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ONE PICK A DAY - May 2013

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Posted: #1
The goal here is simple 70% win ratio. See you all tomorrow.

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Posted: #2
Great stuff Irage.
 
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Posted: #3
 
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Posted: #4
5/1 - LA Angels +103
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Posted: #5
no email    i missed it!
 
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Posted: #6
Sorry guys, I was so busy I didn't get a chance to email. I sent the email with another game.
 
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Posted: #7
emails are given out for the 1 play a day?
 
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Posted: #8
Select club... but IRAGE rocks and may include ya!
 
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Posted: #9
whats the play today?
 
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Posted: #10
5/1 - LA Angels +103
5/2 - Redsox/Bluejays Over 8.5
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Posted: #11
Irage, can I be on your email list?  sent friend request
 
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Posted: #12
I had 4 plays today all good ones and I choose the only loser. WTF!

Padres
Phillies
Boston OVER 8.5
St. Louis
 
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Posted: #13
May want to stay away from Overs when both SP are in the top 20 of Sagarin ratings. I took the under in the Boston game for that reason. 10-4 since April 15.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #14
whats the sagarin ratings?
 
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Posted: #15
I have to admit, OVER/UNDERS I struggle with. I had originally planned to just take Boston.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

May want to stay away from Overs when both SP are in the top 20 of Sagarin ratings. I took the under in the Boston game for that reason. 10-4 since April 15.


I lost track of Sagarin ratings awhile ago. I was looking a Reds/Cubs over 7 today, where do you get ratings from?
 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by irage:



I lost track of Sagarin ratings awhile ago. I was looking a Reds/Cubs over 7 today, where do you get ratings from?

https://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm

Look under the second set of links: Explanation of Pitchers data broken down by league.

Leake is 46, Villanueva somehow is 6. Only one pitcher qualifies, so if that's your selection, good to go!

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #18

One other thing, Wrigley with the wind blowing in is a tough place to score. Wind blowing in from Center today at 8-13, not too bad I guess. It's also cold there today, wind chill 39.

Cincy is 6-6 on the road for o/u and the Cubs are 5-7 overs at home.

Sorry, not trying to talk you out of that pick, it very well could be a 21-20 game for all I know. Your track record speaks for itself!

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #19
Irage - working on something that may help you with over/unders it's a spreadsheet that basically compiles umpire, weather, pitcher (gb vs fb), sagarin rank, bullpen, and park factors data - when I get back from vacation ill finish it and share
 
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Posted: #20
Nice, looks like the OVER was a WIN. They are 8 in the 8.

Degen, you ole' spreadsheet wizard. How the heck are you.
I'd be more than happy to take a look at it. I am always looking to crunch some number and make money.
 
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Posted: #21
I am going to avoid Over/Under in this thread. I will offer those the people on the email list.

5/1 - LA Angels +103
5/2 - Redsox/Bluejays Over 8.5
5/3 - Seattle Mariners -126
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

no email    i missed it!


Email went out about 45 minutes prior to game. Check your SPAM.
 
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Posted: #23
Great pick, easy winner thanks Irage. 
 
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Posted: #24
5/1 - LA Angels +103 - WIN
5/2 - Redsox/Bluejays Over 8.5 - LOSS
5/3 - Seattle Mariners -126 - WIN
5/4 - Washington Nationals -140 -
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Posted: #25
5/1 - LA Angels +103 - WIN
5/2 - Redsox/Bluejays Over 8.5 - LOSS
5/3 - Seattle Mariners -126 - WIN
5/4 - Washington Nationals -140 - WIN
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