Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)

@ABooksNightmare

 235.73 to be exact

@MITM

as you should. Be well.

I've ran this thread for 41 days now and I think I had as few potential plays today, than any day so far.

I just about had nothing today. 

Even the filters didn't help today.

Falcon Sports 

I like to look at it like a battle. 

The Falcons Mathematical Power Total of (235.73)

Vs

The books perceived total of (230.5)

My 8 step Mathematical Formula produces a total, the books post a total, we see who is better.

Right now the score is (44-26) in favor of The Falcon.

The goal of The Grand Challenge is for that record to be (600-400) after 1000 plays. It would mean riches beyond our wildest dreams.

My personal projection and goal is to hit (57.14%) Winners over 700 plays or to (400-300) by Thanksgiving 2024. I believe my Mathematical Formula can do this at a minimum. The profits would be outstanding here as we are not flat betting but recalculating our bets after each one. 

Let's see who wins the battle tonight.

Falcon Sports 

Played around with some ratings for both Clev and Dallas each individually and vs similar defense and offensive stats/ratings as similar opponents in the past 10 games and then last ...in last 2, 3 or 5 games if I could and got CLEV rates at 235 total and DALLAS rates at game total ....and then backran a similar way with the previous 10 and got CLEV in a much lower total and Dallas roughly the same 

230-235 did not compute with both sets so looks like 230.5 is a Mason Dixon line with all other variables equal not seen in the lineup

Using a similar formula last night with LA Clips -Charlotte....got a wild variation 2011 vs 234 total  but noticed Clips play light on offense vs bad teams so I went UNDER and it worked off of a 228.5 total

@Last2thirst

 Ok, good luck with that. 

My Mathematical Formula says that 230.5 is too low. I'm projecting 236pts to be scored tonight and I expect to be right (57.14%) of the time. Its really just that simple. 

Falcon Sports 

Thanks, just trying stuff and doing my horse ratings and patterns as well the next few days.....I find something every year that I latch onto to work for me for a few months and then the season switches.

In horse racing, you get the warmer weather and younger horses hitting the track so results early in the season to get a return for spending $50-$500K on a yearling press the focus haha

For NCAAB,  I find coaches change their systems a little in end of Jan and Feb to give their teams varied versality to deploy or guard against come tourney season in March

NBA tightens up on totals notoriously, after the All-Star game...with contending teams

@Last2thirst

 I don't have to think about any of that.

My Formula is kept very very current and it will recognize and pick right up on any pattern automatically.

Its really quite remarkable. Its like how an NFL team did back in September has little bearing on how they are playing right now. 

I built this to take into account automatically any short term variance. My Formula will pick right up on it. 

I don't study these games, watch any games. I purposely avoid anybodys opinion on any game. That is actually the reason I rarely watch games, I do not want my opinion to be an influence.

When u get to this level, u know u have made it. When I'm smart enough to not watch a game because i don't want to influence any future selection. It does not matter what you or I think about a game.

I personally have no idea how many points will be scored in the Dallas game tonight and neither do you. I do know mathemically they should score more than 230.5 pts (57.14%) of the time. 

U see its all Mathematics, its not opinion. Handicapping is just opinion. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 In finding the Dallas NBA game today as a selection to play, do you look at all NBA games today and work your formula until you find one that is attractive vs. the books, total wise? I notice all lines are under double digits, which you seem to avoid big lines (double digits) normally?

Is so, College games, B'ball, F'ball, would take some time or do you stop once you find a "live one" so to speak ....

Thanks for your selections..........

@Last2thirst

 Your looking in the wrong window, all that stuff is immaterial to him, very simple, uncomplicated ..... he's right, 57 + is right, anything else above a bonus..... 

@Coben

 The spread has no bearing on any selection. Dallas could be (-3) or (-23). That is not a part of any of this.

I've listed several times the qualifications to be a play. Go back and find them.

In the nba, I must have a five point minimum difference to be considered for a play. Today my lines were very close to the books line in most games. I also have filters in place to narrow down my selections to ultimately come up with the choice.

Today was very easy.

Falcon Sports 

Totally agree with the MATH part and do not watch many of my plays, namely because, it conflicts with my successful horse betting which is all watching sometimes to look for clues in the horses, toteboard and warmups

Its funny, there have been 70 plays posted in this thread and I remember 3 of them. Thats how little I think about this stuff.

The Army/Navy game Over 27.5 that i won on a game ending safety.

The Titans/Texans game that i lost when the Texans had an overtime touchdown called back.

And lastly the loss I took on Christmas Eve when the Tampa Bay game stayed under 43. Lost this one by a point as Jacksonville missed 2 (2pt) conversions that they had no business going for.

Other than those 3, I don't really remember any of the plays.

Falcon Sports 

@ABooksNightmare

 Sent you a friend request...

@MITM

 TY!  Looking forward to seeing how it all works out.  BOL!

@MITM

 Nice try.  Brutal second half scoring by Dallas 

Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)

Starting Bankroll ($1000)

Current Bankroll ($2679.14)

Record (44-27)

(61.97%) Winners 

Play #72

Boston College Over 47.5 (-110) CFB 

$267.91 to win $243.50

Falcon Sports 

Can I get your total please...... 

Happy New Year to all.  It was a good experience.

@MITM

 got it at 47.0 then it went back up to 47.5 lets get this cash today and thanks for all that u do 

@MITM

 Does weather play a factor at all when computing your power total ..I heard the weather Is pretty bad out ...

@handycat

 I was thinking the samething especially when a play is posted the night before