a clay guy.

Do you trust me?

Monfils could be a dead man walking first round squat and dump

Seems like the heat and humid weather is playing a big part in the results so far, if this keeps up it could quite basically be Nadals US Open to lose, although it'll probably be cooler later on in September as well as playing in a later time.

Looks like it affected McDonald today which is a shame, as it was my favourite bet. Nothing to do with Haase being good and winning the match on his own racquet so I can live with those sorts of losses as much as it hurts.

Ironically it seems to be benefitting Monfils in his match who usually struggles hard with his fitness so it's a nice turnaround.

1-2-2, -$107.5

Gonna be a fun US Open in this heat with all these retirements, one would like to hope the ones that look like winning and the ones that don’t even up in the course of one’s time betting but the two voided ones could have just as quickly lost too so it could have been much worse.

John Isner -4.5 @ 1.97 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

Isner has seemingly cracked through the slam barrier making his first ever Grand Slam SF at Wimbledon after having not played since the French Open and he is in a tournament where without a doubt the home fans will cheer him on and he will thrive under that. His record at the US Open is pretty good (maybe not great) but he hasn’t exited early since 2008 where he lost in 1R. Whilst there are seemingly question marks over Isners ability to close out matches as he prefers to play longer ones he is playing a guy who specialises on clay and whos only slam win came against Krajinovic in four sets who hadn’t played in months. Whilst Jarry at times has been exciting young player to watch I’ll go with the proven experience and powerful serve behind Isner here.
Understandably there is some risk with the conditions but we’ll see how he goes

Jack Sock -4, 1.952 (Pinnacle)
Stake: $100

More or less, for similar reasons as Isner's going with a guy playing on home soil who should be capable of beating his opponent, being more conditioned to the US temperatures despite sometimes fitness issues and playing a guy with little success here. He beat Bedene in the first round who's neither a noted US soil guy nor is he a hardcourts guy having only made it past the 1R here in 2015 in 5 attempts.