Pointwise is a good newsletter for information. They release 2 college #1 rated plays every week that are close to 63% past 2 years and a #2 rated play that went 23-9 (72%) last 2 years also . I always do my own capping and then check on those . Last year PW's MNF pick went 12-5. Their plays coinsided with mine and were hit good.
Mathmatical Rate Guide PW also has a mathmatical rate guide section listing all teams that are to play that week that will give you their computer generated difference between teams. I compare PW's mathmatical rate guide with my line and also have compared some of their big mathmatical rate guide fav's -30 -38 -42 with the actual Vegas/sportsbooks.
For example: ( as a guide only) In previous years PW would have Okl State - Alabama - TCU and some other heavy hitters favored by 30 /38/42 vs the bottom tier teams on the guide. The actual Vegas line would be like 25 /28 /34 respectivly. This would show me the Vegas line to be soft. These game finals would be big blowout 42-7 / 52-14 / 62-3 games. I would isolate and list all the big spreads (25+) the rate guide would show every week and even put 3 in a 10pt teaser. I only use home fav's for this not road favs. Team must be playing@ home. Even better when a heavy hitter is off a road loss coming back home w. a big #
You could almost guarantee this year a heavy hitter team like USC Alabama LSU Oregon could be favored on the PW mathmatical rate guide by 22 /30 or 35 and the vegas line would be about 5-7 points lower. Meaning ROUT!
They have nothing to lose!! if they win you pay! if they lose you pay, in some cases.... Always buy guaranteed picks so you dont get burned and pay for losers!! Theses forum threads and free picks provided are probably as reliable as the "pros"
IN MY OPINION, Vegas is the only REAL pro!!!
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