40-30 CFB 34-21-1 NFL 6-3 - "GOY" type plays Assumptions for tracking purposes: All picks are "to win" 1 unit including "GOY" type plays. All picks are at [-20] regardless if I'm buying a half point or not. 23 games above .500 74 wins = 7,400 or 74 units 51 losses = [6,120] or 61.20 units Total net profit = 12.8 units worst case scenario TONIGHT: STEELERS -2.5 [-20] Steelers let me down Sunday but see them bouncing back on the short week and winning by double digits. Huge play in CFB & NBA too!
Since Vanzack is on the attack, let's take a moment and turn the spotlight on him.
Let's compare his unit total to mine on an apples-to-apples basis.
By his math he is +16.2 units on the season.
But keep in mind he doesn't "flat bet".
He typically bets between 1-4 units, with 2.5 units being the average.
Therefore, his 16.2 units gained is based on an average bet amount of 2.5 units, which is 2.5 times the 1 unit I have assumed in my 12.8 unit worst case scenario.
This means that in order to accurately compare results one must reduce his units to reflect a 1 unit flat.
By doing this his actual unit total is +6.8 units which is significantly less than mine.
There's a reason why he doesn't track wins-losses and it's because he's probably average at best.
Regardless, since he thinks "records don't matter", only profit, then it's important that people know how to accurately compare the two.
And since he claims he knows "numbers", this is math he should not only understand but agree that it is the only true comparison.
So, which is better?
60% win rate with a profit of 12.8 units or an "average" win rate with a profit of 6.8 units?
It's not rocket science, right "assman"?