All Forums | Tennis

US Open One Thread

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 7893
Posts: 135
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 1672
Posted: #101
Aza looks like she is finally starting to get into a groove.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #102
Even after the break, Ana is +441 on bookmaker. Weird line. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #103
line was sharp I guess. Aza with another break. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #104
Don't worry guys, Ana is gonna crumble sooner or later. She has a tell that's a very good indicator of her current form and physical condition. You see, through watching thousands of her matches in all weather and on a variety of different courts, I've discovered a direct correlation between her wins and how perky her nips are. Today, I would venture to say that we're experiencing a below average, almost prude level of perkiness. So don't worry Ted, your money is safe. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #105
Thanks man haha was bz watching the tennis matches.


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #106
Youzhny looks like he is gonna sh.itt the bed.


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #107
here's why I stayed away from that match:

tips from random people but they sound good. 



There is a reason why Hewitt has such a dominant H2H against Youhzny. Here is something you may not know...

When Lleyton was top 10 and challenging for grand slams he would use Youzhny as his hitting partner heading into the majors. Why? Because Youzhny's style is perfectly suited to Lleyton in so many ways, mostly he returns the ball right into Lleyton's preferred hitting zone, and as such used to be the perfect hitting partner for Hewitt heading into grand slams as he would fill the Aussie with great confidence and a positive mindset (dominating Mikhail in the rally's) right as the tournament would start.














I believe Hewitt can win this. If you actually look at Hewitt's results in the past 3 years for best of 5 set matches, his winning percentage looks like this:

2011: 45%
2012: 53%
2013: 61%

Comparing both players overall for best of 5 has Hewitt at 72% & Youzhny at 59%. Now the thing that sticks out the most with me is how long this match will go for. If these guys matches is anything to go by I think more than 3 hours is going to be the answer. This is where I differentiate these players:

Hewitt is used to playing matches that go for over 3 hours. He loves it. He's won 41 matches that have gone for over 3 hours compared to Youzhny's 26. 

Let's look at 5 distinct stats: Ace %, 1st serves in, 1st serve points won, 2nd serve points won & return points won. In matches that go for over 3 hours, all bar 1 of Hewitt's stats INCREASE. Now to Youzhny, for matches over 3 hours all of 5 these stats DECREASE. To me this is the most important thing. Hewitt likes grinding out a win, Youzhny doesn't.


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #108
first comment was from MrSando

second was from Matagascar

these were both from tennisinsight. 


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #109
The ting worrying me about the Youzhny match is the line movement. The guy was favored -175 and after he wins the set and up a break in the second it is was only -600 and then when its tied 3-3 its only -350? It seems quite low. I thought if he he was up a break after taking a set should be at least -900.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #110
Those are good stats and points but i really think Youzhny still takes this match.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #111
I don't have that much experience with analyzing live lines, hope your right man
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #112
still think Youzhny wins?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #113
Id lay off on playing that match.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #114
thanks man. Looking good again for Youzhny. Still though, this match is incredibly tight. To my eye, seems like Youzhny has more pop on his shots though. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #115
Why aren't these guys coming to the net on all these slices? Is it because they are hit deep or something?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #116
They arent coming to the net cuz the slices are pushing them back to the line. They both playing some tough tennis right now. Its a chess match right now. That type of style favors Hewitt but Youzhny is starting to show some life. Damn honestly i dont know where he is getting this energy from cuz he looked done. 


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #117
Youzhny is playing some real sloppy service games that just kills any momentum.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #118
Pity that cut happened. Usually when a player falls, even on grass, they lose a couple points. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #119
missed that entire game that just happened when Hewitt broke...thanks to li ni and commercials...

every break so far has been accompanied by a rebreak, here's hoping
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #120
This match is done. Youzhny man he blew his load. Damn that fwakking cut man. If tjat didnt happeb im sure he would have broken hewitt there  then he totally loses momentum and gets broken right away. What bs man.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #121
WOW lost for words.

Damn I will be the first to admitt that was a lucky win and Hewitt should have taken that one. Damn feels good to be on the right side of a comeback. Wow thank you!!!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 867
Posted: #122
congrats on the pick man! You were due for some good luck. I wish they could play the wawa/joker matches tomorrow. I'm too tired to watch anymore tennis lol. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #123
Adding:

T. Berdych / S. Wawrinka O3.5 Sets -200

D. Istomin RL +8.5 -150


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 1710
Posted: #124
Adding very small live:

M. Granollers RL +9.5
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 5907
Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by TedHJLee:

WOW lost for words.

Damn I will be the first to admitt that was a lucky win and Hewitt should have taken that one. Damn feels good to be on the right side of a comeback. Wow thank you!!!

Congrats on the winner.  Good players deserve to get a lucky win.  I got my 2 earlier this week when i went BIG on Clemson OVER 70 & Texas Tech OVER  59.5.

Good luck on your next plays!  Playing anything in the Murray match?  I'm on Djoko OVER 26 and Wawrinka OVER 3.5 sets.  
All Forums | Tennis
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.