Us Open Rd 1

I f&@!ing knew he’d break at game 7! Just didn’t think he’d be serving this bad. 

Need a second break here. That might be tough.

I don’t bet ladies often. Too unpredictable. I feel like these two have been pretty solid though. Taylor Fritz was moving real good and his backhand was on point. Taking a bunch of favs to come out of the gate hot:

Gauff -1.5 Games 1st Set / Iga -1.5 Games 1st Set / Fritz -1.5 Games 1st Set Parlay @ +117

Vesely/Gojo O3.5 Sets / Stricker/Bonzi O3.5 Sets Parlay @ +123

Stricker -1.5 Game Spread @ -114

Bonzi’s coming back into form but still making a fair amount of mistakes. Stricker looked great at Wimbledon and looks even better here. I think he wins in 4.

GL all.

Bonzi/Stricker Score after 6 games 3-3 @ +100

Any totals for Saturday? 

Medvedev U30.5 -110

That’s all I got today.

GL all

Shelton/Paul O3.5 Sets / Tiafoe ML parlay @ -127 2u

GL all.

Shelton/Tiafoe O3.5 Sets / Djokovic -1.5 Games 1st Set Parlay @ +150

Shelton and Tiafoe haven’t faced too many break points. The rare breaks will be exchanged sporadically throughout the match and not likely close to each other. Unless Shelton’s nervy like he was in his first set at the tournament. I think this goes the distance though.

Fritz playing really well but Djokovic has devoured Frtiz’s second serve in every past meeting. Fritz is serving 50-55% of his first serves and he needs to be at around 65% to keep up with Djoker. I’m betting on the pressure of needing his first serves in wont amount to an increase and Djoker takes the first set by a break. Breaking around game 6-7.

GL all

Joker -6?  Would you?

I was looking at that, but went with over 35.5 and will adjust live need be. 

Missed ya again, sorry bud.

GL bud. Djoker came out hot today. 

@AverageAllstar

 Took under 30.5 live in 3rd set so got lucky just to pay the juice on that one IMO. 

@AverageAllstar

 Thanks for the first set -1.5 winner on Djokovic. The man is absolutely ruthless.  I did a single wager on this and parlayed the Over 3.5 sets.  Let's win it. I think it goes the distance as well.  Some hard hitting ahead. 

Very optimistic for our chances here!

@AverageAllstar

 It’s okay, I took -6 and first set.  Also have it parlayed with over 3.5….but I never win parlays, so we will see!  Thanks buddy!

@Moku_weena

 I’ve found that parlaying tennis is different than other sports. In other sports , you don’t see faves at -1200 or -10000. Tennis is a little more predictable but the lines are leveraged. The -200 to -800 line is essential for me to make money betting tennis. It’s not cool. Making the the single bet on a spread and O/U or picking the narrow fav or betting the dog is cool and recommended by experts but over time, I like the short parlays. 

GL on your play! Our play!

I also single wagered the Big Foe match Over 3.5 sets.  Liked it too much. 

Thanks for the juicy parlay winner!!! 

Looking fwd to your thoughts for Wednesday's matches!  Possibly another juicy parlay?  BOL buddy. 

Rublev is 13-10 in 1st set wins this season on hard, Medvedev is 29-8. Rublev’s done better at the US Open so far, losing only one 1st set, Medvedev the same, Rublev’s been less convincing in his wins though. Medvedev has won all 8 of their 1st set meetings with 2 of those going to a tiebreak. What matters is what happens in their up coming match and this kind of trend doesn’t always stay the course but one thing you can count on is Medvedev starting off solid & focused.

Rublev doesn’t have the same consistency level as Medvedev as he gets a lot of his points from big winners. It’s tough to come out firing winners right from the get go especially against someone like Medvedev. At the US Open, outside of De Minaur’s immaculate start and O’Connell’s on court juicing, Medvedev has been flawless winning nearly all his sets by 2 breaks, (-4 games.)

Medvedev 1st Set -1.5 games @ -111

GL all.

Adding:

Alcaraz/Zverev O3.5 @ -131 2U

Last 4 plays:

Medvedev U30.5 -110 

Shelton/Paul O3.5 Sets / Tiafoe ML parlay @ -127 2u 

Shelton/Tiafoe O3.5 Sets / Djokovic -1.5 Games 1st Set Parlay @ +150 

Medvedev 1st Set -1.5 games @ -111 

Needed that after that 0-4 on Sept 1st.

Lets hit this last one:

Alcaraz/Zverev O3.5 @ -131 2U

Thanks for Medv first set spread winner!  

Like that Over 3.5 Sets.  Z has to take one. 

I mean I get your logic but he just did 5 sets vs medicore sinner....and man that's a hard learn. GL

Mediocre Sinner? Next to Medvedev, Djokovic and Alcaraz, he’s probably the next best player in the world.