Biggest Underdogs System

Hi all,

I have worked in data analysis for 20 years, and spent the 2018 MLB season tracking data and creating some staking algorithms.

2018 Performacnce at this URL: 

The Top Dogs system is actually an amalgamation of a 7 different models and incorporates multiple staking strategies in a unique combination that I’ve put together to capitalize on when underdogs teams win while minimizing risk (but there’s always risk in sports betting).

I'll try nd update this thread every day with how this system is doing in 2019.

Oops - bad link - here's the 2018 URL: https://topdogs.substack.com/p/the-top-dogs-system-in-2018

YESTERDAY:

6 bets

2W-4L

8.68% ROI

YESTERDAY:

TOR - 2.60 - 6u

BAL - 2.50 - 10u

MIA - 2.35 - 12u - W

MIN - 2.25 - 15u - W

OAK - 2.25 - 10u

TEX - 2.20 - 4u

More details and tables and graphs are here:  https://topdogs.substack.com/p/mlb-picks-and-results-sun-apr-7-free

Shoot me a DM and I'll set you up with a week on the daily email I send each morning that has unit sizes.

Yes, I'll even post my results when I have a day when ALL of my picks crash and burn. :)

My philosophy is that any system shares as much data as possible, even when it hits bad days or losing streaks.

YESTERDAY:

6 bets

0W-6L

49u invested

-49u loss

-100% ROI

2019 SEASON:

66 bets

26W-40L

437u invested

42.80u profit

9.79% ROI

YESTERDAY:

OAK - 2.55 - 4u - L

BAL - 2.50 - 7u - L

MIA - 2.50 - 8u - L

TOR - 2.35 - 13u - L

TEX - 2.35 - 11u - L

CIN - 2.25 - 6u - L

TODAY:

Looking at these 6 today.

CWS

NYY

WAS

SD

BAL

STL

Details and tables and graphs are here.:

https://topdogs.substack.com/p/top-dogs-picks-and-results-mon-apr

Shoot me a DM and I'll set you up with a week on the daily morning email I send each morning that has unit sizes.

3/6 yesterday. Made up a bit of ground from that 0/6 Sunday. :)

(unit size is 0.1% of bankroll)

YESTERDAY:

6 bets

3W-3L

99u invested

18.35u profit

18.54% ROI

2019 SEASON:

72 bets

29W-43L

536u invested

61.15u profit

11.41% ROI

YESTERDAY:

CWS - 2.35 - 9u

NYY - 2.30 - 16u

WAS - 2.15 - 19u

SD - 2.15 - 25u - W

BAL - 2.15 - 21u - W

STL - 2.05 - 9u - W

TODAY:

Looking at these 6 today. Will come back and post unit sizes before the games, if possible. TOR, DET, and CWS play at 2 pm.

TOR 3.00

MIN 2.85

NYY 2.65

MIA 2.60

DET 2.45

CWS 2.35

Details and tables and graphs are here:

https://topdogs.substack.com/p/top-dog-picks-and-results-tues-apr-7f5

Shoot me a DM and I'll set you up with a week on the daily morning email I send each morning that has unit sizes.

2/6 yesterday, but still a 22% ROI. Sweet.

(unit size is 0.1% of bankroll)

YESTERDAY:

6 bets

2W-4L

69u invested

15.45u profit

22.39% ROI

2019 SEASON:

78 bets

31W-47L

605u invested

76.60u profit

12.66% ROI

YESTERDAY:

TOR 3.00 - 12u - W

MIN 2.85 - 17u - W

NYY 2.65 - 18u

MIA 2.60 - 13u

DET 2.45 - 8u

CWS 2.35 1u

TODAY:

Looking at these underdogs for today... lines are still moving around a lot. I'll come back and post unit sizes before game time.

MIN 2.80

PIT 2.50

WAS 2.50

CWS 2.35

MIA 2.35

TEX 2.35

Details and tables and graphs are here:

https://topdogs.substack.com/p/top-dog-picks-and-results-wed-apr-295

Shoot me a DM and I'll set you up with a week on the daily morning email I send each morning that has unit sizes.

3/6 of our underdogs won yesterday. Keep it rolling. :)

YESTERDAY:

6 bets

3W-3L

71u invested

13.70u profit

19.30% ROI

2019 SEASON:

84 bets

34W-50L

676u invested

90.30u profit

13.36% ROI

YESTERDAY:

MIN - 2.80 - 7u

PIT - 2.50 - 15u - W

WAS - 2.50 - 17u - W

CWS - 2.35 - 18u

MIA - 2.35 - 12u

TEX - 2.35 - 2u - W

TODAY:

TOR - 2.65

MIA - 2.40

BAL - 2.40

STL - 2.20

KC - 2.10

DET - 2.10

Daily and YTD details and tables and graphs are here:

https://topdogs.substack.com/p/top-dog-picks-and-results-thurs-apr-ca2

Send me a DM and I'll set you up with a week on the daily morning email I send each morning that has unit sizes.

(unit size is 0.1% of bankroll - so, if your units are $1, having a bankroll of 1000 is ideal - last year when testing this system, I needed a max of 256 units on any one day, but I'm financially conservative, so having a much larger bankroll is ideal)