Mathematics is the answer to almost every question in the universe.
The books have the best of every Mathematical Algorithm known to man. Thats not the question.
The loophole in the entire equation is they don't always use it. Often times they set a total that they feel will draw the most equal action. They do not set the True best Mathematical Total.
Thus my quest to set and use the total. The Power Total. The True Best Mathematical Total.
Falcon Sports
8
Always believe in the Power of True Mathematics.
Mathematics is the answer to almost every question in the universe.
The books have the best of every Mathematical Algorithm known to man. Thats not the question.
The loophole in the entire equation is they don't always use it. Often times they set a total that they feel will draw the most equal action. They do not set the True best Mathematical Total.
Thus my quest to set and use the total. The Power Total. The True Best Mathematical Total.
Here is another thing. I've stated before, use the most recent data. The season long data only makes up about 20% of my Formula but at this point of the CBB season, the season data and the most recent data will overlap but as games are played and data accumulates, the gap will widen between the two.
Falcon Sports
3
Here is another thing. I've stated before, use the most recent data. The season long data only makes up about 20% of my Formula but at this point of the CBB season, the season data and the most recent data will overlap but as games are played and data accumulates, the gap will widen between the two.
Here is the question that I've been trying to answer and its played out here in various threads.
Go 100% automated and play every selection. This will be very high volume. Over 300 monthly plays easily this time of year. The win percentage would be 55% but the wagers would be much smaller and the variance would be much larger. Wild swings in bankroll both up and down. My workload would increase 4 fold. But 55% Winners is hard to ignore with the volume that would be generated. And the pressure on me personally would be basically eliminated.
Or I could do what we are doing in this thread.
Play the very best of the best in a one at a time format. Winning at a minimum 57.14% and placing very large wagers. The pressure goes way up on me because I have to Win, there is no alternative. But my workload decreases dramatically and variance and wild swings shouldn't be a problem.
I won't do both, so don't suggest that. It's not an option for me.
PM or email any response. I don't read comments
Falcon Sports
2
Here is the question that I've been trying to answer and its played out here in various threads.
Go 100% automated and play every selection. This will be very high volume. Over 300 monthly plays easily this time of year. The win percentage would be 55% but the wagers would be much smaller and the variance would be much larger. Wild swings in bankroll both up and down. My workload would increase 4 fold. But 55% Winners is hard to ignore with the volume that would be generated. And the pressure on me personally would be basically eliminated.
Or I could do what we are doing in this thread.
Play the very best of the best in a one at a time format. Winning at a minimum 57.14% and placing very large wagers. The pressure goes way up on me because I have to Win, there is no alternative. But my workload decreases dramatically and variance and wild swings shouldn't be a problem.
I won't do both, so don't suggest that. It's not an option for me.
First off, thank you sir! I agree with Lonetree that you have something very special!! exceeding even what you projected. Stay safe Falcon, and God speed brother. Not gonna lie we'll all miss you!
2
@MITM
First off, thank you sir! I agree with Lonetree that you have something very special!! exceeding even what you projected. Stay safe Falcon, and God speed brother. Not gonna lie we'll all miss you!
I will be continuing (The Grand Challenge) and the one at a time Format. I will be here through Saturday. I don't want to leave anyone hanging with the championship games this weekend.
After that I'm unsure. It has helped by not reading the comments. The win rate is still close to 80% and thats unrealistic longterm. The goal for me is (400-300) (57.14%) Winners, playing against a (-110) line on totals. And this a minimum goal, we may do better but not 80% Winners.
And u guys know my thoughts. Nothing or no one can do 60% over 1000 plays. If u think u can, The Grand Challenge awaits you.
I'll hang around through the FSU/Louisville game Saturday night.
Falcon Sports
8
I will be continuing (The Grand Challenge) and the one at a time Format. I will be here through Saturday. I don't want to leave anyone hanging with the championship games this weekend.
After that I'm unsure. It has helped by not reading the comments. The win rate is still close to 80% and thats unrealistic longterm. The goal for me is (400-300) (57.14%) Winners, playing against a (-110) line on totals. And this a minimum goal, we may do better but not 80% Winners.
And u guys know my thoughts. Nothing or no one can do 60% over 1000 plays. If u think u can, The Grand Challenge awaits you.
I'll hang around through the FSU/Louisville game Saturday night.
i think this a hard question for an outsider to answer because only you know how much work it requires to do what you doing and how much is going to require if you changed and bet everything. but whatever path you go i wish you luck
0
@MITM
i think this a hard question for an outsider to answer because only you know how much work it requires to do what you doing and how much is going to require if you changed and bet everything. but whatever path you go i wish you luck
If u tried to reach me today, I've been out with an old associate of mine. He has been handling some money for me. Hard to believe a big illegal book still runs from Birmingham to Nashville. I used to be a major player in this book, I even ran a small area for a while but I left that part of the business years ago. The guy who runs my old area is still an associate of mine. He still has 50-100 players, mostly in Alabama and even still runs a parlay card business.
I even went on a few drop-offs and collections today. Talk about a walk down memory lane. Most of u guys were never involved with that world.
I still have my connections and can still use this as an OUT. An out to u new guys is a place to get down on your bets. I thought I'd keep this option open.
Just a heads up, I'm back in my office now and we may have a late play. So check back when Harvard goes final.
Falcon Sports
9
If u tried to reach me today, I've been out with an old associate of mine. He has been handling some money for me. Hard to believe a big illegal book still runs from Birmingham to Nashville. I used to be a major player in this book, I even ran a small area for a while but I left that part of the business years ago. The guy who runs my old area is still an associate of mine. He still has 50-100 players, mostly in Alabama and even still runs a parlay card business.
I even went on a few drop-offs and collections today. Talk about a walk down memory lane. Most of u guys were never involved with that world.
I still have my connections and can still use this as an OUT. An out to u new guys is a place to get down on your bets. I thought I'd keep this option open.
Just a heads up, I'm back in my office now and we may have a late play. So check back when Harvard goes final.
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on ur next adventure where ever u go.u were one of the best in the forum.
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