System Plays for Monday, 5 February 2024
Matches:
APOEL - AEK Larnaca
Cyprus, Cyta Championship @ 18:00 CET
Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 CET
Casa Pia - Boavista
Portugal, Liga Portugal @ 21:15
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) AEK Larnaca +0.25 (1.97)
(0.6 Units) Sevilla +0.5 (1.74)
(3.4 Units) Boavista +0.5 (1.78)
System Plays for Tuesday, 6 February 2024
Matches:
Motherwell - Ross County
Scotland, Premiership @ 20:45 CET
Cambridge Utd - Bolton
England, League One @ 20:45 CET
Exeter - Peterborough
England, League One @ 20:45 CET
System Plays:
(2.6 Units) Motherwell -0.25 (1.73)
(0.6 Units) Cambridge Utd +0.5 (1.81)
(0.6 Units) Exeter +0.75 (1.79)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Monday
Fixed Stakes:
AEK Larnaca +0.25 (1.97): 2:2 / Won 1.455 Units (Half Stake)
Sevilla +0.5 (1.74): 2:1 / Won 2.22 Units
Boavista +0.5 (1.78): 0:0 / Won 2.34 Units
Day Balance:
Won 3 (2.5) / Won 6.015 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) AEK Larnaca +0.25 (1.97): 2:2 / Won 0.291 Units (Half Stake)
(0.6) Sevilla +0.5 (1.74): 2:1 / Won 0.444 Units
(3.4) Boavista +0.5 (1.78): 0:0 / Won 2.652 Units
Day Balance:
Won 3 (2.5) / Won 3.387 Units
Tuesday
Fixed Stakes:
Motherwell -0.25 (1.73): 5:0 / Won 2.19 Units
Cambridge Utd +0.5 (1.81): Void* / -
Exeter +0.75 (1.79): 2:1 / Won 2.37 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 / Won 4.56 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(2.6) Motherwell -0.25 (1.73): 5:0 / Won 1.898 Units
(0.6) Cambridge Utd +0.5 (1.81): Void* / -
(0.6) Exeter +0.75 (1.79): 2:1 / Won 0.474 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 / Won 2.372 Units
---------------------
* The match was abandoned/suspended (after 9 minutes of play, at 0:0) due to waterlogged pitch.
The rescheduled date for the full replay of this fixture has not been established at this time.
In conclusion all wagers on this match are void/cancelled.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 33 (32.5) - Lost 20 (17) / Won 27.375 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 33 (32.5) - Lost 20 (17) / Won 13.73 Units
System Plays for Wednesday, 7 February 2024
Matches:
Mainz - Union Berlin
Germany, Bundesliga @ 18:30 CET
Aston Villa - Chelsea
England, FA Cup @ 21:00 CET
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
Spain, Copa del Rey @ 21:30 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Union Berlin +0.5 (1.85)
(0.6 Units) Aston Villa -0.25 (1.80)
(0.6 Units) Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.72)
Note:
The balance on all "national cup" type matches to this date is:
Won 2 - Lost 5 (4.5)
This is a very bad balance compared to everything else played in my system.
I decided that from today to include plays on any national cup matches (no matter even if those are cup finals) only if other available matches for that day (which are OK with my handicapping criteria) all from some too obscure national competitions.
System Plays for Thursday, 8 February 2024
Matches:
Mezokovesd-Zsory - Paks
Hungary, OTP Bank Liga @ 16:00 CET
Kecskemeti TE - DVTK
Hungary, OTP Bank Liga @ 20:00 CET
Rosario Central - Ind. Rivadavia
Argentina, Copa de la Liga Profesional @ 23:30 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Paks to Win (1.90)
(1 Unit) Kecskemeti TE -0.25 (1.91)
(1.3 Units) Ind. Rivadavia +0.5 (1.71)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Wednesday
Fixed Stakes:
Union Berlin +0.5 (1.85): 1:1 / Won 2.55 Units
Aston Villa -0.25 (1.80): 1:3 / Lost 3 Units
Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.72): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Lost 3.45 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Union Berlin +0.5 (1.85): 1:1 / Won 0.51 Units
(0.6) Aston Villa -0.25 (1.80): 1:3 / Lost 0.6 Units
(0.6) Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.72): 0:1 / Lost 0.6 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Lost 0.69 Units
Thursday
Fixed Stakes:
Paks to Win (1.90): 1:0 / Won 2.70 Units
Kecskemeti TE -0.25 (1.91): 2:1 / Won 2.73 Units
Ind. Rivadavia +0.5 (1.71): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 2.43 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Paks to Win (1.90): 1:0 / Won 0.54 Units
(1) Kecskemeti TE -0.25 (1.91): 2:1 / Won 0.91 Units
(1.3) Ind. Rivadavia +0.5 (1.71): 0:1 / Lost 1.3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 0.15 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 36 (35.5) - Lost 23 (20) / Won 26.355 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 36 (35.5) - Lost 23 (20) / Won 13.19 Units
System Plays for Friday, 9 February 2024
Matches:
Hamburger SV - Hannover
Germany, 2. Bundesliga @ 18:30 CET
Como - Brescia
Italy, Serie B @ 20:30 CET
Estrela - Portimonense
Portugal, Liga Portugal @ 21:15 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Hamburger SV to Win (1.71)
(2 Units) Como to Win (1.80)
(0.6 Units) Portimonense +0.75 (1.73)
System Plays for Saturday, 10 February 2024
Matches:
Tottenham - Brighton
England, Premier League @ 16:00 CET
AS Roma - Inter
Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 CET
Paris SG - Lille
France, Ligue 1 @ 21:00 CET
System Plays:
(1.3 Units) Brighton +1 (1.72)
(1.1 Units) Inter to Win (1.87)
(1.2 Units) Paris SG to Win (1.75)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Friday
Fixed Stakes:
Hamburger SV to Win (1.71): 3:4 / Lost 3 Units
Como to Win (1.80): 1:0 / Won 2.40 Units
Portimonense +0.75 (1.73): 0:3 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Lost 3.60 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Hamburger SV to Win (1.71): 3:4 / Lost 0.6 Units
(2) Como to Win (1.80): 1:0 / Won 1.60 Units
(0.6) Portimonense +0.75 (1.73): 0:3 / Lost 0.6 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Won 0.40 Units
Saturday
Fixed Stakes:
Brighton +1 (1.72): 1:2 / Pushed
Inter to Win (1.87): 4:2 / Won 2.61 Units
(Paris SG to Win (1.75): 3:1 / Won 2.25 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Pushed 1 / Won 4.86 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(1.3) Brighton +1 (1.72): 1:2 / Pushed
(1.1) Inter to Win (1.87): 4:2 / Won 0.957 Units
(1.2) Paris SG to Win (1.75): 3:1 / Won 0.90 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Pushed 1 / Won 1.857 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 39 (38.5) - Lost 25 (22) - Pushed 1 / Won 27.615 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 39 (38.5) - Lost 25 (22) - Pushed 1 / Won 15.447 Units
System Plays for Sunday, 11 February 2024
Matches:
Genoa - Atalanta
Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 CET
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid
Spain,, LaLiga @ 18:30 CET
AC Milan - Napoli
Italy, Serie A @ 20:45 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Atalanta -0.25 (1.75)
(1.2 Units) Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.77)
(0.6 Units) AC Milan -0.25 (1.76)
System Plays for Monday, 12 February 2024
Matches:
Kayserispor - Besiktas
Turkey, Super Lig @ 18:00 CET
Crystal Palace - Chelsea
England, Premier League @ 21:00 CET
Almeria - Athletic Bilbao
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Besiktas -0.25 (1.73)
(0.6 Units) Chelsea to Win (1.75)
(1.8 Units) Athletic Bilbao to Win (1.83)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Sunday
Fixed Stakes:
Atalanta -0.25 (1.75): 4:1 / Won 2.25 Units
Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.77): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
AC Milan -0.25 (1.76): 1:0 / Won 2.28 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 1.53 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Atalanta -0.25 (1.75): 4:1 / Won 0.45 Units
(1.2) Atletico Madrid -0.25 (1.77): 0:1 / Lost 1.2 Units
(0.6) AC Milan -0.25 (1.76): 1:0 / Won 0.456 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Lost 0.294 Units
Monday
Fixed Stakes:
Besiktas -0.25 (1.73): 0:0 / Lost 1.5 Units (Half Stake)
Chelsea to Win (1.75): 3:1 / Won 2.25 Units
Athletic Bilbao to Win (1.83): 0:0 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1.5) / Lost 2.25 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Besiktas -0.25 (1.73): 0:0 / Lost 0.3 Units (Half Stake)
(0.6) Chelsea to Win (1.75): 3:1 / Won 0.45 Units
(1.8) Athletic Bilbao to Win (1.83): 0:0 / Lost 1.8 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1.5) / Lost 1.65 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 42 (41.5) - Lost 28 (24.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 26.895 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 42 (41.5) - Lost 28 (24.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 13.503 Units
System Plays for Tuesday, 13 February 2024
Matches:
Norwich - Watford
England, Championship @ 20:45 CET
Bristol City - Southampton
England, Championship @ 21:00 CET
West Brom - Cardiff
England, Championship @ 21:00 CET
System Plays:
(2.5 Units) Norwich -0.25 (1.85)
(0.6 Units) Southampton to Win (1.81)
(1.3 Units) West Brom to Win (1.72)
I wanted to check if there is substantial difference in results between betting the home teams versus betting the away teams, because I had a feeling that home teams performed significantly better until now in my system.
Here is an interesting stat which resulted.
Up until this date (since 20 January), if I am excluding all wagers which were on "cup matches" we have:
Betting on all HOME teams:
Won 26 - Lost 12.5
Considering betting just on home teams = 100%, this is 67.53% winners.
Betting on all AWAY teams:
Won 15.5 - Lost 8.5
Considering betting just on away teams = 100%, this is 64.58% winners.
These percentages are pretty close.
So my conclusion is that does not worth concentrating on betting more home teams vs betting more away teams at this point.
System Plays for Wednesday, 14 February 2024
Matches:
Plymouth - Coventry
England, Championship @ 20:45 CET
Stoke - QPR
England, Championship @ 20:45 CET
Millwall - Ipswich
England, Championship @ 21:00 CET
System Plays:
(1.8 Units) Plymouth +0.5 (1.87)
(0.6 Units) QPR +0.5 (1.73)
(1.3 Units) Ipswich -0.25 (1.72)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Tuesday
Fixed Stakes:
Norwich -0.25 (1.85): 4:2 / Won 2.55 Units
Southampton to Win (1.81): 1:3 / Lost 3 Units
West Brom to Win (1.72): 2:0 / Won 2.16 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 1.71 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(2.5) Norwich -0.25 (1.85): 4:2 / Won 2.125 Units
(0.6) Southampton to Win (1.81): 1:3 / Lost 0.6 Units
(1.3) West Brom to Win (1.72): 2:0 / Won 0.936 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 2.461 Units
Wednesday
Fixed Stakes:
Plymouth +0.5 (1.87): 2:2 / Won 2.61 Units
QPR +0.5 (1.73): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
Ipswich -0.25 (1.72): 4:0 / Won 2.16 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 1.77 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(1.8) Plymouth +0.5 (1.87): 2:2 / Won 1.566 Units
(0.6) QPR +0.5 (1.73): 0:1 / Lost 0.6 Units
(1.3) Ipswich -0.25 (1.72): 4:0 / Won 0.936 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 1.902 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 46 (45.5) - Lost 30 (26.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 30.375 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 46 (45.5) - Lost 30 (26.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 17.866 Units
System Plays for Thursday, 15 February 2024
Matches:
Baladiyat El Mahalla - Future FC
Egypt, Premier League @ 15:00 CET
Nea Salamis - Zakakiou
Cyprus, Cyta Championship @ 18:00 CET
APOEL - Aris
Cyprus, Cyta Championship @ 19:00 CET
System Plays:
(1.1 Units) Future FC to Win (1.85)
(0.8 Units) Zakakiou +0.75 (1.76)
(0.6 Units) Aris +0.25 (1.90)
System Plays for Friday, 16 February 2024
Matches:
Torino - Lecce
Italy, Serie A @ 19:00 CET
Villarreal - Getafe
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 CET
Famalicao - Rio Ave
Portugal, Liga Portugal @ 21:15 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Torino to Win (1.82)
(1.1 Units) Getafe +0.5 (1.88)
(1.9 Units) Rio Ave +0.5 (1.74)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Thursday
Fixed Stakes:
Future FC to Win (1.85): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
Zakakiou +0.75 (1.76): 1:1 / Won 2.28 Units
Aris +0.25 (1.90): 0:1 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Lost 3.72 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(1.1) Future FC to Win (1.85): 0:1 / Lost 1.1 Units
(0.8) Zakakiou +0.75 (1.76): 1:1 / Won 0.608 Units
(0.6) Aris +0.25 (1.90): 0:1 / Lost 0.6 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 / Lost 1.092 Units
Friday
Fixed Stakes:
Torino to Win (1.82): 2:0 / Won 2.46 Units
Getafe +0.5 (1.88): 1:1 / Won 2.64 Units
Rio Ave +0.5 (1.74): 1:2 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Won 2.1 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Torino to Win (1.82): 2:0 / Won 0.492 Units
(1.1) Getafe +0.5 (1.88): 1:1 / Won 0.968 Units
(1.9) Rio Ave +0.5 (1.74): 1:2 / Lost 1.9 Units
Day Balance:
Won 2 - Lost 1 / Lost 0.44 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 49 (48.5) - Lost 33 (29.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 28.755 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 49 (48.5) - Lost 33 (29.5) - Pushed 1 / Won 16.334 Units
System Plays for Saturday, 17 February 2024
Matches:
Wolfsburg - Dortmund
Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 CET
Newcastle - Bournemouth
England, Premier League @ 16:00 CET
Celta Vigo - Barcelona
Spain, LaLiga @ 18:30 CET
System Plays:
(2.8 Units) Dortmund -0.25 (1.80)
(0.6 Units) Newcastle -0.25 (1.73)
(0.6 Units) Barcelona to Win (1.86)
System Plays for Sunday, 18 February 2024
Matches:
Luton - Manchester Utd
England, Premier League @ 17:30 CET
Frosinone - AS Roma
Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 CET
Monza - AC Milan
Italy, Serie A @ 20:45 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Luton +0.75 (1.84)
(2.4 Units) AS Roma to Win (1.93)
(1.2 Units) AC Milan to Win (1.78)
Results and balance for the last 2 days
Saturday
Fixed Stakes:
Dortmund -0.25 (1.80): 1:1 / Lost 1.5 Units (Half Stake)
Newcastle -0.25 (1.73): 2:2 / Lost 1.5 Units (Half Stake)
Barcelona to Win (1.86): 2:1 / Won 2.58 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1) / Lost 0.42 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(2.8) Dortmund -0.25 (1.80): 1:1 / Lost 1.4 Units (Half Stake)
(0.6) Newcastle -0.25 (1.73): 2:2 / Lost 0.3 Units (Half Stake)
(0.6) Barcelona to Win (1.86): 2:1 / Won 0.516 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1) / Lost 1.184 Units
Sunday
Fixed Stakes:
Luton +0.75 (1.84): 1:2 / Lost 1.5 Units (Half Stake)
AS Roma to Win (1.93): 3:0 / Won 2.79 Units
AC Milan to Win (1.78): 2:4 / Lost 3 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1.5) / Lost 1.71 Units
---------------------
Variable Stakes:
(0.6) Luton +0.75 (1.84): 1:2 / Lost 0.3 Units (Half Stake)
(2.4) AS Roma to Win (1.93): 3:0 / Won 2.232 Units
(1.2) AC Milan to Win (1.78): 2:4 / Lost 1.2 Units
Day Balance:
Won 1 - Lost 2 (1.5) / Won 0.732 Units
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OVERALL BALANCE:
Fixed Stakes:
Won 51 (50.5) - Lost 37 (32) - Pushed 1 / Won 26.625 Units
Variable Stakes:
Won 51 (50.5) - Lost 37 (32) - Pushed 1 / Won 15.882 Units
System Plays for Monday, 19 February 2024
Matches:
Basaksehir - Kayserispor
Turkey, Super Lig @ 18:00 CET
Everton - Crystal Palace
England, Premier League @ 21:00 CET
Athletic Bilbao - Girona
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 CET
System Plays:
(2.2 Units) Basaksehir to Win (1.80)
(2 Units) Everton to Win (1.75)
(1 Unit) Athletic Bilbao to Win (1.90)
System Plays for Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Matches:
Plymouth - West Brom
England, Championship @ 20:45 CET
Oxford Utd - Northampton
England, League One @ 20:45 CET
Reading - Port Vale
England, League One @ 20:45 CET
System Plays:
(0.6 Units) Plymouth +0.5 (1.82)
(3.1 Units) Oxford Utd to Win (1.76)
(3.2 Units) Reading to Win (1.79)
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
